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Hawkesbury Tips June 25 -So You Think filly hard to beat at Hawkesbury

Aaron Hamilton in Free Tips 25 Jun 2019
  • Confidence rating: 80%
  • Suggested stake: 1 unit to Win

A Heavy 9 awaits runners at Hawkesbury on Tuesday, and while it’s hard to be confident in the testing conditions, a lightly-raced filly looks hard to beat.

Here is my best bet for Hawkesbury today:

Race 4 - 2:40PM POLYTRACK BENCHMARK 64 HANDICAP (1300 METRES)
I’m willing to take on the favourite, Waka, as she doesn’t look ready for this yet based on her two trials. The Gary Portelli-trained A Million Dreams could improve back at Hawkesbury where he ran a PB going 3.3 lengths above benchmark (BM), but it’s hard to recommend him on his last start effort. The Ciaron Maher and David Eustace-prepared DEBATE is the one I’m keen on but it’s hard to get a read on this So You Think filly. She has good form in Melbourne and was only 3.3 lengths from Big Night Out at her most recent run before going for a spell. She tried to lead all the way and was overrun late in the 1400m event. She trialled very smartly beating Terminology and Pohutukawa over 897m where she led all the way, but she settled in last in her most recent trial over 1050m which is confusing – will they try and lead or take a sit? However, she did hit the line powerfully in the latest trial and clearly has ability.  The Heavy 9-rated track poses a query for all runners, but Debate’s dam, Alisa Free, did win a trial on a Heavy 10 before failing to make an impact in four career starts on Good to Soft tracks. Jason Collett takes the ride from barrier 2 and should give her every chance. 


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Hawkesbury Tips June 25 -So You Think filly hard to beat at Hawkesbury

A Heavy 9 awaits runners at Hawkesbury on Tuesday, and while it’s hard to be confident in the testing conditions, a lightly-raced filly looks hard to beat.

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