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Racing Bet of the Day March 13 - switching camp at Sandown

Aaron Hamilton in Free Tips 13 Mar 2019
  • Confidence rating: 92%
  • Suggested stake: 3 units to Win

I’ve been in the corner of La Belle Jude for her past two starts, but now have to jump ship and side with the Mick Price-trained Longclaw in Race 3, the Le Pine Funerals Handicap (1800m) at Sandown on Wednesday.

Tipster Results and Profits

TipsterOutlay on all 2019 selectionsReturn (based on $10 win bets)2018 Results
Aaron Hamilton (Racing Bet of the Day)$1610$1957+36% ROIREAD AARON'S TIPS
Aaron Hamilton (NSW Tips)$2380$1874-1.6% ROI (from 7 days)READ AARON'S TIPS
Jackson Oldham (VIC Tips)$1695$1206+30% ROIREAD JACKSON'S TIPS
Steve Bennett (QLD Tips)$1090$1141-14% ROIREAD STEVE'S TIPS

La Belle Jude finished runner-up for us two starts back at massive each-way odds ($41 & $9) but then failed to beat home Pachino Boy as my best of the day last start. 

Longclaw finished 3rd behind Jungle Fish and La Belle Jude at Sandown Hillside over 1800m, and he then went on to be beaten 6.5 lengths in the Group 2 Autumn Classic (1800m) at Caulfield. 

Despite being outclassed at Caulfield, Longclaw’s run was full of merit. 

They went really quick in the early parts and Longclaw was under pressure to keep up which softened his finish in the end and he ran home his final 600m in 36.23.

In the previous start at Sandown, they went along at average pace for that grade and Longclaw was able to come home in 34.82 – some nine lengths quicker than Caulfield. 

Longclaw was only third-up when the pair met last while La Belle Jude was fifth-up and at peak fitness.

Longclaw is now fifth-up and at his peak, and the drop back to this grade should see him settle around midfield before winding up on the bend and finishing best to score. 

Matt Cumani’s Future Score is the $2.60 favourite here, but I think he’s a false favourite. 

He lacks the fitness of Longclaw and La Belle Jude, he has to carry 60.5kg and his last start overall time at Sandown Hillside over 1800m (1:52.67) was slower than the other pair (1:51.46).

Future Score did run his final 600m (34.62) slightly quicker than Longclaw, but that would be expected when they’ve run the overall time seven lengths slower.

I also think Future Score has found a tricky map and may get shuffled back along the fence while Longclaw maps to sit three pairs back on the outside and that will give him every chance.


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Racing Bet of the Day March 13 - switching camp at Sandown

I’ve been in the corner of La Belle Jude for her past two starts, but now have to jump ship and side with the Mick Price-trained Longclaw in Race 3, the Le Pine Funerals Handicap (1800m) at Sandown on Wednesday.

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