Coolmore Classic Tips – revenge is Sweet

Aaron Hamilton in Coolmore Classic 11 Mar 2020

Looking for 2020 Coolmore Classic Tips? Our form expert previews the Group 1 feature at Rosehill and gives his top selection for the race.

COOLMORE CLASSIC PREVIEW:

Last year we saw the Guy Walter Stakes runner-up Dixie Blossoms go one better in the Group 1 Coolmore Classic (1500m), and in 2020, Sweet Deal will be aiming to do the same.

Trained by John Thompson, the daughter of Casino Prince led throughout in the Guy Walter and was claiming in the last stride by the fast finishing Dawn Dawn while Pohutukawa also finished strongly for 3rd.

Sweet Deal was left a couple of lengths in front a long way from home and just appeared to run out of condition late while others made ground.

Jockey Blake Shinn may have overdone it a bit as Sweet Deal went 14.4 lengths quicker than standard BM to the 600m which most certainly softened her up late as she ran her final 600m 2.1 lengths slower than BM.

It’s hard to be critical of Shinn’s ride without knowing his instructions, and maybe this was the solid hit-out Sweet Deal needed to bring her to her peak for Saturday’s assignment.

This mare usually improves deeper into her campaign, so I have no doubt there is still some upside to her.

My biggest concern here is that the three-year-old filly Acting may push forward from her wide gate and try and apply pressure with the light weight.

However, she led over 1400m at Caulfield last start and punctured badly to finish more than 10 lengths last, so they may want to be more conservative this time.

HOW DO THE LEADING CONTENDERS STACK UP?

Dawn Dawn and Pohutukawa had the race run to suit last time – as did the other four runners coming through the Guy Walter, and if Sweet Deal can reserve some energy in the run this time, she should prove hard to run down with added fitness.

Race favourite Sylvia’s Mother comes through the Frances Tressady Stakes (1400m) at Caulfield where she went 10.5 lengths quicker than BM, and if she can run a strong 1500m, she looms as the main danger.

And while the BM performance rated high in the Frances Tressady, I have some concerns around that form, as well as Sylvia’s Mother being beaten as the $1.60 favourite at her only start at Rosehill in a BM88 last campaign.

COOLMORE CLASSIC VERDICT

Sweet Deal should be able to control this race from the front, and with a bit of upside to come, she’s the one they all have to beat.

Nash Rawiller is one of the best at rating horses out in front, and he has a great record with this mare having ridden her five times for four wins and a 3rd placing.

He jumps back aboard on Saturday and will rate her to perfection.

Coolmore Classic Tips:

Prediction
Sweet Deal $4.50 Bet now!

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