No spam ever. Unsubscribe in one click. By submitting your email address, you indicate your consent to receiving email marketing messages from us.

Kembla Grange Tips July 20 – Best bets and expert tips for Saturday

Aaron Hamilton in Free Tips 15 Jul 2019
  • Best bets for Kembla Grange each meeting.

Looking for tips on Saturday's racing from the Kembla Grange races? 

Our form analysts give you the best bets for a profitable day of punting at Kembla Grange, approximately 95km from Sydney and located along the Princes Highway at the foothills of the Illawarra Escarpment.

Racing takes place at Kembla Grange on alternate Saturday’s with the course boasting one of the best shaped racetracks in Australia which provides every horse its chance due to the long straight.

See our free weekly Kembla Grange selections below:

Kembla Grange Tips - July 20


Check back on Friday to see our updated best bets.

Previous Kembla Grange Tips:


Kembla Grange Tips - June 15


Race 1 - 11:49AM STEWARTBROWN CHARTERED ACCOUNTANTS MAIDEN PLATE (1000 METRES)

This is a big drop in class for DREAM CIRCLE who comes from two $50,000 races in town to a 1000m maiden at Kembla. He disappointed at this track and trip three starts back but then ran a game 3rd behind Minted and California Salto who won by three lengths at Warwick Farm last start. Dream Circle had no luck over 1100m at Canterbury and was caught three deep without cover for the trip and weakened out of it to finish 2.5 lengths from Blazing Miss. He drops 2.5kg here and should prove hard to beat from up on the speed over the shorter trip.

Result (1st - $2.40)

Race 4 - 1:34PM PEOPLECARE HEALTH COVER CLASS 2 HANDICAP (1200 METRES)

I’ve always had a bit of time for the Gary Portelli-trained EXCELTIC who finds a very winnable event and should be at peak fitness fourth-up. The Excelebration colt was 3rd behind Sylvia’s Mother last campaign and she resumes at Rosehill and has been the best backed runner early. Exceltic has been good in all three runs this campaign and should be breaking through here with even luck. 

Result (3rd)


June 1

Race 1 - 11:36AM ILLAWARRA TURF CLUB BENCHMARK 64 HANDICAP (2000 METRES)
REDAZZITY meets Kiss The Bride 1kg better at the weights for beating him last start, and fourth-up he should have plenty of upside still. Mayaman split the pair and was a winner over Just Schillin' the start before and has subsequently finished runner-up to the super-impressive Pauldron who won for us on Monday. Redazzity came from last on the turn to score last start, and the step up to 2000m looks ideal for a horse with his racing style. He does have to prove himself at the trip, but he’s certainly the one to beat if he runs it right out. 
Result (unplaced)

Race 8 - 4:01PM KEMBLA GRANGE MAIDEN PLATE (1500 METRES)
The Bjorn Baker-trained SHE’S IDEEL took every inch of the Goulburn straight to wind up on debut but just failed to catch Oksal who had been runner-up in her two previous starts. My notes straight after the race where ‘She’s Ideel needs a mile next time’ and while she doesn’t quite step up to the mile, she jumps from 1300m to 1500m and that’s clearly beneficial for this Dundeel filly. Chad Lever is likely to let her balance up at the rear before getting to the outside and charging home over the top of them. 
Result (Scratched)


February 9


Race 1 - 1:14PM ILLAWARRA TURF CLUB CLASS 1 & MAIDEN PLATE (2000 METRES)
Heroic Fighter was beaten home by HOTEL AMOUR on debut but then won last start while Hotel Amour was finishing at a rate of knots for 3rd place. Despite Heroic Fighter having more upside, I think Hotel Amour looks best placed with a 2.5kg weight swing and longer Kembla straight. The Americain gelding is fifth-up from a spell and was having his first run in a month last time, so he should be at absolute peak fitness. Uber Lux and Systus are at the same stage of their campaigns and loom as dangers, but I think Hotel Amour has the better turn of foot and that will make all the difference if they go at a leisurely tempo here. 
Result (scratched)

Race 7 - 4:54PM SHANE EADES TRANSPORT CLASS 2 HANDICAP (1600 METRES)
We landed a great result with FASTNET CYCLONE scoring for us a fortnight ago at $14, and I think still think the French-import has plenty of upside. He’s won up to 2400m and is only third-up over a mile which looks perfect. He came from well back last start to score a last stride victory over 1500m, and he’s drawn the inside gate for the third consecutive time. I can’t see us getting juicy odds again but I really like how this horse has returned and he’s nowhere near his top yet. 
Result (2nd)


January 19


Race 5 - 3:24PM KEMBLA GRANGE ESTATE CUP CLASS 1 HANDICAP (1500 METRES)
Looking to take on Resonare who will most likely be installed as favourite following two runs this campaign including a last start 3rd behind Fuchu. He’s only won one from 15 and disappointed at this track and trip when third-up in a previous campaign. FASTNET CYCLONE improved significantly when second-up last preparation, and he impressed at his first run back this time in where he chased hard but lacked fitness in the final 100m and finished 2nd to Trumbo who has been in good form. He should balance up a few pairs back from the inside gate, and if Adrian Layt can weave a passage through along the inside, he should be finishing off strong. 
Result (1st - $14)

Race 6 - 4:04PM WESTERN EARTH MOVING MAIDEN PLATE (1500 METRES)
I’m sticking with RUSSIAN ROMEO after a disappointing effort last start where he was slow to begin and never really got into it. He put in a poor run second-up in Melbourne and then should have won third-up when finishing 2nd to Real Success. First-up in NSW, he led but weakened late to finish two lengths from Ljungberg, and that looks like really strong form. Last start he just plugged away, and he seems like a horse looking for a longer trip. Trainers Ciaron Maher and David Eustace step the son of Smart Missile up to 1500m, and he should be looking to go forward from the outside gate (20). If he can get a midrace breather, he’ll prove hard to catch.
Result (scratched)

January 12


Race 1 - 1:05PM TIARN WARNER F&M CLASS 1 HANDICAP (1400 METRES)
It’s rare to see a four-year-old mare having their first start in the care of Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott, but that’s what we saw when ECHO PRINCESS was produced first-up over 1400m and saluted. The daughter of Redoute’s Choice led all the way and is sure to take plenty of benefit from the run, and the fact Gai persisted with her after a two-year injury-enforced lay-off means she has some ability. Casino Angel and Swiss come out of the same 1400m race where they finished 3rd and 4th in the same time as Echo Princess, but she ran her last 600m much quicker and has more upside. 
Abandoned

Race 2 - 1:40PM CARRIN DI MILIA CG&E CLASS 1 HANDICAP (1400 METRES)
I’m guessing all the money will be with Resonare and Osorno here, but I’m leaning to WE COULD BE HEROES who has fitness on his side and carries 5.5kg and 6kg less than the top pair. He’s running comparable times with that pair over 1400m and drops 4kg on his last start. He’s proven on Heavy going having finished runner-up to the promising American Salute, and the fact he’s unplaced in seven runs on Good going and has won and placed four times on rain-affected ground suggests he gets conditions to suit on Saturday. 
Abandoned

December 15


Race 3 - 2:09PM COKE NO SUGAR MAIDEN PLATE (1500 METRES)
Perfect draw sets this race up for the speedy SAZAVEE. James Innes gets a rare opportunity to impress Gai and Adrian and should have little difficulty following the stable’s script by sending this mare forward. She was runner-up this grade last start. So is fitter now 2nd up. Noble House to run on for 2nd.
Result (2nd)

Race 4 - 2:44PM SOUTH COAST PARTY HIRE MAIDEN HANDICAP (1300 METRES)
This big gangly thing from the Team Snowden camp called DARKHAWK appeals here now that he is having his 2nd race start. Seemed to get a bit cluttered up on debut and resent that. Experience is a wonderful thing so look for him to run even better than his even paced 4th this grade.
Result (scratched)

Race 6 - 4:04PM ADAM MILLER MEMORIAL CLASS 1 HANDICAP (1400 METRES)
As you know it's a big step up from Maiden to Class 1 grade but when you get burdened with the top weight too, it generally proves too hard. Probably not this time though. This guy ARCHEDEMUS looks very progressive, maybe even city grade. He toyed with maiden rivals last start and being trained here, he rates highly.
Result (1st - $7)



Related

Upcoming Races

Share this with your friends

To:
From:
Your comments:

Kembla Grange Tips July 20 – Best bets and expert tips for Saturday

Aaron Hamilton previews Kembla Grange racing and provides his best bets for Saturday.

Read more »

You have unread messages

You have unread messages