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Bendigo Tips November 13 - Three best bets for Bendigo

Jackson Oldham in Free Tips 12 Nov 2019
  • Three best bets for Bendigo 
Bendigo

Midweek racing is at Bendigo on Wednesday for what looks like a really good betting program. It’s an eight-race card on a Good 4 track with the rail in the true position and I’m keen to bet, with my three best bets on the program and the James Cummings-trained Nerone, who I will be putting in multis with my three tips. 

Race 1 - 12:50pm bet365 Odds Drift Protector Maiden Plate (1100m)
I thought the Robbie Griffiths-trained MISS ELENA could be a moral in the opening race of the day. The stable obviously thought enough of the daughter of Toronado to debut here in the Blue Diamond Prelude behind the eventual Blue Diamond winner Lyre and she finished ninth, beaten 6.3 lengths. She resumed from a 265-day spell at Tatura over 1100m 11-days ago and was heavily supported ($3.00 into $2.20) and although she didn’t win, I could see why the money came for her. She ran the fastest 600m-400m split of the race and just didn’t handle the tighter turning Tatura corner and wobbled around the bend that that probably cost her the race. She only ran the fifth-fastest 400m-200m split of the race but once she balanced up, she ripped home running the fastest last 200m of the race and the second-fastest last 200m of the entire meeting. Jye McNeil jumps on board, which is an upgrade from Matt Allen. McNeil has only ridden 3 winners from his last 50 rides but those 3 winners have all come in his last week, with two at Cranbourne and a victory in a Group race on Oceanex. Looking at her dangers in the race, I suppose Odaline will be suited back on a firmer track and i don’t think she was really suited at Yarra Glen last start. I thought Abraxos was way too short in the market, he has only broken class benchmark once in his career and that was on debut at Mornington over 1000m. His trial was only average at Cranbourne and he resumes over 1100m here.  


Race 3 - 2:00pm Bendigo Mazda 3YO Fillies Maiden Plate (1400m)
A horse who has already had some early market support is the Archie Alexander-trained JEALICE. She started $3.90 on debut at Pakenham and showed very little and was quickly spelled. She returned at Benalla and was $12 out to $15, jumped a clear last and settled at the tail, in a race where the leaders went 2.6 lengths slower than class benchmark to the 600m and the first three horses at the 400m finished first, second and fourth. I thought the effort of Jealice to make ground and finish third was outstanding, running the second-fastest last 200m of the meeting and the fastest last 400m of the meeting. 1400m poses no issues and the $4.00 around is good shopping. Looking at the dangers, the market seems to have it right with Our August Rose and especially Dondeska having good claims. Our August Rose closed off in the third-fastest last 200m of the race on debut at Mornington, the step-up to 1400m should suit, as should the bigger track. Dondeska was held-up between the 400m-200m last start at Seymour and really flashed home late, running 11.40s her last 200m, running the second-fastest last 200m and 600m of the meeting. The figures were very good vs the day and D.’O'Brien/L.Currie, I will be saving on her and winning on Jealice. 

Race 6 - 3:45pm Midland Irrigation Class 1 Handicap (1600m)
Young gun trainer Mitch Freedman has had an outstanding Spring Carnival and the stats reflect that, with 11 winners from his last 50 starters and an unreal 85.5 percent ROI over that time period. He can notch another winner here with the four-year-old by Artie Schiller, LIVING THE DREAM. He was $7.50 into $4.60 first-up at Ballarat and ran second but was unsuited by the slow tempo, with the leaders running 9.1L slower than class benchmark to the 600m. He produced a really nice figure of 2.1L above class benchmark second-up when winning his maiden.. It was actually the third-best winning benchmark rating on the day behind Russian Camelot (placed over the Flemington Carnival) and Midas Prince (placed over the Flemington Carnival). He stayed at 1400m last start at Geelong and started $2.80 vs a very smart horse in Sophia’s Choice, who went on to you guessed it, be placed over the Flemington Carnival behind Banquo, who is now favourite for a good race at Sandown on Saturday. The form from the Geelong race is strong, with the third horse Exalted Lauretta winning at Morphettville last week. I like that platform for Living The Dream stepping up to a mile here and with Dean Yendall on from barrier four, this looks like his race. 



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Bendigo Tips November 13 - Three best bets for Bendigo

Midweek racing is at Bendigo on Wednesday for what looks like a really good betting program. It’s an eight-race card on a Good 4 track with the rail in the true position and I’m keen to bet, with my three best bets on the program and the James Cummings-trained Nerone, who I will be putting in multis with my three tips.

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