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Racing Bet of the Day July 23 - weight and fitness key at Pakenham

Aaron Hamilton in Free Tips 22 Jul 2019
  • Confidence rating: 94%
  • Suggested stake: 3 units to Win

An eye-catching run last start and a pull in the weights makes the Enver Jusufovic-trained Thurmanator hardest to beat on the synthetic track at Pakenham on Tuesday. 

Racing Bet of the Day Results

Last 12 resultsOutlay on all 2019 SelectionsReturn (based on $10 Win bets2018 Results
WWLLLLLLLWLL$3820$4213+36% ROI

The lightly-raced five-year-old son of Savabeel lines up in Race 8, the Hygain BM58 Handicap (2200m) where he will be having his 11th career start and his eighth start at the track. 

Despite having won just one race at Pakenham, Thurmanator has racked up a further five placings and has only been out of the money once in seven starts at the track. 

He was stepping up to 2200m for the first time last start, and after setting at the rear and making a long, sustained run from the 800m mark, he finished best in the final 200m to miss by three-quarters of a length. 

Dangerous Spin was in front of Thurmanator by two lengths throughout and moved into the race at the right time to score, but it was Thurmanator taking ground off the winner late as he ran the last 200m in 12.04.

Dangerous Spin now goes up 2kg while Thurmanator stays at the same weight which equates to at least a couple of lengths over 2200m. 

Fine Evader was 4th in that event and he got a nice run through the field and had every chance but the other pair were far stronger late. 

Enrico Pallazzo comes off a 2200m win on the Ballarat synthetic where he ran 2:19.87 as opposed to Dangerous Spin stopping the clock in 2:18.73 which is 6.5 lengths quicker. 

Enrico Pallazzo’s final 600m (35.88) and 200m (12.16) are comparable with Thurmanator who went  35.84 and 12.36, but Enrico Pallazzo also goes up 1.5kg which will affect his final splits over the testing journey. 

Enrico Pallazzo has also never raced on the Pakenham synthetic so the advantage is with Thurmanator. 

This pair are nearly joint favourites ahead of Penthouse Kitten who was a recent winner at the track and trip in a much slower 2:20.65, and with slower final sectionals to match the slower overall time, I can’t see her winning. 

With that 2200m run under the belt now, and seeing he was clearly strongest through the line, Michael Dee who has been aboard for his past three starts, has the ability to take off a bit sooner and finish best to score. 



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Racing Bet of the Day July 23 - weight and fitness key at Pakenham

An eye-catching run last start and a pull in the weights makes the Enver Jusufovic-trained Thurmanator hardest to beat on the synthetic track at Pakenham on Tuesday.

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