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Caulfield Cup Tips - Who our experts are backing and why

  • Tipsters give their verdict on the Caulfield Cup
  • Who will win the Spring Carnival feature?
Who wins the Caulfield Cup?

Who will win the 2018 Group 1 Caulfield Cup (2400m)? The tipsters give their verdicts on who they think will triumph in the Spring Carnival feature.

Will it be one of the home team? Can an international walk away with the prize? Or will we see another roughie upset the odds?

The team will give their verdicts on what looks a hot race.

Check out their 2018 Caulfield Cup predictions below.

Aaron Hamilton

Chris Waller can claim his first win in the Caulfield Cup with YOUNGSTAR representing the stable. Youngstar really appeals after finishing behind Winx in the Turnbull Stakes (2000m). Youngstar’s three final 200m splits for the race where in 10.91, 10.99 and 11.08 and she drops 3kg on Saturday while meeting Kings Will Dream half a kilogram worse at the weights. She’s likely to slot in and get a soft run four or five pair back in the running line, and if she can wind up at the right time, she’ll be strong though the line based on her Oaks win and Derby placing. Kings Will Dream looms as the big danger, and he may have just peaked late last start, while Weir’s other runner, Gallic Chieftain also has strong form behind The Taj Mahal in the JRA Cup (2040m) and was only five lengths off Yukatan in the Herbert Power (2400m) in quick time. This is such a tough race and luck in running will play a big part, but you can’t knock Winx form and with an eye-catching 2nd to the superstar mare last start, Youngstar looks hard to beat. 

Ric Chapman

This is perhaps the hardest Caulfield Cup I have ever had to do form for. So many variables, bad barriers, overseas formlines. Off this draw and given his staying talents, this DURETTO is the overseas visitor they all need to beat. Unlike some who come here, he is very honest always putting himself into the race. He was beaten less than a length by Best Solution and Sound Check last start as the odds on favourite. In England he's rated highly. Should get the run of the race and if a run presents as they turn, he can out kick all of them. I think Kings Will Dream is a very interesting galloper. Punters and connections alike have been waiting for this race. He has been earmarked for the Caulfield Cup horse for several months, after he went bang and smashed 6 wins on the trot in early 2018. He went from runaway maiden to a facile 5 length victory in the Mornington Cup. Spelled and has done all his racing at Group level since resuming, the past 2 in Group 1 races where he placed both times, the latest when 3rd to the champion mare. Will shake the life out of this. Youngstar and Red Verdon should be in the fight for the minors.

Jackson Oldham

The Darren Weir-trained KINGS WILL DREAM is a deserving favourite and my top pick. His last run over 2400m was an incredible win in the Mornington Cup. That victory got him a ticket into the Caulfield Cup and Darren Weir has been able to plan this preparation with one focus and one focus only. He got to the Makybe Diva Stakes (1600m) and I thought he was too forward. The backed off him between that run and the Turnbull Stakes (2000m). It was noticeable in the mounting yard and I gave him no chance. He was still in front with 100m before being mowed down late by Winx and Youngstar. He will take improvement off that run and gets to his target race fifth-up. Barrier six is ideal and he will take a stack of beating. 

Steve Bennett

Not unlike the Melbourne Cup, the Caulfield Cup is usually fought out by horses with previous experience over the trip (as Boom Time proved last year). Using that as a starting point, I am going with the topweight, BEST SOLUTION to finish on top in the Cup. The Godolphin five-year-old comes into this unbeaten this preparation, winning three on the trot, and while he hasn’t raced for six weeks, his fresh record is outstanding. Boasting four wins from ten starts at the 2400m also commands a lot of respect. Carrying 57.5kgs shouldn’t pose a problem after lumping 60kgs at his past three starts. Regular stable rider Pat Cosgrave remains in the saddle after partnering him in six of his eight career wins. Others to be wary of include the Ed Dunlop-trained Red Verdon who has finished runner-up at four of his past five starts in the UK. His latest effort saw him tested over 3319m at York but go on his four starts prior to that where he took home the runner-up’s cheque on each occasion. The Taj Mahal is another in contention after winning the JRA Cup (2040m) at Moonee Valley last start when third-up. The Galileo five-year-old won the Sandown Classic (2400m) last year and fourth-up here will be at his peak. Of the others, the lightly-raced Kings Will Dream comes right into this after an incredible performance in the Listed Mornington Cup (2400m) earlier this year. The Darren Weir-trained five-year-old demolished his rivals that day, crossing the line five lengths ahead of them. Resuming in August, he has progressed nicely in his four starts, finishing second in the Group One Makybe Diva Stakes before finishing third, beaten one length, behind the mighty mare Winx in the Group One Turnbull Stakes. For me, it’s Best Solution on top, from Red Verdon, The Taj Mahal and Kings Will Dream. However, should second emergency, Jaameh earn a start, the Lindsay Park gelding goes to the top of the list (in an upset). 

Adam Cusworth

I'm always looking for the Lloyd Williams owned horses in the big Melbourne staying races. The stable unearthed a gem last weekend in the form of Yucatan and are represented by The Cliffsofmoher, The Taj Mahal and Homesman on Saturday. Of that trio, THE CLIFFSOFMOHER looks the best credentialed and comes off a fast finishing 4th in the Caulfield Stakes (2000m) behind Benbatl. That experience at the track should hold him in good stead. A firmer after the barrier draw, his trainer (Aidan O'Brien) and jockey (Hugh Bowman) are no strangers to the big time action and can combine to take out the first of the big three majors. 

I really like the chances of HOMESMAN at value odds. I was very impressed with his victory in the Group 1 Underwood Stakes (1800m) two starts back and I'm not put off by his seventh in the Group 1 Caulfield Stakes (2000m) despite The Cliffsofmoher and Night's Watch finishing ahead last weekend. This was the target, not last weekend, and he drops 6kg to 53kg for the Caulfield Cup for a lovely racing weight. He has drawn well in barrier four, has the in-form Ben Melham booked for the ride and looks a real player in what is a competitive race. At odds of $12, Liam Howley's galloper looks the each-way value at double the odds of The Cliffsofmoher.

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Caulfield Cup Tips - Who our experts are backing and why

Who will win the 2018 Group 1 Caulfield Cup (2400m)? The tipsters give their verdicts on who they think will triumph in the Spring Carnival feature.

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