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Empire Rose Stakes Tips - Weir’s filly can make it 5 from 5 this prep

  • Expert Myer Classic tips
  • Who will win the fillies' and mares' Group 1?
Craig Williams riding Amphitrite wins the TAB Edward Manifold Stakes at Flemington

It’s rare that a favourite looks over the odds, but at $4.60, Amphitrite genuinely looks above the price she should be for Saturday’s Group 1 Empire Rose Stakes (1600m) at Flemington.

And for some reason, Craig Williams is off Amphitrite after winning his past four starts on her - and Williams now partners the Tony McEvoy-trained Oohood.

Surely, he didn’t get booted after winning four in a row on Amphitrite, especially after the last win was a pearler of a ride from barrier 15 of 15 in the Thousand Guineas (1600m).

We’ll soon find out if Williams has pulled the right rein, but on form, you just can’t go past Amphitrite.

She’s two from two at Flemington, and last start in the Thousand Guineas, she ran quicker time (1:35.67) than The Autumn Sun did (1:35.58) to win the Caulfield Guineas – and Oohood was 4.7 lengths from The Autumn Sun. 

As well as running quicker time, Amphitrite came home in 34.52 for her final 600m and 11.63 for her final 200m, while Oohood clocked 34.89 and 11.88 for the same sectionals of a slightly slower early speed.

Oohood drops 4.5kg on that run and Amphitrite drops 5.5kg, so on that run alone, and the fact Amphitrite has won both races at Flemington, it’s hard to see Oohood getting the better of Weir’s filly. 

2016 Empire Rose (Myer Classic) winner I Am A Star won last start at Caufield in much slower time than the fillies when clocking 1:38.73, and with 7kg more, I can’t see her holding them off from the front. 

Shoals won last year’s Empire Rose with 50kg following her 2nd placing to Aloisia in the Thousand Guineas in a time of 1:36.27 and considering this year’s top fillies are running quicker time, there is no reason a three-year-old can’t score for the third year in a row. 

As long as Amphitrite hasn’t taken a backward step following her last start win, she can make it five from five this campaign.



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Empire Rose Stakes Tips - Weir’s filly can make it 5 from 5 this prep

It’s rare that a favourite looks over the odds, but at $4.60, Amphitrite genuinely looks above the price she should be for Saturday’s Group 1 Empire Rose Stakes (1600m) at Flemington.

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