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Queen Elizabeth Stakes Betting Tips - Does Winx have history on her side?

  • What are the recent trends in the Queen Elizabeth Stakes? \
  • Who can feature behind Winx?
Winx will be out to win her third Queen Elizabeth Stakes when she farewells racing (PA Images)

The Queen Elizabeth Stakes (2000m) is now considered to be one of the most prestigious races on the Australian calendar, following a significant boost in prize money five years ago. 

The $4 million Group 1 is one of the marquee events of Sydney's autumn carnival that is headlined by 'The Championships. 

Since the prizemoney change it has been won by It's A Dundeel, Criterion, Lucia Valentina and Winx in the past two years. Other past winners include, Might And Power, Tulloch and Pharlap. 

Once again this year it is all about Winx. The darling of the turf is set to run her last ever race and is a $1.06 favourite in early markets with sportsbet. 

While the Queen Elizabeth just about looks a fait accompli for Winx in her finale, we have analysed the trends of the race since the year 2000 in order to see how she measures up, while we are also keen to find out the horses that may fill the placing. 

Winx is likely be the shortest priced favourite in the race this millennium, surpassing the $1.12 that she started at in 2017. 

Interestingly, Lonhro was rolled as a $1.26 chance in 2004 in what was his last start before going to stud, when Gai Waterhouse's Grand Armee romped to a six length win. 

Lonhro fared better the year before, scoring as a $1.90 favourite, while Grand Armee (2005) and Eremein (2006) also won at that price later on. Road To Rock (2010) and More Joyous (2012) are other favourites to score in this race. Both of those gallopers won as $3.25 fancies. 

Winx, More Joyous and Lucia Valentina are mares to have won the Queen Elizabeth Stakes this milennium. Generally it has been the male horses that have dominated this race, although the girls have been under-represented. 

In 2015, Criterion won as a $5 shot, defeating the Japanese galloper To The World, who started at $4, while It's A Dundeel won at the odds of $4.50 in 2014. 

The average price of the winning horses since 2000 has been $8 and Sarerra (2008) is the only out and out roughie to win the event in that time period, scoring at the odds of $51. 

Outside of Winx this year, He's Eminent is a $19 chance, while a couple of Winx' old sparring partners in Happy Clapper ($21) and Hartnell ($23) are next. 

Winx has drawn barrier 9 this year and the draw has played an important part in determining the winner of the Queen Elizabeth Stakes with 11 of the past 19 winners jumping from between barriers 1-4. This year, those positions are occupied by Kluger, Shillelagh, He's Eminent and Hartnell. 

It is interesting to note that that all winners since 2000, except Sarrera, have had their last start in Sydney and seven of the 19 winners have come out of the Doncaster Handicap (1600m), while five have dropped back in distance after tackling the BMW (2400m) at their previous start. 

Of the runners this year, Hartnell, Kluger and Shillelagh come out of the Doncaster. That trio finished 3rd, 4th and 5th. Winx has followed her usual path of coming out of the George Ryder Stakes (1500m). He's Eminent and Danzdanzdance were prominent in the Ranvet Stakes. 

The most successful age group in the Queen Elizabeth Stakes has been the four-year-olds, who have provided seven winners since 2000 including It's A Dundeel, Lonhro, Defier (2002) and Shogun Lodge (2001). This year, Danzdanzdance is the sole four-year-old. 

The most successful trainers in the race have been Chris Waller and Gai Waterhouse with four wins apiece. Winner's for Waterhouse were Grand Armee on two occasions, while her others were Desert War (2007) and More Joyous. 

Waller took out the race in 2011 with My Kingdom Of Fife before claiming victory again in 2013 with Reliable Man and Winx (2017-2018).

There are two international horses in the field this year and they are He's Eminent and Kluger. No foreign trained horses have won the Queen Elizabeth. Only two Victorian based trainers have won the race since 2000 and they were the David Hayes and Tom Dabernig team in 2015, as well as Mike Moroney in 2008. 

Of the jockeys, Damien Oliver has won the race on four occasions, while Hugh Bowman has won it three times. Glen Boss and Nash Rawiler both have two wins since 2000. 

Selection according to trends

Trends go out the window when Winx is racing but there is nothing to suggest she wont farewell with another magical win. The exacta horse shapes as Hartnell. 

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Queen Elizabeth Stakes Betting Tips - Does Winx have history on her side?

What are the recent trends in the Queen Elizabeth Stakes? Who can feature behind Winx?

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