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Spring Champion Stakes Tips - Analysing the history of the Spring Champion Stakes

  • How does history help us find the winner of the Spring Champion Stakes?
Monaco Consul is a former winner of the Spring Champion Stakes

The Spring Champion Stakes (2000m) is the final Group 1 race for the spring in Sydney and is worth $500,000. 

The Randwick feature has been won by some quality gallopers over the years, including It's A Dundeel (2012), Savabeel (2004), Tie The Knot (1997) and Nothin Leica Dane (1995). 

The mighty Kingston Town (1979) is another big name to grace the honour roll, while last year's winner, Ace High, went on to win the VRC Derby (2500m). In 2016, Yankee Rose, became the first filly to win the event and subsequently ran 3rd to Winx and Hartnell in the 2016 Cox Plate (2040m). 

When it comes to picking a winner in the Spring Champion Stakes, there are a number of historical trends to take into account. 

The Gloaming Stakes (1800m) has always been the ideal lead up to the race and has provided six of the past eight winners. The first four home in that race this year will be running for Group 1 glory on Saturday and they are Thinking' Big (1st), Tarka (2nd) Irukandji (3rd) and Panzerfaust (4th). 

The Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott-trained Thinkin' Big has been posted as the $3.40 favourite in early markets with sportsbet, while Tarka is at $7.50. Irukandji ($26) and Panzerfaust ($41) are among the roughies. 

The Stan Fox Stakes (1500m) runner-up, Dealmaker, is at $7, while the Newcastle Spring Stakes (1600m) winner, Aramayo, is at $7.50. Others in the market are Purple Sector and Mickey Blue Eyes (both $9).

For fans of Aramayo, the Spring Stakes provided six winners in the early 2000s. Dealmaker finished runner-up to Tarka in the Stan Fox Stakes and will have had four weeks in between runs. 

Mickey Blue Eyes claimed the Dulcify Stakes (1600m) last weekend and will be out to join Hampton Court (2014) is the most recent winner of the Spring Champion to have had its final run in the Dulcify, claiming both races. 

Since the year 2000, every winner has finished in the top three at its previous start. Yankee Rose finished 2nd in the Flight Stakes (1600m) in 2016 before winning the Spring Champion. However, she was later disqualified from the Flight Stakes due to a positive swab. 

Thinkin'  Big will be out to join Ace High, Yankee Rose and the 2015 winner, Vanbrugh, as recent favourites to score in the Spring Champion. However, the race has been a mixed one for the popular elects over the years. 

Vanbrugh ended an 11 year losing streak for horses that started as favourite. There have also been a couple of blowout results with Monaco Consul (2009) and Teranaba (2007) starting at $51. 

Gai Waterhouse has trained two winners of this race since 2000 with her winners being Platinum Scissors (2002) and Hampton Court. Chris Waller saddles up Dealmaker and won with Vanbrugh in 2015. 

Of the jockeys in this year's Spring Champion, Tye Angland won the race last year and will be on Aramayo. James McDonald won on It's A Dundeel in 2012 and rides Tarka. 

Finally, it is interesting to note that gallopers have been able to win from a wide range of barriers and that it may even be an advantage to draw out. 12 of the 17 winners since the year 2000 have drawn in the second half of the field. 

Of the favoured runners this year, Thinkin' Big has drawn barrier 7, while Tarka will jump from barrier 2. Aramayo has drawn barrier 1. Dealmaker (11) and Mickey Blue Eyes (10) are among those with history on their side. 

Selection according to trends:

The Gloaming form has been a strong reference for this in recent years and there is no reason to suggest why Thinkin' Big can't do the job for favourite backers. 

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Spring Champion Stakes Tips - Analysing the history of the Spring Champion Stakes

How does history help us find the winner of the Spring Champion Stakes?

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