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Morphettville Tips January 19 – Best bets and Saturday racing expert tips

Aaron Hamilton in Free Tips 17 Jan 2019
  • 2 to 4 best bets for Morphettville each week.
  • Previous results included.

Looking for tips for Saturday's racing from Morphettville? 

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Morphettville Racecourse is South Australia’s premier race track and hosts up to 70 days of racing action throughout the year.

Located less than 10km from the Adelaide CBD, Morphettville’s race meetings are split between its two tracks; the Morphettville course proper and the Morphettville Parks circuit.

See our free weekly Morphettville best bets below:

Morphettville Tips - January 19

FREE OF DEBT and Maozi are dual accepted for Morphettville and Flemington, but I don’t think either will want to bump into Viking Warrior which should see them take this option. First prize is still $5000 more than 2nd at Flemington, and Free Of Debt won’t have the expense of travelling – no brainer really. But the fact Chris Bieg nominated the Unencumbered colt for the Flemington event suggests he’s come on since his impressive debut win over Lil’ Kontra and Done By Me who I have an opinion of. 

Sometimes mapping accounts for more than form, and I think this is one of those occasions with SURREAL IMAGE likely to dominate from the front. Other than Yankee Eyes who has a bit of early speed, the other four runners prefer to sit worse than midfield. Sir Garfield won from the front last start but that was due to a smart move by Ryan Hurdle who made an midrace move after sitting wide – I’m expecting him to revert back to his old style seeing he should land in the box seat behind the speed. However, Surreal Image will be able to really dictate terms here and can get away with cheap sectionals that will make him extremely hard to catch. He defeated the fast finishing Small Scale last start and that galloper won on Wednesday, so the form has stood up. Sir Garfield also goes up 2.5kg which will make this much tougher. Darren Weir’s Aurora Charm looms as a danger, but again, the pace will be against him. 

Previous Morphettville Tips:

December 29

Race 4 - 2:57PM James Boag's Handicap (1200 METRES)
Race 4 of the day is a BenchMark 82 and Columbia is likely to start as a short priced favourite. However, one that can cause an upset is the Phillip Stokes-trained ONE MORE DAISY. It has been a while between drinks for the seven-year-old, but she has been luckless at her first two starts this campaign as well as at her two runs in her previous preparation. She finished 9 of 10 runners at Listed level last time behind Illustrious Lad and this is the easiest assignment that she has tackled in some time. The daughter of Onemorenomore has drawn beautifully in barrier 3 and the 2kg claim for Dylan Caboche further enhances her claims. 
Result (3rd)

Race 8 - 5:35PM Schweppes Handicap (1529 METRES)
The final event of the day pits the mares up against one another over 1529m and the lightly raced PRETTY GLASS can get the job done at her first crack at the distance. The five-year-old made her long awaited debut earlier this year and has won three of six. She has had too runs this preparation, finishing 4th in a blanket finish at Warrnambool before prevailing in a BM 64 at Gawler over 1200m. I really liked the way she hit the line that day and the step up in trip does look to suit her. She will tuck in just behind the speed and will be very strong late in the race. 
Result (Won - $1.55)

December 22

I think Phillip Stokes might have a nice two-year-old Bon Hoffa filly here. DONE BY ME is a great-looker with a big white blaze that runs dead straight from the point of her forehead to the tip of her nose - and she can run. She was held up behind the speed in an 800m barrier trial at Morphettville and settled nicely, and when Dylan Caboche pulled her around heels and gave her a slight push, she extended past them to win comfortably in much quicker time than the other 800m trial. She can camp off them from barrier 6, and her sharp turn of foot should see her swooping past them in the straight.
Result (3rd)

Darren Weir sends MORE BRICKS to South Australia following a 3rd placing at Moonee Valley where he missed the start and was forced four wide on the bend and loomed up to win but just peaked late. He’ll strip much fitter for the run and looks suited in the small field of six where he can balance up in the straight and charge at them. He only just missed behind Dancer’s Kin at this track and distance last campaign and that galloper went on to finish 3rd behind Heaven’s Deal and Sanglier in the Listed Queen Adelaide Stakes at his next start. More Bricks clearly needed the run last time, and provided he jumps cleanly this time, he maps to get a soft run behind the leader if not leading himself.
Result (4th)

HUSSYBAY disappointed as a beaten short-priced favourite last start, and while I’ll concede that Balf’s Choice has far more upside and defeated him fair and square last start, the weight swing gives a huge advantage to Hussybay. Last start, Balf’s Choice carried 58.5kg while Hussybay carried 57kg, but this time they carry 62kg and 57kg respectively with Chris Casserta claiming 2kg off Hussybay. That 5kg weight advantage will make all the difference in the final 200m on Saturday, and Hussbay can turn the tables. Royal Rumble finished 3rd to that pair and also has plenty of upside, but his last two third-up efforts have been extremely disappointing and that’s a worrying stat. Darren Weir’s Civil Disobedience looks the main danger to the locals, and while his first-up effort was sound, I’d prefer to see him going up in trip and travelling for this race could be a fitness builder and maturing exercise.
Result (Won - $2.45)

December 8

HEAVEN’S DEAL is a clear standout in this and looks like one of the best bets around the country on Saturday. The Richard and Chantelle Jolly-trained filly resumed this campaign with a good effort at Morphettville Parks over 1000m but faded to finish five lengths from Schilldora in 0:57.96. She then won at the track and trip in 0:57.63 indicating she had improved by seven lengths from her first-up run. She then went to Flemington and was far from disgraced finishing less than a length from Legend Of Condor. Metro Tramp will lead but won in slow time (0:59.16) when second-up last start, and she only just fell in and may find the extra 50m a bit tough. Heaven’s Deal rates many lengths above these and should simply be winning with a soft run behind the speed predicted. 
Result (unplaced)

HUSSY BAY has been working up to race fitness and started to find that over a mile two starts back when 2nd to Savatag while giving that galloper 2.5kg. Bounced back with an impressive 2.2-length victory last start and has reportedly had an easy week and come through the run extremely well. He’s at peak fitness now and maps to lead this field at a leisurely tempo with no other speed horses in race. Royal Rumble was good first-up and his best performance over 1550m puts him on par with Hussy Bay’s last start effort, but he generally takes a few runs to wind up and has only recorded two 3rd placings from six second-up attempts. 
Result (2nd)

I thought CULLINGWORTH was unlucky not to finish closer to the winner when first-up over 1550m at Morphettville and was on him next time at big odds, but he got too far back over 1700m and was clearly looking for longer. The drop back to the mile at Moonee Valley was never going to suit but he ran above expectation when finishing four lengths from Eshtiraak and Bad Wolf. The step up to 1800m suits now with fitness on his side, as does the bigger Morphettville track. 
Result (3rd)


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Morphettville Tips January 19 – Best bets and Saturday racing expert tips

Aaron Hamilton previews Morphettville racing and provides his best best for Saturday, January 19.

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