Champagne Stakes Tips & Preview

Aaron Hamilton in Champagne Stakes 15 Apr 2020
Caulfield Guineas Barrier Draw

Looking for Champagne Stakes Tips on Saturday, April 18? Our form expert has previewed the race and given his best bet for the two-year-old feature.

CHAMPAGNE STAKES TIPS & PREVIEW

To some extent, we can throw last start form out the window here as every horse raced on a Soft 7 to Heavy 8 at their most recent start.

Randwick was rated a Soft 6 on Wednesday, but with temperatures in the mid-20s to low-30s leading up to Saturday, we are near certain to be racing on a Good track.

Four runners come out of the Inglis Sires’ (1400m) where the winner, King’s Legacy, posted the best last start BM figure going 2.4 lengths quicker than standard BM.

Philizzy comes out of the Percy Sykes Stakes (1400m) where she went 2.2 lengths quicker than standard, while the remaining five runners come through the Kindergarten Stakes (1100m), Fernhill Mile (1600m), The Schweppervescence (1400m) and Easter Monday Handicap (1300m) which rated lower.

BEST LEAD UP FORM

As mentioned above, the Inglis Sires’ and Percy Sykes rated strongest, but I wouldn’t discount Not An Option who comes through the Kindergarten Stakes.

That race was run very slow early and he had no chance to come from last, however, his final 600m rated 11.1 lengths quicker than standard which is six lengths quicker than King’s Legacy.

The Inglis Sires’ is generally the best lead-up race, and in 2019 Castelvecchio took out the Champagne Stakes from Loving Gabby with that pair finishing 3rd and 2nd respectively in the Sires’.

WHO WILL WIN THE CHAMPAGE STAKES?

Philizzy rated well but looked weak at the end of 1200m so I really can’t see her being one of the strongest at the end of a mile.

Not An Option had the slickest final 600m by a long way but I’m worried with him stepping up from 1100m to 1600m second-up against some race fit competition.

Peter and Paul Snowden have a strong hand in the race with King’s Legacy, Aim and Untamed, and while I’m willing to risk Aim, I the other pair are leading hopes.

Untamed in particular has so much room for improvement, and he could smash his previous best as he gets onto a Good surface, but he took every inch of the Randwick straight to get up last start and I’m concerned he might be looking for a bit longer this time.

It’s hard to go past King’s Legacy on what he did last start, but I’m sticking with Ole Kirk who I tipped in the Sires’ where he ran 4th beaten 1.9 lengths.

He didn’t show the same turn of foot that he showed in two previous starts, and I think this was due to the rain-affected surface.

Ole Kirk has also had two runs over 1400m which gives him a fitness advantage over most of these.

He clearly should have won the VRC Sires’ two starts back when held up for a run, and he finished in front of Holyfield who then defeated Untamed who then won last start.

All this form leads back to the Inglis Sires’ being the strongest form race, and I’d be surprised if the winner came outside of Ole Kirk or King’s Legacy.

King’s Legacy was also specifically set for the Sires’, and it will be a brilliant training performance to get him up for two grand finals while Ole Kirk has always raced like a Champagne Stakes horse and gets his chance on Saturday.

WHO HAS THE BEST ODDS ON THE CHAMPAGNE STAKES?

Sportsbet opened shorter than most at $3.80 for Ole Kirk while BetEasy leads a host of other bookmaker to be offering $4.

Prediction
Ole Kirk $4 Bet now!