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Rosehill Tips July 13 - Expert tips and Saturday best bets

Aaron Hamilton in Free Tips 10 Jul 2019
  • 3 to 4 best bets for Rosehill each meeting.
  • Previous results included.
Rosehill Gardens racing

Looking for tips and best bets for Saturday racing at Rosehill Gardens? 

Our form analysts give you their expert racing tips for NSW racing each weekend including Rosehill Gardens which is located approximately 23 kilometres to the west of Sydney's city centre.

See our free Rosehill tips below:

Rosehill Tips - July 13


Race 3 - 12:40PM LINDSAY MURPHY TAB HIGHWAY (1400 METRES)
Gumshoe was an impressive first-up winner but has to carry a bit more weight here and that will test him. The Stirling Osland-trained SCARLET MISSILE has been runner-up to the in-form The Outcast in two recent runs and now drop 5.5kg heading into Saturday’s contest over 1400m. This was her best distance in Perth, and she did continue to improve deeper into her preparation, so, with four runs under her belt now, she can go to a new level with no weight to slow her down.
Race 5 - 1:50PM ATC FOUNDATION HANDICAP (1100 METRES)
Sticking with DEITY who faces the one-week back-up and should appreciate the step up to 1100m after two 1000m runs. She caught the eye first-up and Blake Shinn went aboard last Saturday which looked a positive, and Shinn Sticks with her one week later. Firmer footing should see an improved effort and she won third-up last campaign in record time (1:09.97) over 1200m at Warwick Farm which indicates she’ll improve again. 
Race 7 - 3:10PM WINTER STAKES (1400 METRES)
CRADLE MOUNTAIN was scratched from the Ramornie Handicap on Wednesday in preference for Rosehill where he is two from two – which is an interesting move seeing he’s never been tested over 1400m before. However, at his only run over 1300m, he did run 10 lengths above BM when defeating Dyslexic and Sir Bacchus. That figure is higher than Eckstein’s last start figure of 9.4 lengths above BM when beaten 1.4 lengths in the Group 1 Tatt’s Tiara. Eckstein and Firsthand are $6 equal favourites and I’d rather take $15 for Cradle Mountain to improve back at Rosehill over the slightly longer trip. 

Previous Rosehill Tips:


June 29


Race 2 - 12:05PM KENSEI HANDICAP (2000 METRES)
The Chris Waller-trained SO YOU WIN looks a standout on the Rosehill card and can make it three in a row as he steps up to 2000m. The track is a Heavy 9 as of Wednesday, but with a sunny 19 degrees predicted for Friday and Saturday, we should be back in the Soft range where So You Win has three wins from six attempts. The son of So You Think peaked fourth-up last preparation when scoring an impressive 3.3-length victory over Asterius, so there’s no reason to think he won’t improve again fourth-up, especially seeing his third-up run was after a four-week break. There shouldn’t be any traffic issues in the small field of seven, and he should be finishing best to score again. 
Result (2nd - $1.50 to Place)

Race 5 - 1:50PM STAYER'S CUP (3200 METRES)
10-year-old gelding Destiny’s Kiss will be looking to well and truly turn the clock back having won this race in 2014. He was beaten nine lengths in the Sydney Cup (3200m) in 2016 and finished 3rd in this race last year behind Plot Twist and Doukhan who were carrying 8kg less which equates to a 16-length advantage over that distance. With Chris Williams’ 3kg claim, Destiny’s Kiss gets in with 59.5kg which is only 3kg more than Doukhan this year. Destiny’s Kiss also bounced back to winning form last start going 5.7 lengths above Benchmark (BM) over 2400m. This is a strong figure and he rates a top hope, however, the Ciaron Maher and David Eustace-trained AZURO brings undeniable form to this event and is nicely weighted on 56kg. The French-import finished 4.7 lengths from Steel Prince and Surprise Baby in the Andrew Ramsden (2800m) last start, and Azuro’s figures of 13 lengths above BM are clearly the strongest in this event. Last campaign he ran 11.6 lengths above BM over 2800m at Flemington and then ran 20.4 lengths above BM in the Sandown Cup (3200m) when beaten by Yogi. His 3rd placing over 2800m at Flemington was on a Heavy 8, so track conditions won’t be an issue. If he can produce another spike performance as he steps up to two miles, I can’t see anything beating him here.
Result (1st - $5.50)

 
Race 7 - 3:05PM CIVIC STAKES (1350 METRES)
One last time I swear!! I’ve tipped NEW UNIVERSE at his past two starts and drawing bad gates has been the death of him as he’s run the best sectionals in the race but has missed out finishing 3rd on both occasions – at decent Place odds might I add. Again, he’s drawn poorly in gate 14, but surely, he’s due for a change of luck. Fifth-up and at peak fitness, he gets another chance to break through. 
Result (unplaced)


June 15


Race 3 - 12:40PM EVENTS BY ATC HANDICAP (1300 METRES)
I was opposed to ASTERIUS last start but won’t be making that mistake again. He came with a booming run last start to win by 3.3 lengths as he defeated Gresham who finished 2.4 lengths from Star Of The Seas last Saturday. He has plenty of upside, will get a soft run from the inside gate and should finish over the top of them with just 54.5kg on his back. 
Result (2nd)

Race 8 - 3:45PM ROSEHILL BOWLING CLUB HANDICAP (1100 METRES)
Not only does SYLVIA’S MOTHER boast a fantastic 1100m record of four wins and a placing from five attempts, but her recent barrier trial showed she’s returned in great order. Team Hawkes stepped her out in an 894m trial at Rosehill on a Soft 7 where she just towed herself up to the leader in the straight and won effortlessly. She looks forward enough to run a big race first-up, and she maps perfectly from barrier 5. 
Result (unplaced)


June 1


Race 5 - 1:50PM DAD & DAVE'S TURF HANDICAP (1400 METRES)
I can’t believe Reelem In Ruby is $2.40 and TORYJOY is a $7.50 chance. Reelem In Ruby was third-up when she carried 56.5kg and enjoyed the run of the race one out and one back before peeling at the right time and just missing behind Strome. Toryjoy was first-up, carried 58.5kg, was caught three deep without cover for the trip, copped a big bump on the turn and finished off just as well to be beaten 1.6 lengths. The Chris Waller-trained daughter of Street Cry has far more upside and now meets Reelem In Ruby 1kg better at the weights. She’s drawn awkwardly in barrier 10 but must be respected and looks over the odds. 
Result (unplaced)

Race 7 - 3:10PM ELITE SAND & SOIL W J MCKELL CUP (2400 METRES)
OUR BIG MIKE is Brisbane Cup and Caloundra Cup bound, but his last start win at Te Rapa suggests he’s back in form and will be hard to beat here. The son of Don Eduardo disappointed second-up over the mile at Ellerslie but bounced back with an all the way win over 2100m last start. At his sixth run last campaign, he lead all the way to win the Pakenham Cup (2500m) in record time, and although he’ll take improvement from Saturday’s run, he should be able to control this event with Hush Writer being first-up and the only other front-running type. All others will be looking to settle back in the field and time their runs, and that should allow Our Big Mike to dictate terms before building at the 600m and outstaying them.
Result (unplaced)

Race 8 - 3:50PM SYDNEY CRICKET GROUND HANDICAP (1500 METRES)
Another one where the market looks upside down and we must take advantage of it. Asterius is the $5.50 favourite following a first-up 3rd placing over 1400m at Rosehill where he ran 1:24.37 and clocked 34.07, 22.35 and 11.33 for his final 600m, 400m and 200m. STROME who defeated Reelem In Ruby and Toryjoy won in 1:23.24 on the same day and ran 34.20, 22.66 and 11.76 for her final sectionals. Strome drops 4.5kg and Asterius drops 3kg, and while Asterius does have more upside, he’s still only second-up in a 1500m event while Strome is fourth-up and nearing peak fitness. She tired late last time, but with the lighter weight and extra fitness, she looks hard to beat here. 
Result (3rd)


May 18

Race 4 - 1:15PM JIM CASSIDY HALL OF FAME HANDICAP (1500 METRES)
STAR OF THE SEAS just about appears to be a permanent fixture in recent Sydney Saturday races with the Chris Waller-trained mare set to line up for her seventh start since February. The four-year-old has won or placed in all of those and is set to be there again at the business end. She won two on the trot at Rosehill in March and gets back to her favoured track after missing out recently at Randwick. She was luckless in the most recent of those when being forced out wide around the bend. The 2kg claim for the apprentice hoop, Robbie Dolan brings her right into this and with even luck from the barrier she should be hard to hold out. 
Result (1st - $3.60)

Race 6 - 2:35PM JB CUMMINGS HALL OF FAME HANDICAP (1400 METRES)
Race 6 is a BenchMark 78 for the fillies and mares and I am pretty keen on the Peter and Paul Snowden-trained RELEEM IN RUBY. The promising galloper has had five starts for two wins and was victorious in her most recent of those when clearing away in the dying stages over the 1300m at Warwick Farm. She ran quick time that day and the form out of the race has held up since. She should get a nice steer with Tommy Berry on board and is the one to beat. 
Result (2nd)

Race 7 - 3:15PM LORD MAYORS CUP (2000 METRES)
This might be a bit of a 'wait and see' as SIXTIES GROOVE is the first emergency in the Doomben Cup (2000m). But if the Kris Lees-trained galloper can't sneak into the field for that Group 1, the lightly raced six-year-old should be hard to beat at Rosehill. In the recent Hawkesbury Cup (1600m) he ran 3rd to Archedemus and was doing his best work late in that race. The step up to the 2000m is ideal as he has an impeccable record over the distance with four wins from as many starts. They boast a win over Trap For Fools last year, while he is also a two time second up winner.
Result (Scratched)



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Rosehill Tips July 13 - Expert tips and Saturday best bets

Our form analysts preview racing from Rosehill on Saturday and gives his best bets for the meeting.

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