Blue Diamond Stakes Tips – can they beat Hanseatic?
2020 BLUE DIAMOND STAKES TIPS AND PREVIEW:
The Anthony Freedman-trained Hanseatic aims for four in a row in Saturday’s Group 1 Blue Diamond Stakes (1200m) at Caulfield and looks incredibly hard to beat.
Having taken out the two-year-old feature last year with Lyre, Freedman and jockey Luke Currie certainly know what it takes to win the $1.5 million race.
INSIDE GATE A CONCERN?
The flashy Street Boss colt has drawn barrier 1 which could be his main obstacle.
Miracles Of Life is the only horse in recent times to have won from the inside gate when landing three pairs back on the fence and getting out at the top of the straight to sprint clear and claim victory.
Hanseatic’s early speed in three runs to date suggests he’ll be five pairs back on the rail, but with fitness on his side and the step up to 1200m, we could see him a bit closer to the leader.
However, I think there will be more speed in this with the fillies as they have recorded the quicker overall times in both the Preview and Prelude, while the colts and geldings have recorded the quicker final 600m sectionals.
HOW WILL THE RACE PLAY OUT?
With extra early speed injected into the race, Hanseatic may be better off dropping out to the rear and being able to build momentum on the bend before exploding down the outside late.
Currie did this with Lyre last year.
She was second last as they swung for home, but when Currie got her to the outside, she let down better than the rest and sailed to victory.
Hanseatic has a better turn of foot than Lyre, and his final 600m, 400m and 200m in his lead ups has been far superior to hers.
He posted a new personal best last start going 8.0 lengths quicker than standard BM as he hauled in Rulership who tried to lead all the way.
Rulership has drawn gate 7 and needs to go forward and sit outside Letzbeglam who looks the likely leader from barrier 3.
Hanseatic ran his final 400m in 21.88 which is roughly six lengths faster than Letzbeglam who finished off her last 400m in 22.96.
I think Currie can afford to let the early speed go and trust his colt has the finishing burst to reel them in.
WHO ARE THE BIGGEST THREATS?
Letzbeglam was also three wide without cover last start and could improve significantly with an easier run along the rail and I think she rates as the main danger along with Rulership.
Muntaseera probably has more upside than most and did a bit wrong last time when overracing, while her stable mate Away Game just keeps getting the job done and can’t be dismissed either.
However, Hanseatic also has upside and will be peaking on the day, and with his superior finishing speed, I’m not worried about the inside barrier being a potential negative.