Empire Rose Stakes Tips & Preview

Aaron Hamilton in Empire Rose Stakes 29 Oct 2020
Empire Rose Stakes Tips

Looking for Empire Rose Stakes Tips on Saturday? Our form expert previews the fillies and mares mile contest and gives his best bets and predictions.

Empire Rose Stakes Preview

Saturday’s Group 1 Empire Rose Stakes (1600m) at Flemington sees 11 mares take on three fillies for their share in $1 million.

Mystic Journey bounced back to winning form taking out the Stocks Stakes (1600m) at The Valley last start, but it was in slow time as she stopped the clock at 1:37.62.

Madam Rouge won the Tristarc Stakes (1400m) in slow time last start, and all three three-year-olds also won their most recent start.

And it’s from these three-year-olds we find a clear standout in the race.

The Mick Price and Michael Kent Jnr-trained Odeum has won three from four including the Group 1 Thousand Guineas last start.

Three-year-olds coming out of the Thousand Guineas into the Empire Rose Stakes have a great record and we can get a good guide from two recent winners.

Shoals ran 2nd to Aloisia in the 2017 Thousand Guineas which was won in 1:36.270, and then Shoals carried 50kg in the Empire Rose and won in 1:35.260.

The previous year, I Am A Star was runner-up to Global Glamour in the Thousand Guineas in 1:36.840, and I Am A Star carried 49kg to victory in the Empire Rose where she ran 1:35.560.

So, both of these fillies ran six to eight lengths quicker with the light weight in the Empire Rose, and Odeum now aims to do the same having won the Thousand Guineas.

Chica Fuerte and Forbidden Love also drop to 49kg having won their last starts, but each performance rated eight lengths below Odeum who went 13.3 lengths quicker than standard BM.

That effort rated as the 4th strongest performance of the day at Caulfield behind Mr Quickie, Buffalo River and Superstorm who all come out of the Group 1 Toorak Handicap (1600m).

Odeum also ran quicker time than the boys in the Caulfield Guineas, and with her now dropping 6.5kg on Saturday, she should be producing the performance of the day.

Who will win the Empire Rose Stakes?

When taking weights into consideration, nothing in this field seems capable of running the time needed to beat Odeum.

The only thing that will stop Odeum is bad luck or a below par performance, and seeing she is fourth-up, she should be right at her peak and ready to run the race of her career.