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CF Orr Stakes Tips 2018: Expert guide to finding the Caulfield Group 1 winner

  • Favourites have outstanding record in the race.
  • Barriers 1, 4 and 5 most successful in recent times.
Dollar For Dollar

More often than not, speed maps make the difference between winning and losing, and there is one runner in Saturday’s Group 1 CF Orr Stakes (1400m) that maps for success.

Not only does this galloper map to get the run of the race, but he also has the runs on the board to suggest he can match motors with these topliners as they resume from a spell.

The Tony McEvoy-trained Dollar For Dollar is the horse in question, and he was a tragedy beaten last start.

He was having his first run at Caulfield and got caught three deep without cover for the trip while the eventual winner, Tshahitsi, led all the way to score by three-quarters of a length in a time of 1:23.36.

Dollar For Dollar covered 7m more ground (1421m) than Tshahitsi (1414m) and still clocked quicker 200m splits from the 600m mark to the winning post.

Jester Halo was an impressive winner on the same day, and while she ran quicker time (1:22.85) and also ran 2m more than Dollar For Dollar, she maps poorly from barrier 9 on Saturday and will be struggling to get in and find a comfortably spot in running. 

On the other hand, Dollar For Dollar has drawn barrier 7 and has good natural speed to take up a forward position with blinkers going on for the first time.

To the inside of Dollar For Dollar we have: Single Gaze (1), Shillelagh (2), Black Heart Bart (3), Abbey Marie (4) and Mighty Boss (5) all resuming from a spell.

Being first-up, it’s hard to imagine any of these horses being bustled out to take a forward position.

We also have Brave Smash in barrier 6 and the stable have declared they will ride him quiet in a bid to let him finish off strongly with the Doncaster Mile in mind.

So Dollar For Dollar should have no trouble crossing the horses to his inside while a few that have drawn wider will have to do some work to get into their natural front-running roles.

Thronum (8) sped out to lead when first-up in the Australia Stakes (1200m) where he held off the late challenge of Mr Sneaky who has drawn barrier 13 and will need plenty of luck.

Lord Of The Sky (10) and Tshahitsi (11) will also be looking to go forward and that sets up a good early speed that should suit those who get a nice trail behind. 

Dollar For Dollar should be getting that soft run for jockey Jamie Kah, and considering he ran nice time at his first run at Caulfield after sitting three wide without cover for the trip, he can improve on that.

It was also his second run from a 56-day break, and he should be at his absolute peak now.

The last five renewals of the CF Orr Stakes have been run in the following times:

2017 Black Heart Bart - 1:22.6
2016 Suavito - 1:23.4
2015 Dissident - 1:23.3
2014 Moment Of Change - 1:23.0
2013 All Too Hard - 1:22.8

With Dollar For Dollar running good time last start and being likely to enjoy soft run in transit on Saturday, as well as having a bit of improvement to come and the blinkers going on, he’s a good chance here at big each-way odds.


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CF Orr Stakes Tips 2018: Expert guide to finding the Caulfield Group 1 winner

Expert tips for the Group 1 CF Orr Stakes (1400m), the first Group 1 race of the year and takes place at Caulfield Racecourse on February 10.

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