Australian Cup Tips 2020 – Third up runner set to shine at Flemington
- How to the form lines stack up in the Australian Cup?
Vow And Declare returns to the track for the first time since winning the 2019 Group 1 Melbourne Cup (3200m), but he doesn’t feature in our Group 1 Australian Cup (2000m).
The Melbourne Cup champion will be back at the scene of his famous win last November as he lines up in a 14-strong line-up for the staying feature at Flemington.
The James Cummings-trained Avilius looks set to start as favourite for the Australian Cup, while there is Western Australian interest in the shape of Regal Power as well as the presence of the first three home in the Group 2 Peter Young Stakes (1800m) in Miss Siska, Kings Will Dream and Mirage Dancer.
HOW DO THE FORM LINES STACK UP?
Favourite Avilius will be third up having finished fifth in the Group 1 CF Orr Stakes (1400m) at Caulfield and fourth in the Group 1 Chipping Norton Stakes (1600m) at Randwick.
Chris Waller’s Kings Will Dream finished ahead of Avilius in the CF Orr Stakes as he finished third, before following that with a runners-up effort behind Miss Siska in the Peter Young.
The Grahame Begg-trained Miss Siska is unbeaten in two starts this prepation with victory in the Group 3 Carlyon Cup (1600m) prior to the Peter Young Stakes victory, a race in which Mirage Dancer was third in his second up run having finished last in the CF Orr Stakes.
Regal Power was fourth in that Caulfield race on his first start of the autumn and the Grant & Alana Williams-trained, who won the Group 1 Railway Stakes (1600m) in Perth in November, and should benefit for the run.
Harlem has followed the same path as Miss Siska, finishing fourth in the Carlyon Cup and fifth in the Peter Young, the latter race also seeing Suzuka Devious finish 7th and Constantinople trail home last.
Fifty Stars, one of four runners in the race for David & Ben Hayes & Tom Dabernig, was fourth in the CF Orr Stakes and came out an won the Group 2 Blamey Stakes (1600m) last weekend.
Vow And Declare and Southern France will be first up at Flemington.
WHO WILL WIN THE AUSTRALIAN CUP?
Fifty Stars is interesting backing up from last weekend’s Blamey Stakes win, especially considering his Flemington record of three wins and a second place from six starts at the track.
Regal Power holds valid claims with undoubted improvement to come from his fourth place in the Peter Young Stakes first up and the Western Australian galloper will have plenty of support behind him.
Miss Siska has been impressive in winning her two starts this campaign, including that Peter Young Stakes, with the mare as versatile and tough as they come. But can she step up again in this field? I have my doubts.
Kings Will Dream looks primed for a big run third up after building to this with place efforts in his first two runs. He won third up last campaign in the Group 1 Turnbull Stakes (2000m) to signal his return at the highest level and can repeat that trick at a course where his record stands at 3-1-1 from seven runs.
Godolphin galloper Avilius won third up last preparation in the Group 1 George Main Stakes (1600m) and should relish the step up in distance to the mile-and-a-half on Saturday, but he might just be edged out by Kings Will Dream.