Coolmore Legacy Stakes Trends: Who history points to winning
- Which horse do the long term trends point towards in the Coolmore Legacy Stakes?
Coolmore legacy STAKES HISTORICAL TRENDS
How can the Coolmore Legacy Stakes (1600m) trends help us find a winner in the Group 1 for the fillies and mares at Randwick on Saturday?
The Coolmore Legacy Stakes (1600m), officially registered as the Queen Of The Turf Stakes, is a key race for the fillies and mares and is one of four Group 1 races on the second day of The Championships at Randwick. The Queen Of The Turf has carried Group 1 status since 2005 and was run at Rosehill over 1500m up until 2014 when it became part of the rebranded autumn carnival.
Some gun gallopers have taken it out in the last few years, including More Joyous in 2011 and 2012, as well as Typhoon Tracy (2010) and Divine Madonna (2007). Alizee was the winner in 2018, while Kenedna scored an upset at $26 in 2019. In order to help you sort out your tips, we have delved back into the record books and analysed the Coolmore Legacy Stakes trends since the year 2000.
In the time period this millennium, the race has been a pretty good one for favourite backers with 10 of the 20 popular elects scoring in the race including Azkadellia in 2016. More Joyous won at the odds of $1.50 and $1.25 when she won, while the likes of Typhoon Tracy, Forensics (2008), Divine Madonna and Mnemosyne (2006) all paid below $4.
This year, the early market with Sportsbet sees Funstar at $2.90, while the recent Doncaster (1600m) winner, Nettoyer, is the only other in single figure odds at $9. Alizee, Miss Siska and Positive Peace head the rest at $11. It should be noted that it hasn’t all been one-way traffic for favoured runners, particularly since the Queen Of The Turf was shifted to Randwick in 2014. Diamond Drille scored at the odds of $41 that year while Amanpor won at $21 in 2015.
Silent Sedition went down as the popular elect in both 2017 and 2017, while Alizee missed as a $3.80 chance last year. Diamond Drille and Amanpour are two of an amazing seven winners since 2000 for trainer Gai Waterhouse in the race, and this year the leading lady is in a training partnership with Adrian Bott.
They saddle up Con Te Partiro. Other successful trainers include John Hawkes and Peter Snowden. Hawkes won with Hosannah (2003), Ike’s Dream (2005) and Mnemosyne. The Hawkes team have Amangiri this year. Key lead up races to the Coolmore Legacy Stakes have always been the Emancipation Stakes (1500m) and the Coolmore Classic (1500m). Two of the past six winners have had their last run in the Emancipation, while the Coolmore has always been a good form reference.
This year, Positive Peace won the Emancipation from Noire and Amangiri. Con Te Partiro won the Coolmore and has since run 6th in the Doncaster Mile (1600m). Interestingly, Appearance (2013) is the only to have won both the Coolmore and the Queen Of The Turf in successive runs. Amanpour was 2nd in the Emancipation in 2015, while Diamond Drille ran 4th in that race the year before.
The 2016 winner, Azkadelllia, ran 3rd in the Doncaster (1600m) behind Winx before scoring in this race. Of the contenders this year, Nettoyer backs up after taking out the Doncaster. Con Te Partiro was 6th. Note that 14 of the past 15 winners have placed in the top four at their previous start.
In more recent times, two of the past three winners were three-year-olds that have dropped down in distance having run in the Vinery Stud Stakes (2000m). They were Alizee and Foxplay in 2018 and 2017. Funstar will be out to emulate those two. Only four of the 20 winners since 2000 have been trained in Victoria. They were Kenedna, Azkadellia, Typhoon Tracy and Divine Madonna. Miss Siska, Spanish Reef and Fidelia are the Victorians in the race this year.
Fidelia is one of five horses aged four in the race this year. That age bracket has accounted for 10 winners since 2000, making them the most successful. The others are Positive Peace, Miss Fabulass, Amangiri and Pohutukawa.
Selections according to the Coolmore Legacy Stakes trends:
Positive Peace and Miss Fabulass tick plenty of boxes and are both worth a crack at their respective odds.