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Warwick Farm Tips July 17 - best bets for NSW racing on Wednesday

Aaron Hamilton in Free Tips 16 Jul 2019
Jockey Robbie Dolan rides Pelethronius to win at Warwick Farm Racecourse (PA Images)

NSW racing action takes place at Warwick Farm on Wednesday with a Soft 6 predicted.

Here are my best bets for Warwick Farm today:

Race 1 - 12:50PM SHOOTING TO WIN @ DARLEY HANDICAP (1200 METRES)
Punters should be willing to give the Chris Waller-trained ROTATOR another chance now that Blake Shinn goes aboard. Oddly, last start she opened at $1.50 and drifted to $2.60 while her stablemate Lucicello was backed from $9 to $4. Lucicello stormed down the outside for Robbie Dolan and scored convincingly as poor Rotator ran into every dead end possible before flying late with Glyn Schofield in the saddle – hmmm! Waller has four in this race so watch betting moves, but if this event is run fairly, Rotator should be winning. 
Race 4 - 2:35PM WINTER RACING HANDICAP (1400 METRES)
Admittedly, it worries me that Blake Shinn jumps off the Kris Lees-trained FRONT SIGHT after winning by 3.5 lengths on the Smart Missile gelding last start, and he now rides Wimlah for Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott. However, everything about Front Sight’s win suggests he’s looking for further, and he now gets to 1400m third-up and looks incredibly hard to beat from the inside gate.
Race 7 - 4:20PM TAB HANDICAP (1200 METRES)
I tipped I AM CAPITAN at Randwick two Saturday’s back and he was scratched, and while I’d have preferred him dropping back in trip slightly, this looks easier and he now gets Hugh Bowman in the saddle which is an obvious plus. He just ran out of condition first-up on a Heavy track over 1200m, but firmer conditions at Warwick Farm may be equal to a drop back in trip anyway. He went 4.2 lengths below benchmark (BM) when first-up over 1200m last preparation and improved second-up going 1.2 lengths above BM as he dropped back to 1100m. Last start he went 3.7 lengths above BM, and with expected improvement second-up on Wednesday, he looks hard to beat. I like the extra break which would have given him plenty of time to get over the first-up run on a taxing Heavy track, and while concussion plates for the first time are a negative, the horse must be flying for Bowman to have taken the ride. 


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Warwick Farm Tips July 17 - best bets for NSW racing on Wednesday

NSW racing action takes place at Warwick Farm on Wednesday with a Soft 6 predicted.

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