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Cranbourne Tips September 18 - Two best bets at Cranbourne

Jackson Oldham in Free Tips 17 Sep 2019
  • Cranbourne Racing Preview 
  • I'm expecting the track to play on-speed 
Cranbourne

Midweek racing is at Cranbourne on Wednesday, with an eight-race card on a Heavy 8 track. Although the forecast is fine, I’m expecting we stay on heavy track and with the rail out 9m, track pattern will be crucial. 

Race 2 - 1:35pm TAB Multiplier Maiden Plate (1400m)
The James Cummings-trained NERONE looks very hard to beat. She was $11 out to $15 on debut at Sale which suggested she would improve off that debut run. She ran the ninth-fastest 400m-200m then really knuckled down late, running the fastest last 200m of the against the winner Zoustack (has won since) and Legionnaire (has won a Metro race at Flemington since). She was 1100m upto 1400m second-up at Geelong last start and probably didn’t have the platform to run a strong seven-furlongs off a slow tempo on debut. The leader went five-lengths above the class benchmark to the 600m and she did a terrific job to sit outside leader and was just outbobbed on the line. The James Cummings stable has been struggling over the past few weeks, with only six winners from his last 50 runners with a negative Return on Investment of -64.2%. The poor run could be coming to an end however, with Bivouac and Hilo winning over the weekend. Nerone looks bomb proof from barrier five and should sit on the speed, which can’t be a disadvantage with the 9m rail at Cranbourne. 

Race 7 - 4:30pm R&C Asphalt & Paving Fillies and Mares BM70 Handicap (1200m)
I’m looking to back horses on speed and the Richard Cully-trained RAKTOFF ticks all the boxes. Georgina Cartwright rated her to perfection last Thursday at Mornington, running along at 2.8 lengths above the class benchmark to the 600m and coming home 1.6 lengths above the benchmark for an overall figure of 4.4 lengths above benchmark. Although it was a day to be wide and swooping, she took all of those horses out of the race, controlled the race and I can see a similar thing happening here. She has recorded the best overall figure of the meeting in her last two starts, both with Cartwright on board, so although she isn’t a jockey I will look to find, she obviously gets along with the horse well and has given her two beautiful front running rides. Barrier 11 looks perfect, as she can just slide across and lead at her leisure, I love the quick six-day back-up and if the track is playing towards the leaders, expect Raktoff to be very heavily backed. 


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Cranbourne Tips September 18 - Two best bets at Cranbourne

Midweek racing is at Cranbourne on Wednesday, with an eight-race card on a Heavy 8 track. Although the forecast is fine, I’m expecting we stay on heavy track and with the rail out 9m, track pattern will be crucial.

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