Doomben 10000 Tips & Preview
DOOMBEN 10000 TIPS & PREVIEW
Looking for Doomben 10000 tips and best bets? We dissect times and form to find the winner of the 2022 the Doomben 10000 at Doomben.
Tips will be available following the barrier draw. See our 2021 preview below for an example of what to expect.
It is Eduardo that heads the market with NEDS after the barrier draw and the Joseph Pride-trained galloper is at the $2.30 quote ahead of Wild Ruler at $4.80 and Trekking at $6.50. Splintex is another under the double figure odds at $9, while Vega One heads the rest at $12.
Eduardo has had three runs this time in and produced some monster benchmark figures when fresh, going a whopping 19.9 lengths faster than standard benchmark when holding on from Nature Strip in the Challenge Stakes (1000m) at Randwick on March 6.
That pair gapped the rest. He then went 17.5 lengths faster than standard when winning the Galaxy (1100m) when carrying the top weight before leading and tiring when 3rd behind Nature Strip in the TJ Smith Stakes (1200m).
He went a tick under 10 lengths faster than standard in that race TJ Smith and has generally held his figures at this stage and off similar breaks.
What looks to be in his favour is that there looks to be a lack of another genuine leader so he might be able to get the race on his terms, while the tight turning track should suit. Wild Ruler, Splintex and The Harrovian will be handy, while a number of the other runners like to get back.
The second favourite in the race, Wild Ruler, was more than six lengths from Eduardo in the Galaxy and is 4.5kg worse off at the weights for that performance. He has since gone seven lengths faster than standard when taking out the Group 2 Arrowfield Sprint (1200m) for the three-year-olds at Randwick. The Snowden-trained galloper overcame a wide run that day.
He is likely to need to produce a personal best to take this out but will appreciate a drying track with fine conditions to come from Thursday onwards.
Splintex is another that comes off a Randwick win, taking out the Hall Mark Stakes (1200m) on April 24. He was smashed by Eduardo in two runs prior to that.
Trekking is a bit of a question mark for mine after running 5th when resuming on the Soft at Eagle Farm in the Victory Stakes (1200m). He was disappointing that day but is capable of improvement with the run under his belt and went more than 11 lengths faster than standard when second up last time, placing 4th in the Everest. His best performances have come on dry tracks.
One that I am keen on at an each-way quote is Kings Will Dream. The seven-year-old is at the $31 quote and the school of thought is that he will need much further.
However, he has produced some cracking runs when first up at his past four campaigns. They have all been in high-quality races at Group 2 level or better over the 1400m in either Melbourne or Sydney during carnival time. He has consistently gone between nine and 10 lengths faster than standard in all of those. I wouldn’t be ruling him out.
Another roughie that can feature is Graff. He has generally been disappointing but did pull one out of the box when first up in the spring, going 15.5 lengths faster than standard when taking out the Caulfield Sprint (1000m).
It is hard to make a case for some of the others. Vega One is honest and comes off a runner-up performance in the Victory Stakes (1200m) behind Niccanova. I am not sure about the quality of that race this year.
The Harrovian lost no admirers when 5th in the All-Star Mile (1600m, going more than 10 lengths faster than standard at the Valley that day. The winning machine is unbeaten in two goes at the track and trip and proved that day that he is up to the class in the All-Star Mile.
Wild Planet boasts the best last start figures of any runner but they were over the 1600m in last year’s Kennedy Cantala (1600m) at Flemington on Derby Day. He went 13 lengths faster than standard benchmark that day on the back of a hot early tempo but could only manage 11th. He will be warming up late. Embrace Me and Pennino will need to lift on their recent performances.
Doomben 10000 Tips & Verdict
I am taking Eduardo on trust and it is just a matter of whether or not he can measure up to some of his recent runs. He was hot earlier this preparation and can bounce back after setting the pace before being mowed down by Nature Strip in the TJ Smith. No shame in missing out behind that galloper. The five weeks in between runs should suit and he was a recent trial winner. Best roughie in the race is Kings Will Dream. The 1200m might suit at this stage of his career, particularly if they do happen to go hard early on.