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Kingston Town Classic Tips - Analysing the recent trends of the Group 1 Kingston Town Stakes

  • The Kingston Town Classic is the last Group 1 race of the calendar year in Australia. 
Stratum Star is a former winner of the Kingston Town Classic

The Kingston Town Classic (1800m) is one of three Group 1 races for the calendar year in Perth and is also the last race of the year at the highest level in Australia. 

The $1 million weight-for-age race has been won by some quality gallopers in the past including Kingston Town, Vo Rogue and Better Loosen Up, while in recent times, Pounamu (2017), Stratum Star (2016), Perfect Reflection (2015) and Moriarty (2014) have been successful. 

If we take a look at the history of the feature race since the year 2000, there are a few things to consider when it comes to finding a winner. 

The Kingston Town Classic has generally been a good one for punters, particularly in recent years with six of the past nine taken out by the race favourite. 

Nine of the past 12 winners have scored at odds of $6 or below. Perfect Reflection and Moriarty both lobbed as $4.50 favourite's, while Ihtsaymn landed as a second top pick at $4.25 in 2014. The shortest priced winner since 2000 is Luckygray, who scored at $2.25 in 2012.  

The previous two years have seen a couple of minor upsets with Stratum Star winning as a $10 chance in 2016 before Pounamu landed at $21 last year. 

Playing God ($21 in 2011), Early Express ($21 in 2005), True Steel ($26 in 2003) and Blevvo ($26 in 2002) are other gallopers to score above double figure odds since 2000. 

This year, the W.A Guineas (1600m) winner, Arcadia Queen is a $2.50 favourite in early markets with sportsbet, while Galaxy Star, who saluted in the Railway Stakes (1600m), is at $5.50.

Other main fancies include Trap For Fools ($7), Material Man ($8), Holy Snow ($13) and Getting ($18). 

The ideal lead up form to the Kingston Town Stakes has traditionally been the Railway Stakes (1600m), held at Ascot a fortnight prior. Nine of the past 14 winners have come out of the Railway but only two of those have completed the double. 

Five were placed in the Railway before going on to win the Kingston Town. They were Moriarty, Luckygray, Early Express and Niconero on two occasions. Sniper's Bullet (2009) and Modem (2004) are the two to achieve the double. The placegetters behind Galaxy Star this year were Getting and Material Man. 

A couple of interesting contenders this year are Trap For Fools and Holy Snow. Both had their last runs in Melbourne. Trap For Fools claimed the Mackinnon Stakes (2000m), while Holy Snow caught the eye in the Sandown Stakes (1500m), finishing runner-up. 

If you are considering a wager on either of these two, keep in mind that every Kingston Town winner this millennium has had their previous start in Perth, except for Stratum Star. 

Like Holy Snow, he had his previous run in the Sandown Stakes (1500m) before winning in 2016. The mighty Vo Rogue was the last winner to come out of the Mackinnon. Both Holy Snow and Stratum Star are from the Darren Weir stable. 

In this year's Kingston Town Classic there is just one galloper aged three and that is the favourite, Arcadia Queen, who is also a filly. 

The youngsters have a solid record, prevailing on five occasions since 2000 and the most recent of those was Perfect Reflection in 2015, who was also a filly. Like Arcadia Queen, she comes from the Grant Williams stable. 

However, the fairer sex has generally been unsuccessful in this race. Asides from Perfect Reflection, the most recent mare to salute was St Clemens Belle back in 1999. Galaxy Star, Elegant Blast and Perfect Jewel are the mares this year. 

The most successful trainer’s in the Kingston Town have been David Hayes, Neville Parnham and Noel Lamey with two wins apiece. Lamey trained Old Comrade to victory in 2000 and 2001 before Lindsay Smith became the regular trainer of the former star galloper.

None of that group have a contender this year. The Williams stable have three runners, while Weir and Justin Warwick have two apiece. 

Of the hoops, multiple winners include Paul Harvey, Steven Parnham and Brad Rawiler. They have shared nine of the past 18 Kingston Town Stakes. None of that trio are in action. Willy Pike rides Aracadia Queen and was on board Perfect Reflection three years ago.

Finally, it is worth noting that horses have been able to win from a wide variety of barriers. Sniper's Bullet was able to win from barrier 16 in 2009, while Niconero won from 14 in 2008. The most successful gates to jump from have been 1, 2 and 10, with those positions accounting for seven of the 17 winners since 2000. 

Achernar Star jumps from the pole this year, while Material Man is in 2 and Trap For Fools is in 10. 

Selections based on trends:

You could make a case for a few of these on trends, including Arcadia Queen and Holy Snow but the Railway form is the one to look to. Material Man placed in that race a fortnight ago and ticks the most boxes.  

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Kingston Town Classic Tips - Analysing the recent trends of the Group 1 Kingston Town Stakes

The Kingston Town Classic is the last Group 1 race of the calendar year in Australia.

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