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Black Caviar Lightning Tips: Betting pointers to consider for the Flemington Group 1

  • What to look for to find the Lightning Stakes winner
  • Key pointers to consider when backing a horse in the Black Caviar Lightning
Lightning Stakes

Looking for the winner of the Black Caviar Lightning is a tough task, but keeping some important factors on your side can help you. 

Being a race run down the straight Flemington course, betting on the Lightning Stakes can prove to be a little tricky. Each year the track bias can change with the better going altering between the inside and outside barriers. Also, certain horses relish the straight run where others perform better with bends involved.

Usually barriers are insignificant in a race down the Flemington straight course, however in big fields runners will be keen to head towards the better going which sees a lot of early buffeting in an attempt to head towards the favoured racing line, be it inside or out.

Since 1983, barrier two has been most successful producing six winners followed by gate five with five victors. Barriers one and six closely follow with four each.

Since its initial running, the gender base is evenly spread with mares, colts, geldings and entires sharing the glory. No age group dominates the race either with winners well spread from three-year-olds to seven-year-old campaigners. 



Black Caviar wins the Lightning Stakes

The betting market has proven to be a helpful guide, particularly in the last ten years. Six favourites have saluted since 2006 with another three finishing in the minor placings. The Lightning Stakes isn’t often won by longshots with just three winners over double figures winning since 1983. 

The Group 2 Australia Stakes run over 1200m at Moonee Valley some weeks prior is sometimes used as a warm-up race as it too is run under weight-for-age conditions. 

Others have been known to come from the Group 3 Rubiton Stakes (1100m) or the Group 3 Carlyon Cup both run at Caulfield the week prior to the Lightning Stakes. Interesting to note, however, of the past 10 Lightning Stakes winners, nine of them were first-up runners. 

Jockeys enjoying the most success in the race are Damien Oliver with five wins and four second prize finishes and Luke Nolan, who has saluted on three occasions, all of which were on Black Caviar.

The leading trainer by a long way is Lee Freedman with seven victories followed by Peter Moody courtesy of Black Caviar’s three straight wins.

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Black Caviar Lightning Tips: Betting pointers to consider for the Flemington Group 1

Looking for the winner of the Black Caviar Lightning is a tough task, but keeping some important factors on your side can help you.

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