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Coolmore Legacy Stakes Betting Tips - How history can help us find the winner?

  • What are the recent trends in the Coolmore Legacy Stakes? 
  • And how can history help us find the winner?
Alizee won the Coolmore Legacy in 2018 (PA Images)

The Coolmore Legacy Stakes (1600m), officially registered as the Queen Of The Turf Stakes, is a $1 million race for the fillies and mares and is one of four Group 1 races on the second day of The Championships at Randwick. 

The Queen Of The Turf has carried Group 1 status since 2005 and was run at Rosehill over 1500m up until 2014 when it became part of the rebranded autumn carnival. 

Some gun gallopers have taken it out in the last few years, including More Joyous in 2011 and 2012, as well as Typhoon Tracy (2010) and Divine Madonna (2007). Alizee was the winner last year.  

In order to help find a winner in the race for the girls, we have delved back into the record books and analysed the trends of the race since the year 2000. 

In the time period this millennium, the race has been a pretty good one for favourite backers with 10 of the 19 popular elects scoring in the race including Azkadellia in 2016. 

More Joyous won at the odds of $1.50 and $1.25 when she won, while the likes of Typhoon Tracy, Forensics (2008), Divine Madonna and Mnemosyne (2006) all paid below $4. 

This year, the early market with ladbrokes is wide open. Alizee is rated a $5 chance of going back to back, while Dixie Blossoms and Nakeeta Jane have been posted at $7.50. Amphitrite is at $8, while Prompt Response and Fundamentalist (both $12) head the rest. 

It should be noted that it hasn't all been one-way traffic for favoured runners, particularly since the Queen Of The Turf was shifted to Randwick in 2014. Diamond Drille scored at the odds of $41 that year while Amanpor won at $21 in 2015. Silent Sedition went down as the popular elect last year and in 2017.

Diamond Drille and Amanpour are two of an amazing seven winners since 2000 for trainer Gai Waterhouse in the race, and this year the leading lady is in a training partnership with Adrian Bott and they saddle up Sedanzer. 

Other successful trainers include John Hawkes and Peter Snowden. Hawkes won with Hosannah (2003), Ike's Dream (2005) and Mnemosyne. The Hawkes team have Dyslexic this year. 

Key lead up races to the Queen Of The Turf have always been the Emancipation Stakes (1500m) and the Coolmore Classic (1500m). Two of the past five winners have had their last run in the Emancipation, while the Coolmore has always been a good form reference. 

Alizee and Foxplay dropped down in distance after missing out in the Vinery Stud Stakes (2000m) in the past two years. 

This year, Invincible Gem won the Emancipation from Daysee Doom. Dixie Blossoms won the Coolmore and has since run 6th in the Doncaster Mile (1600m). 

Interestingly, Appearance (2013) is the only to have won both the Coolmore and the Queen Of The Turf in successive runs. Amanpour was 2nd in the Emancipation in 2015, while Diamond Drille ran 4th in that race the year before. 

The 2016 winner, Azkadelllia, ran 3rd in the Doncaster (1600m) behind Winx before scoring in this race. Of the contenders this year, Alizee (17th), Unforgotten (13th), Eckstein (18th) and Fundamentalist (11th) are others to come out of the Doncaster. Note that 13 of the past 14 winners have placed in the top four at their previous start. 

Only three of the 18 winners since 2000 have been trained in Victoria. They were Azkadellia, Typhoon Tracy and Divine Madonna. Of this year's field of 19, four are listed as being trained in Victoria, including Seabrook and Kenedna. 

There are three horses aged four in the race this year and they are Alizee, Unforgotten and Dyslexic. That age bracket has accounted for 10 winners since 2000, making them the most successful. 

There have been six three-year-olds that have saluted and three winners aged five. Fundamentalist , Nakeeta Jane and Seabrook are the youngsters this year. The past two were three-year-olds that dropped in distance after missing out in the Vinery Stud Stakes. Nakeeta Jane and Seabrook are the two that come out of that and finished 4th and 5th. 

The likes of  Daysee Doom and Dixie Blossoms (both aged six) will be out to defy the trends of younger horses winning this race. . 

Selection according to trends

Nakeeta Jane looks to be a great chance based on trends, while Sedznzer is one that represents each-way value. 


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Coolmore Legacy Stakes Betting Tips - How history can help us find the winner?

What are the recent trends in the Coolmore Legacy Stakes? And how can history help us find the winner?

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