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Mornington Tips October 10 - Amber filly represents value at Mornington

Jackson Oldham in Free Tips 9 Oct 2019
Mornington Tips
Mornington

Racing is at Mornington on Thursday, for a tricky eight-race program. The track is currently a Soft 5 although I think we could get near a four if the predicted morning showers don’t come. The rail is out 4m and I’m predicting an advantage to be on or near the speed. 



Race 7 - 4:30pm Ladbrokes Odds Boost Handicap (1200m)
The Shane Nicolas-trained three-year-old daughter of I Am Invincible, KINGSTAR AMBER is yet to be tried over further than 1100m but gives me every indication that 1200m won’t be an issue.   She led on a bog track at Sandown on debut in a handy maiden and faded badly behind Deserved and Excused. She then led and won over 1100m at Tatura on a track that may say soft in the form guide but was at least a Heavy 8. She was put out for a three-month spell and resumed down the straight at Flemington over 1000m. She couldn’t get anywhere near the lead and sat out the back. It looked like she was going to stay near last but I really liked the way she hit the line, running eighth-fastest last 200m, seventh-fastest last 600m and fifth-fastest last 800m of the meeting. She goes from C.Douglas to D.Dunn which is a positive jockey change, looks to get a good map and gets the bar plates off for the first time. $9 seems over the odds to me in what is admittedly, a competitive race. 



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Mornington Tips October 10 - Amber filly represents value at Mornington

Racing is at Mornington on Thursday, for a tricky eight-race program. The track is currently a Soft 5 although I think we could get near a four if the predicted morning showers don’t come. The rail is out 4m and I’m predicting an advantage to be on or near the speed.

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