All Aged Stakes Tips & Preview

Aaron Hamilton in All Aged Stakes 15 Apr 2020
All Aged Stakes Tips

Looking for All Aged Stakes Tips on Saturday, April 18? Our form expert has previewed the race and given his best bet for the 1400m feature.

ALL AGED STAKES TIPS & PREVIEW

To some extent, we can throw last start form out the window here as all bar three horses raced on a Heavy 8 or worse at their most recent start.

Randwick was rated a Soft 6 on Wednesday, but with temperatures in the mid-20s to low-30s leading up to Saturday, we are near certain to be racing on a Good track.

Santa Ana Lane has been installed the $4.20 favourite ahead of Pierata and Bivouac, and Dreamforce is the only other runner under double figures.

Last start winners Dreamforce and White Moss look the likely leaders and may not get a lot of pressure up front, while the favoured pair will get back in the run and could be disadvantaged if they go slow early.

BEST LEAD UP FORM

The TJ Smith Stakes is undoubtedly the best lead up for the All Aged Stake.

In recent times, Trapeze Artist claimed the double (2018), and Pierata finished 3.8 lengths from Santa Ana Lane in the 2019 TJ Smith before taking out the All Aged.

On Saturday, we see four runners come through the TJ Smith with Santa Ana Lane (2nd), Pierata (4th), Tofane (5th) and Bivouac (6th).

Santa Ana Lane and Pierata have the highest career BM performances so there is no doubting they are among the class runners and come out of the right form race.

However, the All-Star Mile and Doncaster rated higher, and we have Fierce Impact out of the All-Star Mile where he recorded the highest last start BM figure going 13.9 lengths quicker than standard.

Star Of The Seas was runner-up in the Doncaster, but horses don’t generally fare well when tackling this race as an afterthought having come through the Doncaster.

Star Of The Seas also has an outstanding record on Heavy tracks, and I think he loses that advantage back onto a firmer surface against elite gallopers.

WHO WILL WIN THE ALL AGED STAKES?

Firstly, there is one alarming statistic with Santa Ana Lane and I’m more than keen to take him on here.

He always declines third-up, and in his last three preparations, he’s lowered his BM effort by an average of five to six lengths third-up.

Pierata on the other hand raised his BM rating fourth-up into this race last year, and last campaign, he improved his rating by nearly 10 lengths third-up.

He was charging late and probably peaked with 50m to go, and based on that run and his previous peak patterns, I’m convinced this is his target race, unlike others who had the TJ Smith Stakes or Doncaster Mile as their grand final.

Tofane finished better than Bivouac but was being held by Pierata, and she doesn’t appear to have any more upside while Pierata clearly does.

Dreamforce rates highly from the front, and Standout is a good rough hope at $19, but I can’t go past Pierata who was an impressive winner of this race last year and looks to be going just as well this time around.

WHO HAS THE BEST ODDS ON THE ALL AGED STAKES?

Sportsbet and BetEasy have $4.60 available for Pierata, but we can do a bit better with Ladbrokes and Neds offering $4.80.

Prediction
Pierata $4.80 Bet now!