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2019 Sydney Cup Runners - Runner-by-Runner guide for the Sydney Cup

Our runner-by-runner guide for the Group 1 Sydney Cup (3200m) 
Charlie Appleby is looking for another Cup.

The Charlie Appleby-trained Dubhe is a warm favourite for Saturday’s Group 1 Sydney Cup (3200m) at Royal Randwick. 

Here is our runner-by-runner guide for the Sydney Cup. 

1. THE TAJ MAHAL (8) - Liam Howley, James McDonald, 56kg 
I’m very surprised to see The Taj Mahal lining up in this race, I thought he had the perfect run last start in the Chairman’s Quality (2600m) and was $26 into $10. He dropped out badly and I thought he would’ve gone to the paddock after that effort. Instead he is here on the seven-day backup and James McDonald sticks with him. I have no idea how to price him. 
Odds: $41.00 (Ladbrokes

2. SOUND (13) - Michael Moroney, Damian Lane, 55.5kg 
There were whispers around that he had really improved and was $101 into $61 for the Tancred Stakes. The whispers were correct as he ran a nice fourth behind Avilius. D.Lane sticks with him and the Moroney stable is airborne. 
Odds: $26.00 (Beteasy)

3. PATRICK ERIN (5) - Chris Waller, Glyn Schofield, 54.5kg
He has looked outclassed in four runs this preparation and no offense to connections but that Group 1 Metropolitan he won could’ve been the worst Group One held on Australian soil in recent memory.
Odds: $41.00 (Ladbrokes

4. RED CARDINAL (18) - Kris Lees, Jason Collett, 54kg 
Although he had no chance to win last start in the Tancred Stakes the way the race was run, I feel like he has missed his chance to win a Group One. He did run the third-fastest 800m-600m split and 600m-400m split then the seventh-fastest 400m-200m and last 200m. That was his chance on a heavy track, the drying track won’t help at all, neither will barrier 18 or the jockey switch from K.McEvoy to J.Collett.
Odds: $14.00 (Sportsbet)

5. BIG DUKE (21) - Kris Lees, Brenton Avdulla, 54kg 
I thought his run in the Tancred Stakes was full of merit, running the second-fastest 600-400m and 400m-200m of the race before running the fourth-fastest last 200m, running his last 600m five-lengths above the overall benchmark. The query is those horses in behind him were average at best and he will get a long way back from barrier 21. 
Odds: $10.00 (Neds

6. VENGEUR MASQUE (16) - Michael Moroney, Damien Oliver, 54kg 
He ran up to his starting price last start in the Chairman’s behind Gallic Chieftain, running 10th beaten 4.3 lengths. His last sectionals don’t excite me but he should be an improver on top of the ground. The jockey change from P.Moloney to D.Oliver is a massive positive. 
Odds: $71.00 (Palmerbet

7. SIR CHARLES ROAD (20) - Lance O’Sullivan & Andrew Scott, Andrew Adkins, 53kg
He was seventh, beaten 8.3 lengths in the Melbourne Cup so we know he can run the two miles. He ran a nice fourth in the Chairman’s, running the second-fastest last 400m and third-fastest last 200m. He is building towards a good two mile run but barrier 20 is scary.
Odds: $26.00 (Bet365

8. YOGI (15) - Ciaron Maher & David Eustace, Craig Williams, 53kg
We know what Yogi is, he races well fresh but is mostly a plodder who needs all of two miles to be winning. He was just grinding home last start in the Tancred Stakes, running the fourth-fastest 400m-200m of the race but the fastest last 200m. Craig Williams sticks with him and he will get back from barrier 15.
Odds: $13.00 (Bet365
 
9. BRIMHAM ROCKS (14) - Chris Waller, Tommy Berry, 53kg 
He was fourth in the Sky High Stakes behind Red Cardinal and the form from that race has been awful. He was poor last start in the Tancred Stakes and would need a massive improvement to run in the top five. 
Odds: $41.00 (Ladbrokes

10. DUBHE (4) - Charlie Appleby, Kerrin McEvoy, 52.5kg 
The lightly-raced Dubhe looks the class in the race and Charlie Appleby knows how to win a Group One in Australia. He wasn’t given the best rides first-up in Dubai over 2400m when finishing in sixth but was well supported second-up at 3200m. He was rising in class but started a warm $3.25 and belted his rivals, winning by four-lengths and recording a timeform rating of 114. I think his short quote is a byproduct of the lack of class in the race. Respect the late market moves. 
Odds: $3.60 (Unibet)

11. MIDTERM (9) - Liam Howley, Jamie Kah, 52.5kg 
It was a perfect ride from Jamie Kah to win the N.E. Manion Cup (2400m) last start, defeating Big Duke and Sharroh. She went 9.6 lengths above benchmark to the 600m and rated the horse to perfection. The Liam Howley (Lloyd Williams) stable is really struggling for form, as that victory of Midterm’s was the stables only victory in their last 27 runners. He looks classy enough to win but third-up from 2400m upto 3200m is a concern. 
Odds: $8.50 (Beteasy

12. GLORY DAYS (19) - Bill Thurlow, Corey Brown, 52kg 
It’s hard to line-up his New Zealand form. He gets Corey Brown on board and goes come off the 3200m run. Respect any market moves. 
Odds: $18.00 (Sportsbet)

13. ZACADA (12) - Murray Baker & Andrew Forsman, Kathy O’Hara, 52kg 
He hasn’t done much this preparation but did run second, beaten a nose behind Who Shot Thebarman at $101 in this race last year. There’s something in his sectionals to suggest he can improve off his last run and did get checked and lost a plate in the run. Not the worst at massive odds.
Odds: $101.00 (Palmerbet

14. GALLIC CHIEFTAIN (7) - Archie Alexander, Glen Boss, 51.5kg
The ex-Weir horses still explode with the blinkers on and that’s exactly what happened with Gallic Chieftain last start. He got the blinkers back on, looked perfect from the mounting yard and went to a new level. He went 11.1 lengths above benchmark which is the best last start figure of any horse in this race.
Odds: $18.00 (Beteasy

15. RONDINELLA (1) - Roger James & Robert Wellwood, Sam Clipperton, 51kg 
His first-up run in Australia was a very good third in the Tancred Stakes behind Avilius. He went 4.5 lengths above benchmark to the 600m and came home 3.4 lengths above for an overall figure of 7.9 lengths above benchmark. He maps three back the fence from barrier one and is in the game with luck.
Odds: $17.00 (Sportsbet)

16. SHRAAOH (3) - Chris Waller, Jay Ford, 51kg 
I like his preparation for this race. He is up to the two miles fifth-up with his last two runs at 2400m and 2600m. I thought he just peaked late against Gallic Chieftain last start and should be fitter now. He is a winning chance. 
Odds: $12.00 (Ladbrokes

17. SEMARI (6) - Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young, Tim Clark, 51kg 
She has never been beyond 2600m but her last start effort in the Chairman’s Quality suggests it won’t be a huge issue. She probably lacks some class but isn’t the worst lightweight hope from barrier six. 
Odds: $41.00 (Ladbrokes)

18. TOP OF THE RANGE (17) - Michael Moroney, Michael Dee, 51kg 
He has had a five-weeks freshen-up after running second behind Surprise Baby in the Adelaide Cup (3200m) last start. Not classy enough.
Odds: $71.00 (Sportsbet)

19. RODRICO (10) - Bjorn Baker, James Innes Jnr, 51kg 
He was $31 out to $71 in the Chairman’s Quality last start and finished a lackluster ninth. The dyer track won’t help, not here.
Odds: $101.00 (Palmerbet)

20. DOUKHAN (2) - Kris Lees, Andrew Gibbons, 51kg 
His last two 3200m runs, he was seventh of eight in the Sandown Cup behind Yogi and was fourth in The Queen’s Cup on the Sunshine Coast, not good enough.
Odds: $51.00 (Ladbrokes



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2019 Sydney Cup Runners - Runner-by-Runner guide for the Sydney Cup

The Charlie Appleby-trained Dubhe is a warm favourite for Saturday’s Group 1 Sydney Cup (3200m) at Royal Randwick.

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