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Futurity Stakes Tips: Betting pointers to consider for the Caulfield Group 1

  • What to look for to find the Futurity Stakes winner
  • Key pointers to consider when backing a horse in the Futurity Stakes
Typhoon Tracy

Looking for the winner of the Futurity Stakes is a tough task, but keeping some important factors on your side can help you.

The Futurity Stakes can be a real testing type of race when it comes to betting. Usually around half the field have had one start since resuming from the Spring Carnival, while some others will be first-up. 

With the race run under weight-for-age conditions, it brings both sexes and horses of all ages back to a level playing field which makes it an even bigger challenge.

The main lead-up races used include the Group 1 CF Orr Stakes, which is run two weeks prior at Caulfield. Also, the Black Caviar Lightning Stakes, Expressway Stakes and Breeders Classic have been used in preparation for the Futurity.

In recent years, the Futurity Stakes has been won many times by last start winners, most of which that have come from the CF Orr Stakes a fortnight prior. In 2015, Dissident won the CF Orr Stakes, only to finish third in the Futurity. 

However, in 2014 Moment Of Change won the CF Orr Stakes then went on to win the Futurity. This feat was also achieved in 2013 when All Too Hard won both races. Typhoon Tracy did the double as well in 2010.



Moment of Change

As with the CF Orr Stakes, the 1400m start at Caulfield has a very short run to the first turn which gives inside barriers a distinct advantage. All jockeys have to jostle for preferred running positions and this can lead to fancied runners who are drawn wide trapped back in the field. The statistics reflect this over the past 30 years with barriers one to seven winning the race on 23 occasions.

Three-year-olds have a strong record in the race. Since 1986, the younger brigade have won the event 13 times. 

In recent years, favourites have fared well, winning five of the last ten races. Of the other five races, the favourite finished in the minor money on four occasions.

Long-shots haven’t fared as well. In the past 30 years, only one horse at double figure odds has taken the main prize. 

Leading trainers since 1983 are David Hayes with four wins from 19 starts, and Lee Freedman with four winners from 16 starts.

The leading jockey in the event is Damien Oliver with four winners and five placegetters from 18 rides. Several riders have claimed a double in the race including Craig Williams and Luke Nolan.

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Futurity Stakes Tips: Betting pointers to consider for the Caulfield Group 1

Looking for the winner of the Futurity Stakes is a tough task, but keeping some important factors on your side can help you.

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