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Caulfield Guineas Runner-by-Runner guide

  • A Capacity field of 16 runners will contest Saturday's Group One Caulfield Guineas (1600m)  
  • Here is our runner-by-runner guide
Dalasan

A capacity field of 16 runners will contest the Group One Caulfield Guineas (1600m) at Caulfield on Saturday. Dalasan is the early favourite, plenty of early decisions will need to be made from barrier 18. 

Speed Map: Plenty of horses from wide barriers will be looking to push across which should make for a genuine early tempo. Roccabascerana and The Holy One can hold positions from inside barriers, while Alligator Blood and Dalasun will likely push forward. Super Seth, Express Pass and Kubrick can all be closer, with Conqueror and Vegas Knight next. 

Here is our runner-by-runner guide for the Caulfield Guineas.

1. YOURDEEL (9) - David & B Hayes & T Dabernig, Michael Walker, 56.5kg 
He ran seventh first-up for Lindsay Park down the straight behind Dalasan before clipping heels and falling in the Guineas Prelude. That can’t be ideal. 
Odds: $51.00 (Ladbrokes

2. DALASAN (18) - Leon Macdonald & Andrew Gluyas, Hugh Bowman, 56.5kg 
He was a dominant winner at Morphettville defeating Scales Of Justice and followed that up with a victory down the Flemington straight. He still does plenty wrong and that showed in the Guineas Prelude (1400m), wanting to lay in behind runners, with Clark finally straightened him up he savaged the line, running the fastest last 400m of the race and running 4.3L above the class benchmark for the final 600m. The blinkers go on for the first time and he is likely to go forward early from the outside barrier. If you want to back him, I think we’ll get $4.00+ on the day. 
Odds: $3.50 (Sportsbet

3. ALLIGATOR BLOOD (13) - David Vandyke, Ryan Maloney, 56.5kg 
He is unbeaten through five career starts and produced a huge close of 13.2 lengths above class benchmark at the Sunshine Coast before coming to Melbourne, he was $11 into $6.00 and did everything right winning the Guineas Prelude (1400m). He did get all the favours but couldn’t have done anymore than what he did, running the best last start figure of any horse in this race.
Odds: $5.00 (Sportsbet

4. KUBRICK (17) - Chris Waller, James McDonald, 56.5kg 
I was keen on him last start in the Golden Rose (1400m) but he just wasn’t brilliant enough to match it with the likes of Bivouac and Yes Yes Yes. He still ran 3L above the G1 benchmark for the final 600m and should be suited stepping up to the mile third-up. If Bowman gets stuck three-wide on Dalasan then JMac could get his back and the perfect run or the map could be awful, either way there will be luck involved.
Odds: $9.00 (Sportsbet)



5. SUPER SETH (5) - Anthony Freedman, Mark Zahra, 56.5kg 
Despite winning first-up, he has improved from a mounting yard perspective in all the runs this preparation and keeps really looks to be building towards his grand final. He was unsuited down the straight in the Danehill Stakes (1200m) two starts ago. He was checked by the fallen horse in the Prelude last start but I loved his work through the line, he ran the 11th-fastest 600m-400m split of the race, the seventh-fastest 400m-200m split and the fastest last 200m of the race. He maps well from barrier five and M.Zahra sticks. 
Odds: $13.00 (Sportsbet)

6. THE HOLY ONE (4) - Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young, Brett Prebble, 56.5kg 
He was given a peach by Prebble in the Stutt Stakes (1600m) and fell in vs Vegas Knight and Conqueror, not here.
Odds: $21.00 (TAB)

7. SUBEDAR (7) - James Cummings, Brad Rawiller, 56.5kg
He brings 3YO Sydney form which can’t be a bad thing, boasting a third behind Derby contender Shadow Hero. 1800m back to 1600m fourth-up is a query. 
Odds: $17.00 (Sportsbet)
 
8. SKIDDAW (6) - Danny O’Brien, Damien Oliver, 56.5kg 
He was given the perfect ride to beat an average field that included The Lifeline and Long Jack. He is now deep into his preparation and I doubt he has the class to win. 
Odds: $34.00 (TAB)

10. ROCCABASCERANA (1) - David Jolly, Linda Meech, 56.5kg
He led and was given every possible chance by Linda Meech in the lead-up, the Caulfield Guineas Prelude (1400m). It was advantageous to be leading/near the speed and I doubt he gets all the favours again. 
Odds: $12.00 (Beteasy)

11. STAND TO ATTENTION (3) - Leon & Troy Corstens, James Winks, 56.5kg 
A Pakenham win on the synthetic and a second behind Soul Patch at Flemington doesn’t look strong enough form for a Caulfield Guineas, looking elsewhere. 
Odds: $71.00 (Beteasy)

12. CONQUEROR (2) - David & B Hayes & T Dabernig, Damian Lane, 56.5kg 
I thought both The Holy One and Vegas Knight were better than him in the Stutt Stakes and as mentioned, I don’t think that’s the right lead-up. 
Odds: $26.00 (Beteasy)

13. VEGAS KNIGHT (10) - Colin Little, Craig Williams, 56.5kg 
He has been given some average rides in his career and I thought it wasn’t one of C.Williams best last start in the Stutt Stakes (1600m). Despite the poor ride, he looked like he was going to drop out but kept grinding to the line, my concern is, he needs further now.
Odds: $31.00 (Sportsbet

14. ERIC THE EEL (16) - Stuart Kendrick, Kerrin McEvoy, 56.5kg 
 Not here. 
Odds: $41.00 (Beteasy)

15. SOUL PATCH (14) - Ken Keys, Dwayne Dunn, 56.5kg 
He has been visually impressive in his last two starts, flying home against the pattern at Sandown two starts ago before bursting through a gap to beat Stand To Attention at Flemington. He hasn’t run a figure that is needed to win a Caulfield Guineas but he probably hasn’t been given the opportunity to. 
Odds: $17.00 (Beteasy)

16. EXPRESS PASS (8) - Nick Ryan, Ben Melham, 56.5kg
He bolted in at Bendigo first-up in a hot form race before contesting the Danehill Stakes (1200m) down the straight behind Dalasan. He didn’t look like he loved the straight but was really strong through the line, running his last 200m 0.7 lengths above class benchmark. He had no winning chance last start, he was back off a tempo that was 7.2 lengths below benchmark to the 600m and copped a nasty check by Yourdeel who fell and was out of play. Think he maps better than last start from barrier eight with Ben Melham on board, overs.
Odds: $19.00 (Beteasy)

17e. EXETER (15) - David & B Hayes & T Dabernig, Luke Nolen, 56.5kg 
He started $51 in the Guineas Prelude and didn’t do much, not here. 
Odds: $151.00 (Sportsbet)

18e. GROUNDSWELL (12) - Anthony Freedman, Kerrin McEvoy, 56.5kg 
He ran the fifth-fastest last 400m and third-fastest last 600m of the meeting to win first-up at Geelong and progressed to run third behind Alligator Blood in the Guineas Prelude. He was suited on that day and won’t get the same favours with the speed map here. 
Odds: $14.00 (Ladbrokes

19e. SERENGETI (11) - Pat Carey, Rhys McLeod, 56.5kg 
He was as good as Vegas Knight, The Holy One and Co last start in the Stutt Stakes at The Valley but I doubt that’s the lead-up for the Caulfield Guineas. With that being said, he is probably value if he gets to 100/1. 
Odds: $71.00 (Sportsbet)


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Caulfield Guineas Runner-by-Runner guide

A capacity field of 16 runners will contest the Group One Caulfield Guineas (1600m) at Caulfield on Saturday. Dalasan is the early favourite, plenty of early decisions will need to be made from barrier 18.

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