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VRC Sprint Classic Tips - Analysing the recent trends of the Group 1 at Flemington

  • How does history help us find the winner in the Group 1 race down the famous straight? 
Redzel won the VRC Sprint Classic in 2017

The VRC Sprint Classic (1200m) is usually one of the most anticipated races of the Flemington carnival and always attracts the best sprinters. The race, recently known as the Darley Classic, used to be run on the first Saturday of the Flemington carnival before being switched to Stakes day in 2007. 

Winners include the mighty Black Caviar in 2010/2011, while in recent times, Miss Andretti (2007) and Takeover Target (2004) are among other famous names to have reigned supreme. Redzel won the race last year and will be looking to go back to back. 

Taking a look at the history of the race since the year 2000, there are a few things to consider when trying to back a winner. It has not been a happy hunting ground for favourites in the last five years. 

Chautauqua went down twice as a popular elect, while Our Boy Malachi (2016), Lucky Nine (2013) and Sea Siren (2012) were also rolled, despite heading the market. 

Prior to 2012, the mighty Black Caviar dominated. She won at $1.05 in 2011 and at the 'generous' odds of $1.95 in 2010. Miss Andretti scored as a $1.57 chance in 2007. 

Only one other favourite has won in the time period since 2000, All Silent at $4 in 2009. The average price of the winners has been $9. The longest priced winner in the last 18 years was Sudurka at $21 in 2001, while Dance Hero won at $15 in 2006. Last year's winner, Redzel, saluted as a $4 favourite. 

The Peter and Paul Snowden-trained galloper is aiming to join Black Caviar as a recent back to back winner. He is currently the early favourite in this years market at $4.80 ahed of Pierata at $5. Kementari ($7), Santa Ana Lane ($9.50) and Spirit Of Valor ($10) are other leading fancies. 

Redzel comes off a win in the Everest (1200m), just as he did prior to winning this race last year. There is no obvious lead up to this race but it should be noted that five of the past eight winners had their previous run at Moonee Valley in either the Manikato Stakes (1200m) or Schweppes Stakes (1000m). The latter used to be run on Cox Plate weekend before being moved to September. Three of those were last start winners.

Gallopers to have come off a run at the Valley are Brave Smash, who won the Manikato, Spirit Of Valor (2nd), Kementari (3rd), Spright (4th), Invincible Star (5th), Fleet Review (9th) and US Navy Flag (14th). 

Spright and Invincible Star are two of three mares in the race this year. The other is In Her Time. The girls have a relatively good record, producing five winners since 2000 with Glamour Puss (2005) and Ancient Song (2003) joining Black Caviar and Miss Andretti as other members of the fairer sex to have won the race. 

An interesting stat is that five-year-olds have dominated this race, winning it on 10 of the 18 occasions since 2000. Horses in that age bracket this year are Spirit Of Valor, Intelligence Cross and Spright.   

Of the trainers in the Darley Classic this year, Peter Snowden has won the race on two occasions with Mental and Redzel his winners. Successful hoops include Ben Melham, Kerrin McEvoy and Hugh Bowman. McEvoy will be going for back to back wins on Redzel. 

Finally, there has been no major advantage or disadvantage for horses that have drawn in or out. Since 2000, horses have been able to win from a variety of spot in this race. 

Selection based on trends

Redzel can go back to back, while Spright is one to consider at odds. 


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VRC Sprint Classic Tips - Analysing the recent trends of the Group 1 at Flemington

How does history help us find the winner in the Group 1 race down the famous straight?

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