Doncaster Mile Tips & Preview
DONCASTER MILE TIPS & PREVIEW
Looking for Doncaster Mile tips and best bets? We dissect times and form to find the winner of the 2022 Doncaster Mile at Randwick.
Tips will be available following the barrier draw. See our 2021 preview below for an example of what to expect.
The Doncaster Mile is the last of the four Group 1 races on Day One of The Championships and this year’s edition shapes as an absolute belter.
The Handicap condition’s of the race, as well as the varied lead ups, always make the Doncaster a challenging one to predict when it comes to picking a winner.
One of the proven lead up races towards the Doncaster in recent times is the George Ryder Stakes (1500m) and eight of the field of 20 come out of that race, including Think It Over, who was the winner of the Rosehill Group 1.
The Kerry Parker-trained galloper has been installed as a $9.50 chance for the Doncaster with NEDS and drops 6.5kg at the weights, meeting the likes of Avilius (3rd), Cascadian (4th) and Gem Song (5th) on better terms.
Think It Over got the split at the 200m mark and went 6.5 lengths faster than standard benchmark, which is five lengths shy of his personal best of 11.5 lengths faster that was set went fifth up over the 2000m at his last preparation.
The All-Star Mile (1600m) winner, Mugatoo, has been installed as the $4.20 favourite in early markets with NEDS and carries equal top-weight of 56kg. He went 13.8 lengths faster than standard when winning at the Valley and those figures are the second best last start figures of any runner in this race.
He held his form at this stage of his spring campaign before later going on to run an unlucky 4th in the Cox Plate. The six-year-old will settle in a midfield position and should be hard to beat from barrier 4.
The best last start figures that any horse in this race has produced belong to Best Of Days, who went 15 lengths faster than standard benchmark when runner-up in the Australian Cup (2000m) behind Homesman.
The form out of that hasn’t quite stood up but there have been some that have gone close since, including Angel Of Truth, who was 5th in the Australian Cup before running 3rd behind Verry Elleegant and Addeybb in the Ranvet Stakes (2000m). I wouldn’t be writing off Best Of Days just yet.
Best Of Days is one of three Godolphin contenders in the race and another is Cascadian, who has produced the best figures of any runner in the past two years. That came when he was runner-up in last years’ Kennedy Cantala (1600m) behind Yulong Prince, achieving that off a solid tempo. He might get that in this year’s Doncaster.
Rock was 3rd in the same race. He was fourth up that day and was a fraction unlucky in the Epsom (1600m) at Randwick when third up in the spring, finishing 7th in that race , producing the fastest last 200m behind Probabeel.
Mo’unga will attract support and went just five lengths faster than standard when taking out the recent Rosehill Guineas (2000m). But I like him back to the 1600m and he went eight lengths faster than standard when an unlucky runner-up in the Randwick Guineas (1600m), while he drops 7kg to carry just the 49.5kg for this assignment as a three-year-old.
He held his figures at this stage of his last preparation when an unlucky 7th in the Caulfield Guineas (1600m). He is one of four horses in the race aged three and the youngsters have performed well in the Doncaster this millennium, winning the race on eight occasions, the best of any age group.
Other notable contenders include Aegon, Funstar and Yao Dash. Aegon was outclassed by Mounga in the Randwick Guineas and is worse at the weights but was trapped wide that day. Funstar had excuses in the George Ryder Stakes.
Yao Dash might be peaking at the right time and went 13.1 lengths faster than standard when taking out the recent Doncaster Prelude (1500m) at Rosehill. Gai Waterhouse has often found the right formula with her Doncaster runners over the years, winning the race on seven occasions. Yao Dash might give them something to chase as they approach the Randwick Rise at the top of the straight.
Doncaster Mile Tips & Verdict
You could make a case for a number of these and quaddie players are advised to go wide. Narrowing it down, my top three are Yao Dash, Mounga and for value I like Best Of Days. Mo’unga will be ridden for luck from the barrier, while Yao Dash will look to lead and has the Waterhouse polish. The drop down from the 2000m and the month in between runs has worked for Best Of Days in the past and that horse does seem back to his best after a couple of mixed seasons.