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2019 Randwick Guineas Runners - Runner-by-Runner guide for the Randwick Guineas

  • Nine runners for the Group 1 Randwick Guineas (1600m) 
  • Our runner-by-runner guide
The Autumn Sun

A field of nine three-year-olds will contest the Group 1 Randwick Guineas (1600m) on Saturday. It looks a terrific race on paper, with The Autumn Sun taking on the in-form Nakeeta Jane. 

Here is our runner-by-runner guide. 

1. THE AUTUMN SUN (4) - Chris Waller, Kerrin McEvoy, 56.5kg 
Although his first-up victory in the Group 2 Hobartville Stakes (1400m) looked only fair but with all things considered, it was outstanding. The leaders went 6.6 lengths slower than class benchmark to the 600m which meant he was always going to have a tough time picking up the leaders. He didn’t really look to appreciate the soft conditions, made his run out in the middle of the track which was not advantageous and looked to change legs at the 300m. He should take plenty of improvement from that run and be much fitter second-up. Am I thrilled about taking $1.65? Not really, no but he should be winning. 
Odds: $1.65 (Sportsbet)

2. MADISON COUNTY (3) - Murray Baker & Andrew Forsman, Tommy Berry, 56.5kg 
Admittedly, I don’t have a great handle on New Zealand racing, however Madison County looks far too short in the market to my eye. Her last start third in the Listed Karaka Million (1600m) behind Long Leaf is not good enough, Long Leaf wouldn’t get within six-lengths of The Autumn Sun. It’s possibly the Murray Baker & Andrew Forsman factor that has him $16 but I had him rated more like a $36 chance.
Odds: $16.00 (Beteasy)

3. VEGADAZE (7) - Anthony Cummings, Tim Clark, 56.5kg 
Vegadaze put the writing on the wall two starts ago, running 5.3 lengths quicker than class benchmark to beat the smart Adana. He gave The Autumn Sun all he could handle last start in the Hobartville Stakes and those two beat the others easily. He is around the mark for a minor placing but I can’t see him turning the tables on a fitter The Autumn Sun. 
Odds: $9.50 (Neds

4. ARAMAYO (6) - James Cummings, James McDonald, 56.5kg 
He was unlucky last start behind Global Exchange in the Group 2 Autumn Classic (1800m) when Hugh Bowman fell asleep at the wheel, as Ben Melham was off and gone on Global Exchange. Two weeks between runs and 1800m back to the mile doesn’t seem ideal but he does get H.Bowman to James McDonald which is a positive. 
Odds: $23.00 (Sportsbet)

5. DIPLOMATICO (2) - Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes, Brenton Avdulla, 56.5kg 
The team Hawkes-trained galloper has plenty of ability. He started $9.50 against the likes of Sunlight and Zousain in the Group 1 Coolmore (1200m) down the straight at Flemington. His first-up run was only fair and although he should improve, I couldn’t back him. 
Odds: $26.00 (Ladbrokes

6. PURPLE SECTOR (1) - John Thompson, Glyn Schofield, 56.5kg
He was good without being great when fourth behind The Autumn Sun and Vegadaze in the Hobartville. The 1400m was unsuitable and although the step up to a mile suits, he still needs further. I couldn’t be with him, Glyn Schofield from barrier one just adds to the problems.
Odds: $26.00 (Sportsbet)
 
7. NAKEETA JANE (9) - Mark Newnham, Joshua Parr, 54.5kg 
The main danger to The Autumn Sun does look to be Nakeeta Jane. I thought her victory in the Surround Stakes (1400m) was terrific. The leaders ran 1.8 lengths slower than the class benchmark to the 600m and she ripped home 5.9 lengths quicker than the Group One benchmark. She ran the last last 200m and 400m of the race and has come on from that run according to trainer Mark Newnham. She is on the quick seven-day back-up and gets to the mile. A serious threat.
Odds: $6.00 (Beteasy)

8. FUNDAMENTALIST (5) - David & B Hayes & T Dabernig, Sam Clipperton, 54.5kg 
Aided by a terrific ride from Sam Clipperton, Fundamentalist all but beat Nakeeta Jane in the Surround Stakes, as it looked like she had the race shot to pieces. She has the form around Tin Hat which is some of the hottest form in Melbourne at the moment. She is probably around her right price.
Odds: $16.00 (Beteasy)

9. MISS FABULASS (8) - Kris Lees, Jason Collett, 54.5kg 
I couldn’t possibly back her on her two runs this preparation. Yes, she was in the wrong part of the track first-up in the Light Fingers but she was just terrible last start. I would have to see something from her because I invested on her again. 
Odds: $27.00 (Sportsbet


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2019 Randwick Guineas Runners - Runner-by-Runner guide for the Randwick Guineas

A field of nine three-year-olds will contest the Group 1 Randwick Guineas (1600m) on Saturday. It looks a terrific race on paper, with The Autumn Sun taking on the in-form Nakeeta Jane.

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