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Morphettville Tips September 21 – Best bets and Saturday racing expert tips

Aaron Hamilton in Free Tips 19 Sep 2019
  • 2 to 4 best bets for Morphettville each week.
  • Previous results included.

Looking for tips for Saturday's racing from Morphettville? 

Our form analysts give you the best bets for a profitable day of punting.

Morphettville Racecourse is South Australia’s premier race track and hosts up to 70 days of racing action throughout the year.

Located less than 10km from the Adelaide CBD, Morphettville’s race meetings are split between its two tracks; the Morphettville course proper and the Morphettville Parks circuit.

See our free weekly Morphettville best bets below:

Morphettville Tips - September 21


Race 3 - 2:01PM FLEURIEU MILK COMPANY HANDICAP (2014 METRES)
SHOP TIL I DROP has been very impressive in her past three wins as she descended upon them with authority in the straight and got the job done. Her last start benchmark (BM) performance of 3.6 lengths above BM was her best yet and rates higher than all bar Reiby The Red who has one stronger performance with a light weight but has to carry 6kg more here and can’t replicate that with 60kg. Fifth-up from a spell, she should be at peak fitness, and she can make it four in a row on Saturday. 
Race 5 - 3:16PM TOKYO CITY CUP (1800 METRES)
Muntahaa is a Group 1 winner and impressed with a recent three-length trial win, but he is being aimed at the Melbourne Cup and may need the run here. The Trent Busuttin and Natalie Young-prepared PIERROCITY has powered to the line in her past two and she drops 4kg on that last run where they went very fast early. Valac has a habit of setting hot early speeds, and that will suit Pierrocity who will be looking to run on with the light weight. 
Race 6 - 3:56PM TAB / ATA TRAINERS' TRUST HANDICAP (1100 METRES)
THE DIFFERENCE is a horse that the McEvoy stable have high hopes for and have been very patient with. He won in quick time on debut but then disappointed next time when going much slower at the same track and trip when beaten by Thompson’s Reward. He meets that galloper 1.5kg better at the weights but more importantly, he’s open to so much more improvement. 

Previous Tips:


September 14


Race 2 - 1:21PM SEYMOUR BLOODSTOCK SABOIS PLUS BENCHMARK 80 HCP (2600 METRES)
Quaffany is in rare form and has claimed three in a row but I’m leaning toward the Peter Gelagotis-trained SERENDADE THE STARS who carries 3kg less which make all the difference late in a 2600m event. He’s been plagued by Heavy tracks since the Andrew Ramsden where he finished 12 lengths from Steel Prince and Surprise Baby and that race rates extremely high. The son of Sea The Stars stepped back up to 2500m last start and was caught three deep without cover which is a death sentence for any stayer, but surprisingly, he battled strongly and was 2nd to Dabiyr. He maps to get a soft run behind the speed here, and if he can build into it early and use his stamina to advantage, he’ll prove hard to run down.
Result (2nd - $1.90 to Place)

Race 5 - 3:11PM SAJC MORPHETTVILLE GUINEAS (1600 METRES)
I’ve been with Lady Loire at her past two starts but have to jump ship and side with MARNDARRA. The Tony and Calvin McEvoy-trained Foxwedge filly was having her first run for six weeks, and although she stacked them up and appeared to have every chance but couldn’t match Regardsmaree and Lady Loire in the final furlong, she battled on well and should take a stack of improvement from that run. She meets Lady Loire 3kg better at the weights here and rates a great chance. 
Result (unplaced)

Race 6 - 3:51PM NATIONAL JOCKEYS TRUST SERIES FINAL 4YO AND OVER BM70 HCP (1200 METRES)
Aiguilette goes up 1.5kg while DANGER DEAL drops 3.5kg and effectively meets him 5kg better at the weights. Aiguilette has plenty of upside being second-up, but he had the drop on Danger Deal last time and I’m not sure he’ll get a similar run from the inside gate with plenty of speed on his outside. Danger Deal needs to take a forward position again, and being fourth-up, he should be at peak fitness. Fourth-up last campaign he was 2nd to Kemalpasa who has been in cracking form since and carried 2kg less on that occasion – I like that form reference. 
Result (unplaced)


September 7


Race 3 - 1:56PM AAMI SPRING CARNIVAL AT MORPHETTVILLE OCT 12 - NOV 5 HCP (1000 METRES)
I know the stable had a big opinion of HEARTY LASS in her first campaign, and I’m keen to stick with her first-up. She impressed in her second trial where she jumped best but was restrained hard to take cover. She ground home under no pressure and wanted the hang in down the straight, but she gets winkers for the first time and has drawn the inside gate. She led to win on debut and I’m hoping she leads all the way here. 
Result (2nd - $1.70 to Place)

Race 6 - 3:51PM TERRY HOWE PRINTING HANDICAP (1250 METRES)
MAGIC SUNSET meets Bayou and Sonic Deed 2kgs better at the weights for finishing 3rd behind that pair last start, and she maps for a better run this time as she jumps from gate 4. She did it tough out wide last start was beaten half a length, and with two runs under her belt this time in, she’ll strip fitter on Saturday. The second favourite Magna Bella comes through the same race and looms as the main danger, and although Freehearted comes out of the Spring Stakes and has the strongest form line, her time over 1200m was slower and she goes up in weight while others come down.
Result (unplaced)
 
Race 7 - 4:31PM GUINNESS HANDICAP (1250 METRES)
I think KABINI is a better horse on the Parks circuit and her last start effort in the Group 3 Spring Stakes was better than it looks on paper. She was snagged back from a wide gate and settled at the rear but was unable to make ground against quality opposition like Dalasan and Scales Of Justice who subsequently won the Group 1 Memsie Stakes (1400m) at Caulfield. Kabini now drops 2.5kg as she drops back significantly in grade, and with a more forward ride from barrier 2, she’ll run a nice race at double figure odds. 
Result (unplaced)



August 31


Race 1 - 12:41PM HEINEKEN 3 HANDICAP (1400 METRES)
LADY LOIRE was beaten by a questionable ride last time and can bounce back here. Luke Nolen went back from the outset while Linda Meech stacked them up in front and dictated terms at a very slow tempo – yet no jockey took the initiative to inject some pace into the race and simply resigned to the fact they would not be able to run down a leader who had gone so slow early. Lady Loire did a massive job to come from last and grab 2nd place. She carried 60kg in the BM64 at Sandown and now carries 54.5kg in a Morphettville BM70. Her final 600m figure of 7.2 and 6.3 lengths above benchmark (BM) is five lengths quicker than anything else in the field.
Result (2nd - $1.20 to Place)

Race 7 - 4:31PM TAB PENNY EDITION STAKES (1400 METRES)
Sticking with BEHEMOTH who gets out to 1400m for the first time which looks ideal third-up this preparation. Third-up last campaign he flashed home to finish 2nd in the Group 1 The Goodwood (1200m), and last start, he was far from disgraced finishing 4th behind Begood Toya Mother who lines up in the Group 1 Memsie Stakes (1400m) on Saturday. He’s by All Too Hard and out of a mare called Penny Banger, so he looks the omen bet in the Penny Edition Stakes. 
Result (1st - $2.20)

Race 8 - 5:10PM M&J CHICKENS HANDICAP (1400 METRES)
The Tony McEvoy-trained VAHASH is an improving type that won over 1400m at Murray Bridge on debut before defeating Sir Johnson at the same track and trip last start. Sir Johnson had won his previous start and franked the form with another 2nd placing in a BM70 at Murray Bridge on Wednesday behind Dr Dependable. 
Result (unplaced)




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Morphettville Tips September 21 – Best bets and Saturday racing expert tips

Aaron Hamilton previews Morphettville racing and provides his best best for Saturday.

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