No spam ever. Unsubscribe in one click. By submitting your email address, you indicate your consent to receiving email marketing messages from us.

The Everest Runner-by-Runner guide

  • The Everest Runner-by-Runner guide
Alizee.

The third running of the $14 million The Everest will be run at Royal Randwick on Saturday and it looks like an outstanding with plenty of genuine winning chances.

Here is our runner-by-runner guide for The Everest 

1. SANTA ANA LANE (2) - Anthony Freedman, Mark Zahra, 58.5kg
I saw him in the mounting yard first-up in the Gilgai Stakes (1200m) and he looked in need of the run, I was impressed by how close he to got Sunlight, considering the track pattern and tempo of the race. Second-up last preparation he won the Premiere Stakes (1200m) at this track and distance and broke the track record. It was obviously a plan from Anthony Freedman to get him here second-up this year instead of third-up. The Freedman stable is seemingly the best grand final camp in Australia, with a strikerate of over 25 percent in Group Ones over the last 18 months. He gets a good track and speed on with Nature Strip, Ten Sovereigns, Redzel and Sunlight all likely to go forward, he is a deserved favourite. 
Odds: $4.80 (Beteasy)

2. PIERATA (1) - Gregory Hickman, Tommy Berry, 58.5kg 
The horse is flying but I don’t like the set-up for Pierata. He has produced a huge close in both his starts this preparation, beating Classique Legend last start in The Shorts, running 11.4L above the G2 benchmark for the final 600m. He was huge first-up against the pattern, running his last 600m in 31.84s. My theory is, the horse is more effective when able to be outside horses and building momentum, he won’t get that from barrier one. 
Odds: $6.00 (Ladbrokes

3. REDZEL (7) - Peter & Paul Snowden, Kerrin McEvoy, 58.5kg 
The only winner of The Everest, Redzel is going for three in a row. He got a picnic in front first up and was able to hold on vs Pierata with the pattern in his favour. I thought he was weak last start but has trialled well since against In Her Time and the Snowdens are the OG grand final stable. The fact he isn’t the only leader in the race this year is a clear negative and I couldn’t be with him. 
Odds: $11.00 (Beteasy)

4. NATURE STRIP (12) - Chris Waller, Tim Clark, 58.5kg 
He was finally let run last start in the Moir Stakes (1000m) at The Valley, he ran his 800m-600m split in 10.18s vs 10.72s when he was snicked first-up and overraced. Although I thought he was terrific in the Moir, the race actually rated poorly (1.4L below G1 benchmark). The obvious question marks are him over 1200m but he does get the set-up to run a good race, with T.Clark on board from barrier 12 where he can blend over and lead at his own tempo. I think $26 is overs for a horse who has started shorter than $2.50 in eight of his last ten starts. 
Odds: $23.00 (Sportsbet)



5. TREKKING (5) - James Cummings, Joshua Parr, 58.5kg 
He was blessed with the run he got last start in the Schillaci but couldn’t have done any more, recording the best figure on the meeting (a meeting with four G1’s) and recorded a peak career performance of 16.2L above BM, running his last 600m 9.2L above the G2 benchmark whilst also running the fastest L200m, 400m & 600m of the meeting. My question is, I don’t think he is anywhere near as effective on quick back-ups, although he has never raced seven-days between runs and will need to replicate a peak career performance. 
Odds: $26.00 (Ladbrokes

6. CLASSIQUE LEGEND (8) - Les Bridge, Nash Rawiller, 58.5kg 
I’m against the horses from the main Sydney lead-ups (The Shorts & Premiere Stakes) and he comes through both. He comes through two very slowly run races, running 17.4L below class benchmark to the 600m and 11L below second-up. I can’t see him peaking enough to win this.
Odds: $18.00 (Sportsbet)

7. TEN SOVEREIGNS (11) - Aidan O’Brien, Ryan Moore, 58.5kg 
It’s very hard to line-up the form, I know the stable is high on him and Ryan Moore has foregone a few very good rides to ride him here. 
Odds: $26.00 (Beteasy)

8. ALIZEE (10) - James Cummings, Hugh Bowman, 56.5kg
I’ve been saying that 1200m is her best trip for about a year now and this is her chance to prove it. She has had 7 starts over 1200m for 4 wins, 2 seconds and a fourth. She boasts a victory over Trapeze Artist at this distance. She trialled like a bomb before her first-up run this prep, Bowman didn’t allow to win by a big margin and she just beat Invincible Gem. The raceshape was against in the Memsie Stakes and she probably peaked the final 50m. She has been freshened and trialled like a bomb vs Brutal who won the lead-up race. 
Odds: $17.00 (Ladbrokes

9. SUNLIGHT (6) - Tony & Calvin McEvoy, Luke Currie, 56.5kg 
She was third-up and on the quick seven-day back-up last start in the Gilgai Stakes and just fell in beating an underdone Santa Ana Lane who was also unsuited with the pattern of the day and the tempo of the race. I can’t see her winning an Everest off that back of that performance. 
Odds: $15.00 (Beteasy

10. IN HER TIME (4) - Kris Lees, Brenton Avdulla, 56.5kg
Kris Lees has kept her fresh and has obviously been targeted at this race for a long time. She is a horse who is now a seven-year-old and It’s hard to get a gauge on how she’s actually going, I’m against her. 
Odds: $26.00 (Sportsbet

11. ARCADIA QUEEN (3) - Chris Waller, James McDonald, 56.5kg 
Although it was over 1800m, what she did in the Kingston Town gave me the impression that she is a genuine superstar, bolting in to record an overall figure of 11.1L above the Group One benchmark. She has two barrier trials leading into the Theo Marks (1300m) and was suited but still ran her last 600m 2.9L above the class benchmark with her overall figure proving very good. She has trialled since and looks trained to the minute for this. With only Pierata and Santa Ana Lane to her inside, she should get a cushy run and with even luck at the top of the straight, should be right in the finish. 
Odds: $4.80 (Beteasy

12. YES YES YES (9) - Chris Waller, Glen Boss, 53kg
He has run two career peak performances in his two runs this preparation. He ran a career PB of 11.9L above benchmark first-up in the Run To The Rose and 11L above benchmark last start in the Golden Rose (1400m). He ran the fastest splits from the 600m-400m and 400m-200m and just peaked late, running the fourth-fastest L200m. He drops back from 1400m to 1200m but this is his first time outside of his own age group. The map from barrier nine is sticky and although he can win, I thought he was unders at the price.
Odds: $10.00 (Ladbrokes


Upcoming Races

Share this with your friends

To:
From:
Your comments:

The Everest Runner-by-Runner guide

The third running of the $14 million The Everest will be run at Royal Randwick on Saturday and it looks like an outstanding with plenty of genuine winning chances.

Read more »

You have unread messages

You have unread messages