Caulfield Cup Tips & Preview
Looking for 2020 Caulfield Cup Tips? Our expert form analyst previews the Caulfield feature and gives his Best and Best Value selections for the race.
Caulfield Cup Preview
Saturday’s Group 1 Caulfield Cup (2400m) sees some quality European stayers take on the best from Australia and New Zealand as most build toward the first Tuesday in November.
Aidan O’Brien’s Anthony Van Dyck has been given top weight of 58.5kg and deserves every bit of his hefty impost.
The five-year-old son of Galileo defeated Stradavarius in the Prix Foy (2400m) last start, and his 3rd placing behind US champ Bricks And Mortar in the Breeders’ Cup Turf (2414m) was outstanding.
Bricks And Mortar won six from six in his final season, and Anthony Van Dyck could have arguably spoiled the party if he wasn’t held up on the home bend while Bricks And Mortar built full momentum.
Of the Australian and New Zealand bunch, the top eight rating BM performances come from the Turnbull Stakes (2000m) and this clearly looks the strongest form race.
Avilius is next best outside of the Turnbull having finished runner-up in the Hill Stakes (2000m), and while the overall time was quicker than the Turnbull, The Hill Stakes rated lower.
How do the Turnbull Stakes runners stack up?
Verry Elleegant won the race going 10.7 lengths quicker than standard BM as she defeated Toffee Tongue (2nd), Finche (3rd), Dalasan (4th), Master Of Wine (5th), Warning (6th), Vow And Declare (12th) and Oceanex (14th).
Oceanex and Vow And Declare weakened in the straight and were a bit disappointing, but the other six ran big races and each could win on Saturday.
Warning in particular had the flashing light on late and really hit the line strong, and he recorded a new personal best going 10.1 lengths quicker than BM.
On weights, Dalasan, Master Of Wine and Warning carried 56.5kg in the Turnbull, and Dalasan now gets in with the lightest weight of that trio and will carry 52.5kg.
That sees Dalasan down 4kg on last start as he meets every Turnbull runner better at the weights including Verry Elleegant who is 3.5kg worse at the weights compared to Dalasan.
Dalasan also defeated Warning in the South Australian Derby (2500m) when runner-up to Russian Camelot, so that staying form must be respected.
Who will win the Caulfield Cup in 2020?
As mentioned, Dalasan gets in best at the weights and has strong 2400m form.
And although he meets Verry Elleegant better at the weights here, she can go to another level as she steps up to 2400m fourth-up just as she did when winning the Tancred Stakes (2400m) fourth-up in the autumn.
Verry Elleegant was utterly dominant in that race where she posted a personal best going 14.4 lengths quicker than standard BM.
She was also eased up with 100m to go and jockey James McDonald started stroking her down the neck with praise 30m before the post – it was that easy.
Verry Elleegant may head to the Melbourne Cup following Saturday’s race, but I think this is her Grand Final and always has been.
Anthony Van Dyck is a quality animal and will take a power of beating, but he’s giving weight to a genuine 2400m superstar who has already won five Group 1 races and finished runner-up in another three.
Dalasan rates as my best value bet and could be one to cause an upset if Verry Elleegant or Anthony Van Dyck find trouble in the run.