Coolmore Classic Tips: Who history points to winning
- Which horse do the trends point towards in the Coolmore Classic?
The Coolmore Classic (1500m) is one of the leading Group 1 races on the Australian racing calendar for the fillies and mares and has been won by some champion gallopers in the past, including Typhoon Tracy (2009), Sunline (2000 & 2002) and Emancipation in 1984.
The $600,000 feature at Rosehill has attracted some promising performers this year and if we analyse the trends of the race since the year 2000, there are a number of things that you should consider when it comes to making your selection. The Coolmore is usually a wide-open race this and this year there are three main fancies in the market in Sylvia’s Mother at $3.90, Sweet Deal $4.60 and Pohutukawa at $5.50.
Spanish Whisper is at $12, Dawn Dawn is at $17 and Con Te Partiro is $19. Noire at $20 and Sweet Scandal at $21 head the rest. For fans of that group of horses it is interesting to note that six of the past seven winners of the Coolmore Classic have paid above $10. Last year it was Dixie Blossoms that saluted at $21. Heavens Above won in 2017 as a $26 chance, while Peeping won the year prior at $15. In 2015, Plucky Belle ($16) defeated Winx’ former rival, First Seal.
12 of the 20 editions of the race since 2000 have seen winners pay $10 or more. The average price of those that have saluted has been $12.50. The fillies and mares range in age from three to six in this year’s edition of the race. Over the journey the four-year-olds have had the most success in this race and horses in that bracket this year are El Dorado Dreaming, Pohutukawa, Sylvia’s Mother, Oceanex, Spanish Whisper, Miss Fabulass, Fiesta and Benitoite.
Acting is the sole three-year-old in the race and will be out to join Tuesday Joy (2007), Regal Cheer (2006) and Shamekha (2004) as other youngsters to take this out. The fillies have a good record but none have won since Typhoo Tracy in 2009. Sunline claimed the Coolmore as a four-year-old and as a six-year-old, carting 60kg to victory on both occasions. At the other end of the weights, Typhoon Tracy won with 51kg in 2009, while Aloha carried 53kg as a four-year-old in 2011.
Six winners have carried 53kg to victory, while three have had 53.5kg. This year, Invincible Gem heads the weights with 58kg, while Sweet Deal has 57.5kg. Acting is the lightweight with 50kg. Fiesta has 53kg. The average weight carried to victory is 54.6kg. Delectation Girl, Noire and Oceanex and Spanish Whisper all have 54.5kg this year.
There have been a number of trainers with multiple winners in the Coolmore since 2000 including Gai Waterhouse, Guy Walter, Joseph Pride, Peter Moody, Ron Quinton and Trevor McKee. Of that group, Waterhouse (with Adrian Bott) has Con Te Partiro. Chris Waller and Kris Lees have seven of the 16 runners and have never had a winner in this race.
Barriers can play an important role in this race and 11 of the past 13 winners have drawn single digits. Sylvia’s Mother, Sweet Deal, Pohutukawa and Spanish Whisper have all drawn single digit barriers.
Key lead up races to the Coolmore Classic include the Guy Walter Stakes (1400m) and the Millie Fox Stakes (1300m). This year, Invincible Gem ran 3rd in the Guy Walter, while Sweet Deal, Dawn Dawn and Pohutukawa provided the trifecta in the Millie Fox.
Selection according to trends
Con Te Partiro.