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Sandown Tips August 14 - Two best bets for Sandown

Jackson Oldham in Free Tips 14 Aug 2019
  • Sandown Racing Preview
Sandown

Midweek racing returns home to Sandown after a Wednesday meeting at Cranbourne last week. It’s an eight-race program on a Heavy 9 with the rail out 8m.  

Race 1 - 1:00pm Ladbrokes Odds Boost Handicap (1300m)
The Lindsay Park-trained LADY LOIRE looks a standout in the opening race on the program and it’s no surprise that has been met with good support in the post 9am markets, being backed from $3.20 into $2.50. She is the only horse coming through a Metro lead-up run, running a good third behind Star Surprise and Can’t Be Done at Caulfield, either of which would be $1.50 here. She ran 4.7 lengths above the overall benchmark, which is four-lengths better than any other horses peak performance in this race. She goes from M.Dee to L.Nolen, which is a positive jockey change and the only concern for me is the month between runs on a heavy track. Admittedly, $2.50 is near the bottom of the price range I’d take for Lady Loire but with market percentages still around 125% in a five-horse field, most horses will need to drift closer to race time, so I’m hoping to get around $3.00. I thought the danger was Kaarachi, who beat stablemate Rubisaki in a trial before being truckloaded into $1.50 on debut at Mildura, bolting in by 2.3 lengths. Acting did beat Condo’s Express at Echuca last start but that horse improved almost ten-lengths to win at The Valley so the formlines aren’t as strong as they appear I don’t think. 


Race 2 - 1:35pm Le Pine Funerals Handicap (2400m)
The favourite Wealthy Wolf brings strong formlines around the likes of Not A Single Cent from Saturday races and is the most likely winner in the race but I thought the value at double-figure odds was MIDAS MAN. I really liked his late close over an unsuitable distance at Mornington first-up and I have been keeping a close eye on him since, as I like when staying horses show something first-up. I thought he put the writing on the wall last start here at Sandown over 2100m. He got way too far back, with the race shape against and flew home the last 200m, running the fastest last 200m of the race. He ran the 32nd-fastest last 600m of the meeting, 31st-fastest last 400m of the meeting and 6th-fastest last 200m of the meeting. I’m hoping he can settle a little closer from barrier eight and gets M.Poy to D.Dunn, which is a positive jockey change. Looking at the other horses in the market, I was happy to be against Meteor Light but he does get D.Oliver on board and Ubin Thunderstruck was terrific last start and gets D.Lane on board, which I’m hypothesising is a positive jockey change from Craig Williams at the moment.


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Sandown Tips August 14 - Two best bets for Sandown

Midweek racing returns home to Sandown after a Wednesday meeting at Cranbourne last week. It’s an eight-race program on a Heavy 9 with the rail out 8m.

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