Australasian Oaks Tips & Preview
AUSTRALASIAN OAKS TIPS & PREVIEW
Looking for Australasian Oaks tips and best bets? We dissect times and form to find the winner of the 2022 Australasian Oaks at Morphettville.
Tips will be available following the barrier draw. See our 2021 preview below for an example of what to expect.
The fillies get their chance for Group 1 glory at Morphettville in the Australasian Oaks and it is Steinem that has been installed as a $4 favourite with ladbrokes ahead of the unbeaten Tasmanian filly, Hela, while last year’s Victoria Oaks (2500m) winner, Personal, shares the third line of betting with Brookspire at $8.
Seven of the field of 19 (including the three emergencies) come out of the Aurora Stakes (1800m) at Morphettville that was held on April 17. That race has provided four of the past nine winners of the Oaks and was taken out by Tyche Goddess this year.
The winner settled back and enjoyed the solid tempo up front, working home from 11th at the 400m to score from Ecunemical, who had gained the rails run on the inside. Sirileo Miss was 3rd, while Steinem produced the eye-catcher.
The Maher/Eustace filly was last and well back before rocketing home for 4th, beaten half a length. She produced the fastest last 200m and the winner went 8.1 lengths faster than standard benchmark, which are the second best last start figures of any runner in the Oaks. Steinem can improve her rating out to the 2000m.
Brookspire boasts the best lasts start figures of any runner and set a personal best at Caulfield last weekend, going 9.7 lengths faster than standard when defeating Succeed Indeed at Caulfield over the 1600m in a BenchMark 78. American Angel was 3rd and can finish closer to Brookspire as she was desperately unlucky throughout.
Personal is one of the proven performers from a class and distance point of view. She went more than 13 lengths faster than standard when winning the Victoria Oaks (2500m) last year and went 16.6 lengths faster when 3rd to Starelle in the Kewney Stakes (1600m) earlier this preparation.
That run may have taken a bit out of her and she battled into 7th placing in the Vinery Stud Stakes (2000m) at Rosehill recently. She has drawn very wide for this. Chica Fuerte is another that has produced some big figures in the past before battling at their most recent run.
Hela is the question mark and went five lengths faster than standard when winning over the 1400m this preparation before walking up in front when winning by nearly three lengths in a BenchMark 84 at Hobart on April 14.
Earlier this year she won the Strutt Stakes (2100m) in Tasmania by four lengths from Chequerboard, who finished a similar margin away in the Adrian Knox Quality (2000m) at Rosehill. While it is worth noting that the Tassie form has provided an Australian Derby (2400m) winner this year in the form of Explosive Jack, I am willing to take a risk on her despite her unbeaten status.
She won’t get it on her own terms this time around and Ecumenical, Chica Fuerte and Flying Mascot are among a host that will try to push forward, possibly setting the race up for those that like to get back, including Steinem.
Mozzie Monster may finally enjoy a bit of pace and has worked home well behind Annavisto at her past couple. The New Zealander, Tokorangi, will also get back and was a Group 2 winner in her homeland over the distance before running 7th in the NZ Derby (2400m) at her most recent start.
Flexible is the only runner in this race that had her last start at Sydney and caught the eye with a 3rd in the Adrian Knox Stakes (2000m) at Rosehill on April 4, finishing just behind Bargain, who placed in the Australian Oaks. She is another that should be running on.
Australasian Oaks Tips & Verdict
I am keen on Steinem in the Australasian Oaks. The progressive type seems to be maturing at the right time and was the pick of those that lined up in the Auraria Stakes, which has been a reliable pointer towards this race in recent years. The Maher/Eustace stable have been rock solid this season, particularly in races at 2000m and above, while the daughter of Frankel has the recent figures that suggest she will be hard to beat.