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Coolmore Classic Betting Tips - How does history help us find the winner?

  • What are the recent trends in the Coolmore Classic?
Daysee Doom claimed the Coolmore Classic in 2018

The Coolmore Classic (1500m) is one of the leading Group 1 races on the Australian racing calendar for the fillies and mares and has been won by some champion gallopers in the past, including Typhoon Tracy (2009), Sunline (2000 & 2002) and Emancipation (1984). 

The $600,000 feature at Rosehill has attracted some promising performers this year and if we analyse the trends of the race since the year 2000, there are a number of things that you should consider when it comes to making your selection. 

The Coolmore is usually a wide-open betting race and this years edition shapes as no exception. I Am Serious is the $5.50 favourite in early betting markets with sportsbet, while Jamaican Rain has been posted at $8.50. Fiesta is $11, while Oregon's Day and Alassio share the next line at $12. Dixie Blossoms heads the rest at $14. 

For fans of that group of horses it is interesting to note that six of the past seven winners of the Coolmore Classic have paid above $10. Daysee Doom won last year at $21, while Heavens Above won in 2017 as a $26 chance. Peeping won the year prior at $15. In 2015, Plucky Belle ($16) defeated Winx' former rival, First Seal. 

11 of the 18 editions of the race since 2000 have seen winners pay $10 or more. The average price of those that have saluted has been $11.60. 

Based on this trend, some to consider are last years winner, Daysee Doom, who is rated a $21 chance of going back to back, while the Godolphin pair of Savatiano ($16) and Manicure ($17) are not without a chance. 

El Dorado Dreaming and Fiesta are the three-year-olds in the race this year. Mizzy, Qafila and Pohutukawa are three of the four emergencies. No filly has won the Coolmore since Typhoon Tracy in 2009. However, five winners aged three have won the race since 2000. 

The most successful age group has been the four-year-olds with seven winners. Horses aged four this year include Savvy Coup, Aloisia, Savatiano, Bella Martini, Manicure and Moss Trip. 

Sunline claimed the Coolmore as a four-year-old and a six-year-old, carting 60kg to victory on both occasions. At the other end of the weights, Typhoon Tracy won with 51kg in 2009, while Aloha carried 53kg as a four-year-old in 2011. 

Six winners have carried 53kg to victory, while three have had 53.5kg. This year, El Dorado Dreaming carries 53.5kg. Fiesta and Jamaican Rain cart 52.5kg. 

There have been a number of trainers with multiple winners in the Coolmore since 2000 including Gai Waterhouse, Guy Walter, Joseph Pride, Peter Moody, Ron Quinton and Trevor McKee. Of that group, Waterhouse (with Adrian Bott) and Quinton have runners this year

Quinton saddles up Dixie Blossoms and Daysee Doom, while Waterhouse and Bott have Alassio in the race. Daysee Doom comes off a 6th placing in the Millie Fox Stakes (1300m). That race has provided three of the past four winners and was taken out by White Moss this year, while I Am Serious was 2nd. 

Finally, barriers can play an important role in this race and 10 of the past 13 winners have drawn single digits. Oregon's Day and Alassio are among those that have drawn closer to the inside, while I Am Serious and Jamaican Rain have drawn 15 and 16 but they should come in slightly after the removal of emergencies and/or scratchings. 

Selection according to trends
History would suggest to look for one at a bit of value in this race. Alassio and Moss Trip tick a few boxes and can go close. 

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Coolmore Classic Betting Tips - How does history help us find the winner?

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