No spam ever. Unsubscribe in one click. By submitting your email address, you indicate your consent to receiving email marketing messages from us.

Kingsford-Smith Cup Tips - look for value in open event

  • Confidence rating: 60%
  • Suggested stake: 1 unit to Win & 2 units to Place
The Bostonian (left) gets the better of Dollar For Dollar in the Doomben 10,000 (PA Images)

Saturday’s Group 1 Kingsford-Smith Cup (1300m) is a wide-open affair and it wouldn’t surprise to see any of a dozen of the 18 runners salute. 

Trekking is the $6 favourite ahead of The Bostonian, Home Of The Brave and I Am Excited at $9 apiece. 

I can’t knock the form of Trekking and rate him as one of the top three chances, but the trio on the next line of betting each have detractors and we can find better value with a horse that has strong form behind The Bostonian who won the Group 1 Doomben 10,000 last start. 

The Tony McEvoy-trained Dollar For Dollar was beaten less than half a length behind The Bostonian, however, I think he has more upside and will be better suited on Saturday. 

The six-year-old son of High Chaparral has been sparingly raced with just 24 runs under his belt, and I think he goes into this slightly underrated considering he’s won eight races for a winning strike rate of 33 percent. 

This horse always seems to peak third or fourth-up from a spell, and with two solid runs under his belt this campaign, he looks set to run a big race. 

First-up this time in, he did all the work out in front and was only caught by Haunted who carried 4.5kg less.

Second-up he went to QLD for the Doomben 10,000, and after sitting outside I’m A Rippa and taking over in the straight, he faded in the final 100m to hold on for 3rd behind The Bostonian and Osborne Bulls. 

He was level with Nature Strip as they straightened and was a length in front of that galloper at the 300m mark and 1.5 lengths in front at the 150m mark before beating Nature Strip home by half a length. 

Nature Strip did it tough, and the remainder of the field made ground on Dollar For Dollar, so that tells me he clearly peaked on his run. 

As mentioned before, he improves third and fourth-up, and that’s evident by his fourth-up 2nd placing in the Group 1 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes (1400m), 1.3-length 9th behind Hartnell in the CF Orr Stakes (1400m) at his third run in, as well as a victory over Land Of Plenty in a 1400m race at Flemington when third-up.

I’m expecting Dollar For Dollar to sit outside Irithea or lead if that galloper opts for a sit behind the speed. 

With extra fitness on his side and the in-form Jamie Kah in the saddle, I think the McEvoy stable can taste Group 1 success for the second week in a row after Despatch scored in last Saturday’s The Goodwood at Morphettville. 

Trekking looms as the main danger, and with the right run, Outback Barbie can figure in the finish. 

Outback Barbie was a bit unlucky in the Doomben 10,000 and has plenty of upside but I’m worried where she’ll get to from barrier 16.



Upcoming Races

Share this with your friends

To:
From:
Your comments:

Kingsford-Smith Cup Tips - look for value in open event

Saturday’s Group 1 Kingsford-Smith Cup (1300m) is a wide-open affair and it wouldn’t surprise to see any of a dozen of the 18 runners salute.

Read more »

You have unread messages

You have unread messages