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Sandown Tips November 16 - Best bets and selections for Sandown on Saturday

Jackson Oldham in Free Tips 15 Nov 2019
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Sandown Hillside

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Sandown Tips - November 16

Race 2 - 1:00PM Ladbrokes Sandown Cup (3200 METRES)

Race 5 - 2:45pm Clanbrooke Racing Doveton Stakes (1000m)
The Mathew Ellerton & Simon Zahra-trained THERMAL CURRENT looks an outstanding each-way bet and I’m expecting the nine-year-old to start somewhere near favourite. He was completely unsuited behind Tavisan and William Thomas first-up at Cranbourne and although he ran seventh of nine runners, he still clocked the fastest last 200m of the meeting. He went to Flemington last start on Oaks Day and nothing went right for him. He was slowly away and was a clear last at the 600m and when James McDonald made his move, he went from 7.8 lengths off the leader at the 600m to 4.4 lengths at the 200m before running up behind horses and having nowhere to go from the 200m until well inside the clocktower. He finally eased to the outside in the final 75m but the race was well and truly gone. I loved the way he still savaged the line under hands and heels riding and his work through the line was what really impressed me. He finished over two-lengths behind Ball Of Muscle but 50m past the line he was alongside him and going past. He is a horse that usually peaks third-up. His peak performance in the last two years was 11.3 lengths above BM when he won at Flemington and that was his last third-up run, his third-up run prior he finished fourth (beaten 0.8L) Stellar Collision and Oak Door… the third-up run prior to that he won a Listed race at Caulfield. The 1000m start at Sandown Hillside is a start where wide barriers are no disadvantage at all, so barrier 12 for Ben Melham is perfect and I think this is the each-way bet of the Spring Carnival. 

Race 7 - 4:00pm Ladbrokes Sandown Guineas (1600m)
The Tony & Calvin McEvoy-trained PRETTY BRAZEN has already been well supported in early markets and I’m keen to follow that money. I loved her win two starts ago at Caulfield, where she was unsuited but was just too good for her rivals, producing a closing 400m that was 3.7 lengths quicker than the class benchmark to bolt in. She just got too far out of her ground last start over 1400m on Cup Day and although she tracked the winner into the race, she just took a little bit more time to hit top gear but really savaged the line once she got there. She ran fifth behind Akari and Betcha Flying but was only beaten 0.8 lengths and ran the fastest last 200m of the race and the fifth-fastest last 200m of the meeting on Cup Day. She produced another massive close of 8.1 lengths above benchmark for her final 600m and her last start figure of 5.9 lengths above benchmark is the best last start figure in the race. She has the best last start figure in the race, the best peak performance figure in the race (6.7 lengths above benchmark) a positive jockey change from M.Dee to L.Currie and a good map from barrier six. My only concern is, she started her preparation back in July and has raced in three states but her runs have been spaced and she seems to be holding her form and showing no signs of coming to the end of her preparation. I’m very confident that this three-year-old daughter of Brazen Beau starts favourite and I’ll be taking the early price.

Race 8 - 4:40PM Quayclean Zipping Classic (2400 METRES)

Previous Sandown Tips:

June 15

Race 1 - 11:45am Ladbrokes Park Handicap (1200m)
Anthony Freedman has two horses in this race and It’s KING OF HASTINGS who I’m with here. Everything he has done so far in his short career has impressed me, including his terrific jumpout prior to his debut at Cranbourne. I was at Cranbourne that night and I was happy to be against him from his parade in the mounting yard. He seemed very new, was on his toes and was sweating on a very cold night. The market was trending that way late, as he was $2.10 out to $2.60 but in the end, it didn’t matter as he was far too good for his rivals. He got the perfect run in transit, on the back of the leader Oh So Rewarding but the win was still full of merit, as he ran an outstanding time of 8.6 lengths above the maiden benchmark, which was a full 15 lengths faster than the other two-year-old maiden winner Widespread for Godolphin. His overall time compared to the meeting was terrific too, as he ran 1.8 lengths above the overall benchmark and was the only horse to break benchmark for the entire meeting. The money has already come for him since I’ve done the form, as he is $4.40 into $3.50 and that doesn’t surprise me at all.
Result: 2nd

Race 5 - 2:05pm Ladbrokes Info Hub Handicap (2100m)
The A1 form coming into this race looks to be that 2000m race at Caulfield contested by Pacodali and BEAU BALMAIN and at the current prices, I’m in the corner of Beau Balmain. He was huge last start for his first run in Australia, running third behind Pacodali and Live And Free. He wasn’t ready from the mounting yard and still ran the fourth-fastest last 200m and third-fastest last 400m and 600m of the race. I love the way he moves and his action around Caulfield suggests to me that he will love the big, wide open spaces of Sandown. The map looks perfect for the two favourites, I have Darabad pushing up and leading Alward and Lucabelle, with Willi Willi and Thunder Cloud behind those. Beau Balmain should find himself in a perfect spot three pairs back in the running line with Pacodali on his back. 
Result: 3rd

Race 9 - 4:36pm Ladbrokes Multiverse Handicap (1400m)
The John McArdle-trained BRICKTOP looks well over the odds and is my best roughie of the day. The three-year-old Snitzel colt will get back and there looks to be plenty of speed on here, with the likes of Asgard Massif and Gennady both likely to roll forward from outside barriers. Our Campana led for Craig Williams last start but goes to Jye McNeil and they may elect to go back from barrier 11, Buffalo River won’t be far away and the likes of Meteor Rising, Kurcaine, Persuader and Fabric will all be looking to hold spots better than midfield. This will allow Bricktop to run on and is the inside is chopping up by race nine, he looks suited. He was completely unsuited at this track last start against Gennady and Part Time Lover, I thought his effort to finish fourth was outstanding. It was a day where you needed to be on or near the fence to win and he was flashing home out wide against the pattern, running the fastest last 200m of the meeting, second-fastest last 400m of the meeting and sixth-fastest last 600m of the meeting. I’m very surprised he is at such a big price and I’ll be having a decent each-way crack. 
Result: Scratched

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Sandown Tips November 16 - Best bets and selections for Sandown on Saturday

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