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Caulfield Guineas Tips - Alligator to eat them up again

  • Dalasan will be looking to turn the tables on Alligator Blood. 
  • But the favourite may have trouble catching the Queenslander
Alligator Blood won the Guineas Prelude (PA Images)

The Caulfield Guineas (1600m) is arguably the best race in Australia each year for the three-year-olds and has a star-studded honour roll that features the likes of All Too Hard, Weekend Hussler and Lonhro. 

Last year's edition saw The Autumn Sun win in dominant fashion for the Chris Waller and James McDonald trainer/jockey combination. 

However, this year there does not to appear to be a contender as dominant as The Autumn Sun, who started as a $1.80 favourite in the $2 million race for the youngsters in 2018. 

This year, Dalasan is an easing favourite in early betting markets after faring poorly at the barrier draw. The $3.20 chance with BetEasy drew 18 but may come into barrier 16 after the removal of emergencies and/or scratchings. 

The barrier draw has certainly provided plenty of questions as to just how the race may unfold with other top fancies also drawing wide. The $5 fancy, Alligator Blood, has drawn barrier 13, while Chris Waller's hopes of winning consecutive Guineas were dealt a blow after Kurbrick drew 17. 



However, I am keen on one of the top three in the market to land the prize in the Guineas this year.  

Alligator Blood and Dalasun provided the exacta in the recent Caulfield Guineas Prelude, while Kubrick ran 5th in what was another quality edition of the Golden Rose (1400m) at Rosehill in Sydney. 

The Autumn Sun came out of that race last year, landing the double, while Divine Prophet, Press Statement and Shooting To Win are other recent winners of the Guineas to have had their previous start in Sydney. That trio had their prior runs in the Stan Fox Stakes (1500m). 

In the Caulfield Guineas Prelude it was Alligator Blood that made his own luck, settling just outside the leader before taking over in the last 200m of the race, pinching a race winning break. 

Dalasun did a few things wrong in the run. The Leon MacDonald and Andrew Gluyas-trained galloper seemed to take an eternity to get going and layed in for a number of strides at the top of the straight before getting going when the race was all but over. He can ill afford to do that again on Saturday. 

The talented youngster had previously beaten the older horses at Group 3 level in the Spring Stakes (1200m) at Morphettville before taking out the Danehill Stakes (1200m) in commanding fashion at Flemington. 

However, my money is on Alligator Blood to produce a repeat performance of his Prelude win. He has drawn slightly better than the favourite and has shown in previous runs that he is versatile enough to sit outside the leader or take a sit, depending on how the race pans out. 

Unless the likes of Dalasun challenge early enough in the 1600m race, there doesn't appear to be huge amounts of speed in the Guineas, which will play into his hands. The Queenslander is unbeaten in his five starts and made a big impression at Caulfield recently. He is the one to stick with. 


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Caulfield Guineas Tips - Alligator to eat them up again

Dalasan will be looking to turn the tables on Alligator Blood. But the favourite may have trouble catching the Queenslander

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