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Kembla Grange Tips December 14 – Best bets and expert tips for Saturday

Aaron Hamilton in Free Tips 8 Dec 2019
  • Best bets for Kembla Grange each meeting.

Looking for tips on Saturday's racing from the Kembla Grange races? 

Our form analysts give you the best bets for a profitable day of punting at Kembla Grange, approximately 95km from Sydney and located along the Princes Highway at the foothills of the Illawarra Escarpment.

Racing takes place at Kembla Grange on alternate Saturday’s with the course boasting one of the best shaped racetracks in Australia which provides every horse its chance due to the long straight.

See our free weekly Kembla Grange selections below:

Kembla Grange Tips - December 14


Check back on Friday to see our updated best bets.

Previous Tips:


November 30


Race 1 - 12:59PM HUNTLEY BENCHMARK 64 HANDICAP (2000 METRES)
This is a big drop in class for FASTNET CYCLONE who produced a personal best BM performance two starts back going 5.6 lengths above BM when beaten two lengths by Maid Of Ore over 2000m at Randwick. He then changed trainer from Garry Neale to Richard Litt and was beaten 7.3 lengths by Mr Reckless at Kembla over 2000m following a five-week let-up. He was clearly in need of the ran and tired late, however, he still went 0.3 of a length above BM which is about five lengths better than the next best last start performance of any of Saturday’s rivals. Open to improvement and looks hard to beat here.
Result (3rd - $1.30 to Place)

Race 5 - 3:16PM BEE BAINES BOLONG MAIDEN PLATE (1200 METRES)
This looks a great starting point for the Peter and Paul Snowden-prepared ROME who has been placed at Group level on two occasions and just didn’t come up last campaign and was tipped out after one run. He was given a soft 905m trial to kick off this time around, and then he was asked for more of an effort in 1045m trial which tells me he needed to improve his fitness levels. He’s had a good grounding for a 1200m maiden, and if he can get back to anywhere near his previous form, he’ll be winning this. 
Result (scratched)

November 23


Race 2 - 1:50PM TAB HIGHWAY HANDICAP (1600 METRES)
The wide gate (19) isn’t ideal for TWO WRONGS DONT, but he’ll get back anyway and can finish over the top of them with an ounce of luck. The son of Shrapnel was impressive second-up winner over the mile at Albury before dropping back to 1500m with a month between runs and flashing home from last to be narrowly beaten by Hit The Target at Rosehill. He’s fourth-up now and should be hitting peak fitness, and the step back up to the mile looks ideal. 
Result (unplaced)

Race 4 - 3:00PM PAGES EVENT HIRE F&M BENCHMARK 78 HANDICAP (1200 METRES)
Chris Waller’s LUCICELLO wasn’t entitled win first-up when they walked up front and she had to come from last to get up, but she had plenty on them and can go on with the job here. She ran the equal fastest final 600m for the meeting and the third quickest final 200m which indicates she peaked late and was in need of the first-up run. She improved her benchmark (BM) rating significantly second-up last campaign before peaking third-up with a strong figure of 10.2 lengths above BM which is the strongest BM figure of any runner in Saturday’s event. 
Result (4th)
 
Race 6 - 4:20PM THE GONG (1600 METRES)
There were some big bets placed on RANIER last start where he finished 2nd to Mandella Effect at Flemington over the mile. Despite having to settle for the runner-up prize, he went 10.7 lengths above BM which is the strongest last start BM figure in this race. He now drops 6kg on that effort, is rock-hard-fit and will take some holding out if he can reproduce a similar effort.
Result (scratched)


September 7


Race 3 - 1:44PM HORSLEY 3YO MAIDEN HANDICAP (1000 METRES)
The Waterhouse and Bott stable obviously had an opinion of COCK MATCH to send him into the $150,000 Wellington Boot (1100m) as a maiden with two runs under his belt, and he looks much stronger this time around. The three-year-old Zoffany gelding was narrowly beaten in a Gosford trial over 800m but then improved out of sight when winning a 893m barrier trial at Rosehill where he was eased up well and truly before the line. Has to carry some weight but is the class runner and is flying. 
Result (abandoned)

Race 6 - 3:34PM FAREWELL JONESY TOUR CG&E MAIDEN PLATE (1400 METRES)
JETSKI improved significantly second-up last campaign and now drops in class following a nice first-up effort behind Yoa Dash who runs at Randwick on Saturday and Petronius who won at Kensington last Wednesday. The two unraced stablemates haven’t shown much in their barrier trials, and experience can shine through for Jetski.
Result (abandoned) 

August 17


Race 2 - 12:54PM ANSTO CLASS 2 HANDICAP (1500 METRES)
NO EMOTION has been racing into good form and looks set to peak here. The son of Helmet showed good talent early with back-to-back wins in Victoria, but after a few disappointing runs this campaign, he was transferred from the Ellerton and Zahra stable to Moruya-based horsewoman Natalie Jarvis. Jockey Patrick Scorse went aboard and let him drop out and find his feet, and he seemed to appreciate that and hit the line strongly. Scorse weights in at 54kg and has carried 58 and 61kg at his last two starts aboard No Emotion, and despite going up slightly in class on Saturday, I like the fact he gets in with 54kg and carries no dead weight. Toroso is clearly the class galloper, but I’m hoping he’s vulnerable second-up against some rock-hard-fit gallopers. 
Result (4th)

Race 6 - 3:24PM TYNAN SUZUKI BENCHMARK 64 HANDICAP (1000 METRES)
The Ciaron Maher and David Eustace-trained NIEWAND caught the eye at the St Arnaud trials before finishing 5th in a strong Sale race behind Peidra who went on to win a BM70 at Sandown and is being touted as a Guineas contender. Neiwand then went to Casterton and scored an impressive 3.2-length victory over 1000m. This race looks perfect and he will just need a bit of luck from the tricky gate (9).
Result (unplaced)

August 3


Race 1 - 12:04PM NATIONAL JOCKEYS TRUST DAY 3YO MAIDEN PLATE (1000 METRES)
Richard and Michael Freedman have found a great kick-off race for the speedy GALAXIAL. The two-year-old daughter of Deep Field has some serious speed and she put six lengths on her rivals in a recent barrier trial.  She was never asked for an effort and ran the quickest 900m heat time of the morning, and she should be able to lead all the way over 1000m on Saturday. 
Result (unplaced)

Race 8 - 4:29PM ILLAWARRA TURF CLUB STAYERS BENCHMARK 64 HANDICAP (2400 METRES)
We started with the Freedman brothers in Race 1, and that’s how we’ll end the day. Their emerging staying, HOTEL AMOUR, is by Americain and looks perfectly suited stepping up to 2400m following a maiden win over the mile and then a Class 1 victory over 2100m. John O’Shea’s De Valera posted a far superior BM figure last start going 7.8 lengths above BM when defeating Reliansive and Glamarama Girl, and although Hotel Amour only went 1.7 lengths above BM last start, he also defeated Glamarama Girl by 1.6 lengths. De Valera hasn’t raced for nearly four weeks which should also give the fitness advantage to Hotel Amour. 
Result (1st - $16)

July 20


Race 1 - 11:54AM EARLWOOD BARDWELL PARK RSL CLASS 1 & MAIDEN PLATE (2000 METRES)
I was happy to oppose WAKA first-up following a poor trial performance, and I couldn’t believe she opened favourite and remained in the top spot before they jumped and she finished 5th of six runners. She went from 1300m to 1600m second-up, and while she loomed to win in the straight, she lacked fitness and that killer knockout. Blinkers come off for the first time as she steps up to 2000m, and she must be showing Cummings that she’s looking for further already. The only time she stepped out beyond the mile was in the Listed Connoisseur Stakes (1800m) at Flemington where she ran 7.4 lengths above benchmark (BM) which rated 12 lengths above her previous effort over 1400m. Having gone from 1400m to 1800m and running a personal best suggests she can do the same when going from 1600m to 2000m.
Result (1st - $2.50)

Race 2 - 12:29PM MARTIN MINETT CLAIMS PREP MAIDEN HANDICAP (1600 METRES)
Gwenda Markwell’s High Chaparral gelding, HAMOGANY, narrowly missed at his home track earlier this campaign but is at peak fitness fifth-up and looks hard to beat here. John O’Shea’s Parry Sound looms as a danger if he improves from his debut run, but on last start BM figures, Hamogany came home three lengths quicker in a longer race, and his fitness advantage should see him finishing best. 
Result (1st - $3.40)




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Kembla Grange Tips December 14 – Best bets and expert tips for Saturday

Aaron Hamilton previews Kembla Grange racing and provides his best bets for Saturday.

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