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Moonee Valley Tips December 14 – Expert best bets for Moonee Valley on Friday night

Aaron Hamilton in Free Tips 10 Dec 2018
  • Expert tips for the weekend best bets for Moonee Valley on Friday night.
Moonee Valley Racecourse

Looking for expert tips and best bets for Friday night racing at Moonee Valley? Our form analysts pick out their best chances for this weekend's racing.

Moonee Valley is widely-recognised for its short home-straight of only 173m, making it the shortest of any course in Australia. The track stages around 27 race meetings a year and we pick out the best chances to be backing.

See our free weekly Moonee Valley tips below and past results of our best bets:

Moonee Valley Tips - December 14


Tips to be updated on Wednesday, December 12.

Previous Moonee Valley Tips:


December 7


Race 1 - 6:30PM OPUS GROUP PLATE (1000 METRES)
Having blackbooked LADY NATURALISTE from the Cranbourne barrier trials where she clocked the quickest time of the morning, I was really hoping she would debut on a big track because she took a while to wind up in both her trials. However, she was impressive in her first trial and more impressive last time, and I think drawing barrier 7 of 8 really helps. Jordan Childs takes the ride and is likely to sit back in the field where he will be able to build before the turn and try and round them up before hitting top gear in the straight. If she’s within a couple of lengths when they straighten, she has the turn of foot to mow them down.
Result (2nd)

Race 6 - 9:00PM PREMIAIR HANDICAP (1200 METRES)
South Australian visitor AADELAD looks ready to perform third-up and maps to get all the favours here. The five-year-old Husson gelding is lightly-raced having competed 15 times for four wins and four placings, and three of those wins came when third, fifth and sixth-up last campaign, which shows he improves deeper into his preparation. First-up trainers Wayne Francis and Glen Kent sent him to Moonee Valley, and despite being a natural leader, he got back to last in the slick 955m event won by Our Luca who has since won another two races. Aadelad was under hard riding a long way out, but he really started to pick up late and was then blocked for a run before coming again and only finishing three lengths from Our Luca. He then headed back to Adelaide and jumped up from BM70 grade to a BM90 where he led over 1000m and weakened late – but he’s 0 from 3 second-up and that run can be overlooked. He now drops back to BM70 and steps up to 1200m which is likely to suit far better at Moonee Valley. He maps to land right behind Rox The Castle and Bolek from barrier 3, and with a bit of luck angling clear on the bend, he can finish off strong with Liam Riordan in the saddle. 
Result (unplaced)

December 1


Race 1 - 12:55PM SANTA'S WORKSHOP @ THE VALLEY HANDICAP (1200 METRES)
I’m hoping BEHEMOTH can get us off to a good start as he heads east from South Australia with Craig Williams taking the ride for trainer David Jolly. The son of All Too Hard was very green winning at Morphettville last start where he ran out in the straight but was far too good for them. He has subsequently trialled at Morphettville and did it well within himself beating Savatag by nearly two lengths and Savatag won a BM86 when first-up after a 10-week break. The step up in trip suits Behemoth, and he’s likely to go back from the wide gate, build on the turn and finish hard in the straight. 
Result (1st - $6)

Race 6 - 4:00PM SPENDTHRIFT AUSTRALIA HANDICAP (1000 METRES)
UNIQUE LOVELY put in an eye-catching run first-up when charging home from the rear with 59kg to just miss behind Gambler’s Girl in a time of 58.32 at this track and trip. That time was marginally slower than Fill The Flute won in, and while that mare drops 4kg, Unique Lovely drops 6.5kg and has plenty of upside being second-up. She has held forward positions from favourable gates in the past so I’m expecting her to balance up behind Fill The Flute who is likely to spear across from the outside and take up the running. If she can get clear on the turn, she’ll prove hard to hold out with a light weight. 
Result (unplaced)

Race 7 - 4:40PM INDEPENDENT TURF SERVICES HANDICAP (1000 METRES)
I’ve been on OUR LUCA at his last two starts at big odds and he’s saluted impressively, but he still has upside and can go to another level. Last campaign he didn’t peak until his fourth run, so at his third run this time in, he should still be on the improve. There doesn’t appear to be much early speed in this event other than Carlingford and Our Luca, but Carlingford weakened badly last start after sitting wide on the speed, and it would be suicide for him to try and hold out Our Luca who should roll forward with fitness and a light weight on his side. He can make it a hat-trick of wins. 
Result (1st - $6)


November 23

Race 5 - 8:30PM LADBROKES 55 SECOND CHALLENGE HEAT 6 (955 METRES)
Although NODOUBTABOUTIT goes back up in grade here, this sprint doesn’t look any tougher than last start where she was held up on the bend and narrowly missed behind Our Luca. Having won impressively at Morphettville she went to Moonee Valley and was snagged back from an awkward gate and also covered the most ground on the corner when beaten 3.4 lengths behind Written Choice in the super quick time of 54.77. That was a BM84 with 56.5kg and last start she carried 58.5kg in BM70 grade. Kayla Crowther’s 3kg claim sees her get in with just 52kg on Friday night, and from barrier 2, she maps to get a soft run two or three pairs back and should be finishing hard with the light weight. 
Result (4th)

Race 6 - 9:00PM THE KERNOW KLASSIC HANDICAP (1000 METRES)
OUR GLADIATOR is the class runner here and the 3kg claim Stephen Brown sees him get in with a winnable 60.5kg. He scored impressively first-up at Pakenham last campaign defeating Monkey Magic and Written Choice, and he then went on to score in a 955m at Moonee Valley beating Another Diamond and Ashlor by 2.75 lengths. His quick early pace should see him land within the first two pairs, and with an encouraging trial behind Malaguerra under his belt, he’ll prove hard to beat. 
Result (unplaced)


November 2

Race 5, THE LADBROKES 55 SECOND CHALLENGE HEAT 4 (955m)
The Jerome Hunter-trained OUR LUCA can give the record a shake here. He was good finishing 2nd to the speedy Crown Witness in a recent 800m barrier trial at Cranbourne, and he’s won three and finished runner-up from four starts at this distance. He’s yet to miss the placings in three first-up runs including two wins, and although he failed at his only run at Moonee Valley, that was over 1200m at his second start and he’s a better horse over 1000m. The favourites Roddandtodd and Miss Labelle bring strong form, but if they get held up for just a moment, they may struggle to pick up Our Luca who should be leading at big odds. Apprentice Jack Martin takes 3kg off and gets him in with a winnable 58kg.
Result (1st - $13)

October 26

Race 3 - 7:30PM CHANDLER MACLEOD VOBIS GOLD STAR (1500 METRES)
The Darren Weir-trained ICONOCLASM really held his form last campaign when he found it, and after posting a 2.5-length victory third-up this preparation, he looks set to go on with it. He defeated Fastnet Tempest and Sircconi and the latter franked the form with a win at Caulfield last Saturday. His winless record from three starts at Moonee Valley is a concern, but his first attempt was when possibly over the top before he went for a spell, and his two runs this campaign where when building race fitness. 
Result (1st - $2.60)


Race 5 - 8:30PM LADBROKES 55 SECOND CHALLENGE HEAT 3 (955 METRES)
WRITTEN CHOICE won at the track and trip last start in good time (0:55.22), and although he’s drawn the outside gate, that forces his hand as he’ll have to burn across and go to the front or sit outside the leader. With two runs under his belt, he has the fitness to absorb a bit of work early, and he should prove hard to catch from there. 
Result (1st - $4.60)


October 5

Race 2 - 7:00PM INDEPENDENT TURF SERVICES HANDICAP (1000 METRES)
If you can forgive the last run of FRAULEIN RUSTIE, then stick with her here as she finds a winnable event. She can run quicker time at the track and trip than Billabong Babe and Le Pomme De Pin who are both shorter in the market. From a favourable inside gate, the six-year-old mare can either lead or sit behind Le Pomme De Pin if she pushes on, and that should give her every chance to bounce back. This mare was only 2.5 lengths off them in the Group 3 Bellmaine Stakes (1200m) where she crossed the line with classy types like Silent Sedition. At her best, she’s certainly up to this task, and with two runs under her belt this time in, she should be fit enough to try and lead all the way. 
Result (3rd - $3.70 Place)

Race 4 - 8:00PM Ladbrokes 55 Second Challenge Heat 2 (955 METRES)
WRITTEN CHOICE should take a stack of improvement from his first-up run where he lumped 60kg and was outgunned late by Heart Conquered who carried 54kg. He goes up to the next BM level here but only has to carry 56kg, and that should help him surge through the line. Ogunde has some speed and looks the likely pacemaker, but I wouldn’t be surprised if Written Choice kicks up and holds the front over the slightly shorter trip. He looks like the best bet of the night. 
Result (1st - $2.50)

Race 7 - 9:30PM MAGNUM OPUS PARTNERS HANDICAP (1600 METRES)
I simply love MELBA’S MAESTRO and I’m really hoping he gets a run here as the third emergency. I’ve had some big collects on this horse as the bookmakers and punters keep underestimating him and he’s gone around at $12 at his last two starts which he’s won. But the thing is, he doesn’t peak until later in his preparation, and I think his best is yet to come this time in. Jordan Childs has been booked for the ride, and with fitness on his side, he can sit somewhere near midfield in the running line and then build momentum before the turn and overhaul them in the straight. He’s also nominated for Morphettville on Saturday, so If he doesn’t get a run at the Valley, look for him in SA.
Result (Scratched)




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Moonee Valley Tips December 14 – Expert best bets for Moonee Valley on Friday night

Aaron Hamilton previews racing at Moonee Valley on Friday night and gives his best bets for the meeting.

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