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2019 Coolmore Classic Runners - Runner-by-runner guide for the Coolmore Classic

  • Runner-by-runner guide for the Coolmore Classic (1500m) 
Jamaican Rain

A capacity field of 20 fillies and mares will contest the Group 1 Coolmore Classic (1500m) at a wet Rosehill on Saturday.

Here is our runner-by-runner guide.

1. DAYSEE DOOM (21) - Ron Quinton, Andrew Adkins, 58kg 
She was disappointing on face value first-up in the Mille Fox Stakes (1300m), which was the race she won first-up last preparation as a lead-up to her tough victory in the Coolmore Classic last year. Barrier 21 looks horrendous and she will have to use up plenty of early petrol to find a position near the speed. 
Odds: $26.00 (Neds)

2. DIXIE BLOSSOMS (2) - Ron Quinton, Christian Reith, 56.5kg 
The twin of Daysee Doom, Dixie Blossoms likely won’t see the stablemate in the run, as they have drawn 19 barriers apart. She comes through the Group 2 Guy Walter (1400m) where she looked the winner at the furlong but just looked to peak on her run the final 100m, finishing second. She has a figure of 10.9 lengths above benchmark on a soft track, which puts her as one of only five horses in the race to have a +10L figure on rain affected track. She will need luck in the straight from barrier two but is a key chance if everything goes her way. 
Odds: $14.00 (Beteasy)

3. SAVVY COUP (4) - Chris Waller, Opie Bosson, 56.5kg
Now in the stable of Chris Waller, this former New Zealand horse won the Group 1 Livamol Classic (2040m) before contesting the Cox Plate. Her first-up run in the Mille Fox Stakes was very poor and I couldn’t possibly back her off that performance.
Odds: $61.00 (Sportsbet)

4. ECKSTEIN (11) - Kurt Goldman, Sam Clipperton, 56kg 
The Kurt Goldman-trained Eckstein was solid second-up last start, running fifth in the Group 2 Guy Walter (1400m). Third-up last preparation she beat Plein Ciel in a Listed race at Flemington over 1400m. She is racing like she needs more ground now, which she gets stepping up to 1500m here. I don’t think she has the figures to be a genuine winning chance.
Odds: $27.00 (Sportsbet

5. OREGON’S DAY (3) - Mick Price, Michael Walker, 56kg 
She was $5.00 out to $7.50 first-up but got the run and bolted through to defeating the highly talented Clarice Cliffs in the Group 3 Tressady Stakes (1400m) at Flemington. The concern is, she hasn’t faced a wet track since August 2017 but in the start prior she did run fifth (beaten 1.4 lengths) behind Foxplay in the Group 1 Coolmore Legacy. She is right in this. 
Odds: $13.00 (Beteasy)

6. ALASSIO (6) - Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott, Tim Clark, 55.5kg 
She has flown through the grades this preparation, four starts ago she was in a Benchmark 78 and has since won the Group 3 Triscay Stakes (1200m) and the Group 2 Guy Walter Stakes (1400m). Her figures suggest she is a little below these but does map to get a nice run from barrier six with Tim Clark on board.
Odds: $13.00 (Ladbrokes

8. NOIRE (14) - Chris Waller, Damian Lane, 55.5kg 
She was a bad last in the Guy Walter last start, jockey Hugh Bowman sat up the final 100m and she wasn’t knocked around. Hasn’t fired this prep but is Waller/Lane and likes it wet.
Odds: $26.00 (Sportsbet)

9. WHITE MOSS (5) - Jason Coyle, Kathy O’Hara, 55.5kg 
She scored a blowout at $61 in the Mille Fox Stakes last start, defeating race favourite I Am Serious. She recorded a figure of 8.8 lengths above benchmark which was 5.8 lengths better than any performance of hers for 18 months. She maps well but she hasn’t won consecutive races since 2017.
Odds: $34.00 (Ladbrokes)

10. ALOISIA (24) - Ciaron Maher & David Eustace, Jay Ford, 55kg 
It’s been a strange few months for Aloisia, who ran so well behind Sky Boy in the Group 2 Villiers Stakes in December. She was given a short spell and was back for a barrier trial seven weeks later before facing Winx in the Apollo Stakes (1400m). She has had 27 days since that run which doesn’t make a great deal of sense to me. Tim Clark who has ridden Aloisia in her last two starts including a barrier trial now rides Alassio. She will go back from the wide draw and watch for her running on late.
Odds: $19.00 (Beteasy)

11. I AM SERIOUS (15) - Chris Waller, James McDonald, 55kg 
The race favourite is the Chris Waller-trained I Am Serious. The five-year-old mare is a model of consistency, running in the top three in her last eight starts, with the last time she missed the placings almost 12 months ago. She has five wins and two placings from seven starts on rain affected going and her figure of 12.2 lengths above benchmark behind Avilius in the Group 3 Kingston Town Stakes (2000m) is good enough to win this. She should stay out of trouble from barrier 15 and if it’s a race to the outside fence, she looks well suited. 
Odds: $5.50 (Beteasy)

12. INVINCIBLE GEM (18) - Kris Lees, Jason Collett, 55kg 
Invincible Gem often runs well but doesn’t often win, in fact her last victory was against Le Romain in the Group 2 Missile Stakes in August, 2017. Her wet track form is ok but I couldn’t back her.
Odds: $51.00 (Bet365)

13. PRINCESS POSH (23) - Kris Lees, Kerrin McEvoy, 55kg 
Princess Posh showed terrific improvement off a flat first-up run, winning the Group 3 Newcastle Handicap (1400m) in a race that rated well on the day, as she ran three-lengths above the class benchmark. She is another horse who would be advantaged if it was a race to the outside fence from barrier 23 with Kerrin McEvoy on board. It wouldn’t surprise me if she ran into the placings.
Odds: $26.00 (Beteasy)

14. SAVATIANO (19) - James Cummings, Corey Brown, 54kg 
I thought Savatiano was terrific behind White Moss and I Am Serious first-up in the Mille Fox, she ran the fastest 600m-400m split and the fastest 400m-200m split of the race before peaking on her run over the final furlong, running the fourth-fastest last 200m. She was left in front a long way out last start in the Newcastle Handicap (1600m) and was just run down by Princess Posh over the final 50m. I like the slight step back from a mile to 1600m and she has shown she can handle a wet track. Big chance. 
Odds: $16.00 (Beteasy)

15. EL DORADO DREAMING (20) - Kris Lees, Brenton Avdulla, 53.5kg 
Our leading form analyst Aaron Hamilton is keen on the chances of El Dorado Dreaming and she does look to be over the odds. She has an SP that was similar to Mystic Journey when running third behind her on Cox Plate Day at Moonee Valley. She comes into Saturday’s event third-up, and despite drawing wide, she’ll be looking to drop out and come with a big run in the straight. 
Odds: $17.00 (Ladbrokes)

16. FIESTA (12) - Chris Waller, Glyn Schofield, 52.5kg
Another horse that looks over the odds is the Chris Waller-trained Fiesta. She produced terrific figures, showing an explosive turn of foot, running 11.2 lengths above benchmark over the final 600m to defeating Golden Slipper winner Estijaab. She was well supported going into the Group 1 Surround Stakes (1400m) last start and ran well, running the fourth-fastest 600m-400m split of the race, second-fastest 400m-200m split of the race but just ran out of fitness late, running the sixth-fastest last 200m. I think she will improve third-up over 1500m and has shown she races well on wet tracks.
Odds: $13.00 (Sportsbet)
 
17. JAMAICAN RAIN (16) - Richard Laming, Glen Boss, 52.5kg 
Jamaican Rain is the best wet tracker in the field and with Rosehill predicted to get between 40-100mm of rain in the next 48 hours, that is a big advantage. She surprised me first-up, winning the Group 3 Mannerism Stakes on a Good 3 at Caulfield, defeating Naantali and subsequent winner Spanish Reef. First-up for 175 days, I really liked her turn of foot, as she ran 2.9 lengths quicker than the G3 benchmark for the final 600m. She has had six starts on wet tracks for five wins and one second. Her two peak runs have both been on rain affected tracks. She ran 12.3 lengths above benchmark when beating Hectopascal at MV last year, only Fiesta & Daysee Doom (2017) have run better figures than that on a rain affected track.
Odds: $7.50 (Beteasy)

18. BELLA MARTINI (9) - Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes, Jye McNeil, 52kg 
Bella Martini is a horse I have plenty of time for but not at Group One level. She has finished a combined 5.5 lengths behind Alassio at her last two starts and that’s an accurate representation of where those two horses are at. Not for me.
Odds: $34.00 (Ladbrokes)

19. MANICURE (22) - James Cummings, Robbie Dolan, 52kg 
She has run well at every start this preparation despite only winning on from four. She has finished in the placings behind Alassio and although she does have a strong SP profile and blinkers first time, she also goes K.McEvoy to R.Dolan and that’s enough for me to put the pen through her.
Odds: $21.00 (Neds)

20. MOSS TRIP (7) - Peter & Paul Snowden, Tommy Berry, 51.5kg 
I thought Moss Trip was slight unders at close to single figure odds. Her wet track form is ok but the case is probably there to say she performs better on top of the ground. The Snowden stable is struggling at the moment and although she will likely improve off her fourth in the Mille Fox, I’m happy to risk her.
Odds: $13.00 (Bet365)


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2019 Coolmore Classic Runners - Runner-by-runner guide for the Coolmore Classic

A capacity field of 20 fillies and mares will contest the Group 1 Coolmore Classic (1500m) at a wet Rosehill on Saturday.

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