No spam ever. Unsubscribe in one click. By submitting your email address, you indicate your consent to receiving email marketing messages from us.

Morphettville Tips September 14 – Best bets and Saturday racing expert tips

Aaron Hamilton in Free Tips 12 Sep 2019
  • 2 to 4 best bets for Morphettville each week.
  • Previous results included.

Looking for tips for Saturday's racing from Morphettville? 

Our form analysts give you the best bets for a profitable day of punting.

Morphettville Racecourse is South Australia’s premier race track and hosts up to 70 days of racing action throughout the year.

Located less than 10km from the Adelaide CBD, Morphettville’s race meetings are split between its two tracks; the Morphettville course proper and the Morphettville Parks circuit.

See our free weekly Morphettville best bets below:

Morphettville Tips - September 14


Race 2 - 1:21PM SEYMOUR BLOODSTOCK SABOIS PLUS BENCHMARK 80 HCP (2600 METRES)
Quaffany is in rare form and has claimed three in a row but I’m leaning toward the Peter Gelagotis-trained SERENDADE THE STARS who carries 3kg less which make all the difference late in a 2600m event. He’s been plagued by Heavy tracks since the Andrew Ramsden where he finished 12 lengths from Steel Prince and Surprise Baby and that race rates extremely high. The son of Sea The Stars stepped back up to 2500m last start and was caught three deep without cover which is a death sentence for any stayer, but surprisingly, he battled strongly and was 2nd to Dabiyr. He maps to get a soft run behind the speed here, and if he can build into it early and use his stamina to advantage, he’ll prove hard to run down.
Race 5 - 3:11PM SAJC MORPHETTVILLE GUINEAS (1600 METRES)
I’ve been with Lady Loire at her past two starts but have to jump ship and side with MARNDARRA. The Tony and Calvin McEvoy-trained Foxwedge filly was having her first run for six weeks, and although she stacked them up and appeared to have every chance but couldn’t match Regardsmaree and Lady Loire in the final furlong, she battled on well and should take a stack of improvement from that run. She meets Lady Loire 3kg better at the weights here and rates a great chance. 
Race 6 - 3:51PM NATIONAL JOCKEYS TRUST SERIES FINAL 4YO AND OVER BM70 HCP (1200 METRES)
Aiguilette goes up 1.5kg while DANGER DEAL drops 3.5kg and effectively meets him 5kg better at the weights. Aiguilette has plenty of upside being second-up, but he had the drop on Danger Deal last time and I’m not sure he’ll get a similar run from the inside gate with plenty of speed on his outside. Danger Deal needs to take a forward position again, and being fourth-up, he should be at peak fitness. Fourth-up last campaign he was 2nd to Kemalpasa who has been in cracking form since and carried 2kg less on that occasion – I like that form reference. 

Previous Tips:


September 7


Race 3 - 1:56PM AAMI SPRING CARNIVAL AT MORPHETTVILLE OCT 12 - NOV 5 HCP (1000 METRES)
I know the stable had a big opinion of HEARTY LASS in her first campaign, and I’m keen to stick with her first-up. She impressed in her second trial where she jumped best but was restrained hard to take cover. She ground home under no pressure and wanted the hang in down the straight, but she gets winkers for the first time and has drawn the inside gate. She led to win on debut and I’m hoping she leads all the way here. 
Result (2nd - $1.70 to Place)

Race 6 - 3:51PM TERRY HOWE PRINTING HANDICAP (1250 METRES)
MAGIC SUNSET meets Bayou and Sonic Deed 2kgs better at the weights for finishing 3rd behind that pair last start, and she maps for a better run this time as she jumps from gate 4. She did it tough out wide last start was beaten half a length, and with two runs under her belt this time in, she’ll strip fitter on Saturday. The second favourite Magna Bella comes through the same race and looms as the main danger, and although Freehearted comes out of the Spring Stakes and has the strongest form line, her time over 1200m was slower and she goes up in weight while others come down.
Result (unplaced)
 
Race 7 - 4:31PM GUINNESS HANDICAP (1250 METRES)
I think KABINI is a better horse on the Parks circuit and her last start effort in the Group 3 Spring Stakes was better than it looks on paper. She was snagged back from a wide gate and settled at the rear but was unable to make ground against quality opposition like Dalasan and Scales Of Justice who subsequently won the Group 1 Memsie Stakes (1400m) at Caulfield. Kabini now drops 2.5kg as she drops back significantly in grade, and with a more forward ride from barrier 2, she’ll run a nice race at double figure odds. 
Result (unplaced)



August 31


Race 1 - 12:41PM HEINEKEN 3 HANDICAP (1400 METRES)
LADY LOIRE was beaten by a questionable ride last time and can bounce back here. Luke Nolen went back from the outset while Linda Meech stacked them up in front and dictated terms at a very slow tempo – yet no jockey took the initiative to inject some pace into the race and simply resigned to the fact they would not be able to run down a leader who had gone so slow early. Lady Loire did a massive job to come from last and grab 2nd place. She carried 60kg in the BM64 at Sandown and now carries 54.5kg in a Morphettville BM70. Her final 600m figure of 7.2 and 6.3 lengths above benchmark (BM) is five lengths quicker than anything else in the field.
Result (2nd - $1.20 to Place)

Race 7 - 4:31PM TAB PENNY EDITION STAKES (1400 METRES)
Sticking with BEHEMOTH who gets out to 1400m for the first time which looks ideal third-up this preparation. Third-up last campaign he flashed home to finish 2nd in the Group 1 The Goodwood (1200m), and last start, he was far from disgraced finishing 4th behind Begood Toya Mother who lines up in the Group 1 Memsie Stakes (1400m) on Saturday. He’s by All Too Hard and out of a mare called Penny Banger, so he looks the omen bet in the Penny Edition Stakes. 
Result (1st - $2.20)

Race 8 - 5:10PM M&J CHICKENS HANDICAP (1400 METRES)
The Tony McEvoy-trained VAHASH is an improving type that won over 1400m at Murray Bridge on debut before defeating Sir Johnson at the same track and trip last start. Sir Johnson had won his previous start and franked the form with another 2nd placing in a BM70 at Murray Bridge on Wednesday behind Dr Dependable. 
Result (unplaced)


August 24


Race 1 - 12:36PM BAROSSA FINE FOODS HANDICAP (1100 METRES)
I think the market has well and truly overreacted to the McEvoy/Vorster combination with Intrigue being installed a $3.40 chance here. The Deep Field filly was pushed out to win a trial at Cranbourne and heads back to South Australia for her debut. The 2nd and 3rd horses home in the trial have been comprehensively beaten since so I don’t like the form. Of the others, the Lindsay Park filly, HAFAAWA, rates highest going 5.6 lengths above benchmark (BM) at Sandown and then going 1.2 lengths above BM on the synthetic track at Ballarat last start where she defeated Betta Together who has again finished 2nd at the track. Lewis German’s 3kg claim gets Hafaawa in 1kg under the minimum, and she’s likely to land the box seat behind the leader and chime in at the right time. 
Result (2nd - $1.90 to Place)

Race 3 - 1:46PM FLEURIEU MILK COMPANY HANDICAP (2041 METRES)
Arty Lucas and BRONSKI sat one-two last start and Arty Lucas was clearly stronger late – but that was at Murray Bridge with a fair playing surface, and Bronski carried 4kg more which was probably the difference in the end over 2000m. Only 2kg separates them this time, and Arty Lucas has previously settled much further back at Morphettville and failed to make up the ground, and that swings the advantage back to Bronski who can take a trail behind Chilean Wonder. 
Result (4th)

Race 4 - 2:26PM CAESARSTONE HANDICAP (1200 METRES)
CROCKETT is clearly the class horse in this event, and $5 is a worthwhile price to take to find out how he’s come back. First-up last campaign, he was runner-up to Darren Weir-trained Won Ball over 1250m at Morphettville, and his best BM efforts last campaign (+6.1 and +9.5) are head and shoulders above any of Saturday’s rivals. Aiguilette defeated Crockett in a recent barrier trial and is $2.80 favourite for this event, but Crockett was eased up along the inside and had a soft hit-out. He gets his chance to bounce back here. 
Result (scratched)


August 17


Race 3 - 1:41PM LET'S MAKE SA RACING GREAT AGAIN - HARRY PERKS HANDICAP (1200 METRES)
KEMALPASA has scored for us twice this preparation and I can see no reason to jump off as he carries 1.5kg more in the same grade. If anything, the son of Magnus should have been vulnerable first and second-up, and I would have expected him to start peaking third and fourth-up. Social Spin looms as the testing material, but I’m sticking with the rock-hard-fit local who is full of confidence. 
Result (3rd)

Race 5 - 3:01PM SOUTH AUSTRALIAN THOROUGHBRED BREEDERS MEMBERS HCP (1050 METRES)
Will Clarken scratched Bella Vella who looked a standout in this, and he now relies on EXPERIMENTAION and Suplex City. The former has some strong figures at this track and trip and has trialled extremely well finishing 2nd to Mile High. Experimentation led throughout and was never out of second gear, while Mile High was pushed right out and under the whip to go past. Kayla Crowther’s 2kg claim may be the reason Todd Pannell is on the stablemate, and Crowther did win on this horse first-up last time in.
Result (1st - $4.60)

Race 7 - 4:21PM DAVID R COLES AM SPRING STAKES (1200 METRES)
The most anticipated contest of the day will be the Spring Stakes where The Goodwood winner and runner-up (Despatch and Behemoth) battle again, while impressive last start winner Scales Of Justice will also take his place. BEHEMOTH clearly has the best final 200m sprint, and he has three final 200m sectionals that rate better than anything the other pair have produced. He also has the benefit of race fitness while Despatch is first-up. Scales Of Justice posted a great benchmark (BM) figure last start when winning the Bletchingly Stakes (1200m) and going 14.1 lengths above BM. Behemoth’s figures were over 1050m where he went 13.6 lengths above BM for the final 600m which rated much higher than his previous best at the distance which was +2.8. His figures have significantly spiked when stepping up to 1200m, and if he can spike again, he looks hard to beat. Despatch and Scales Of Justice look the likely speed in this event, and if they start to cut at each other early, which Scales Of Justice should seeing he has a fitness edge, that may set it up for Behemoth to swoop past them both. Of course there are seven other runners in this race, but it’s hard to see any of them causing an upset. 
Result (scratched)







Share this with your friends

To:
From:
Your comments:

Morphettville Tips September 14 – Best bets and Saturday racing expert tips

Aaron Hamilton previews Morphettville racing and provides his best best for Saturday.

Read more »

You have unread messages

You have unread messages