Kingston Town Classic Tips & Preview
Get our free expert Kingston Town Classic Tips for Saturday, December 5, 2020. Our form expert previews the Perth feature race and gives his top selection.
Kingston Town Classic Tips & Preview
A field of 16 plus two emergencies remain in contention for Saturday’s Group 1 Kingston Town Classic (1800m) at Perth’s Ascot Racecourse.
10 of the 18 acceptors come through the Group 1 Railway Stakes (1600m) last fortnight where Inspirational Girl defeated Too Close The Sun and Uni Time.
Four horses come via the WA Guineas (1600m) which was won by Watch Me Dance, while Snickerdoodledandy comes out of the WA Champion Fillies Stakes (1600m).
Carbine Club of WA Stakes (1600m) winner Neufbosc, Tattersall’s Cup 3rd placegetter Arctic Stream and last start Moonee Valley Gold Cup (2500m) competitor Trap For Fools make up the remainder of the field.
Who has the strongest form?
The Railway Stakes rates as the strongest form race with the winner, Inspirational Girl, going 12.8 lengths quicker than standard benchmark (BM).
She carried 53kg defeating Too Close The Sun and Uni Time who carried the same weight, and she now meets that pair 2kg better at the weights.
The race tempo was rated ‘Very Fast’ for that class (G1) with the leader Great Shot going 9.1 lengths quicker than standard for the class.
With that super quick tempo, horses running on from midfield or worse had the advantage while those up front had an excuse for weakening.
Too Close The Sun sat right behind the leaders and chimed in on the bend and probably hit the front a bit soon off that tempo, and his performance must be given more credit than first thought.
Inspirational Girl settled just worse than midfield and got a nice passage through the field and looked extremely strong on the line.
Uni Time came from last on the bend, covered ground out wide and recorded the quickest 600m, 400m and 200m for the race going 34.41, 22.53 and 11.37.
This trio appear to be the standout performers from the Railway Stakes, and it’s hard to see anything else troubling them on last start form or peak performance ratings.
Who will win the Kingston Town Classic?
Inspirational Girl recorded a personal best (PB) last start and she’d have to be something special to improve on that here when she got everything to suit last start.
Too Close The Sun looked one run short as he chimed in and weakened late last start, and his peak pattern suggests he’s ready to improve off that effort.
This campaign, the Lindsey Smith-trained son of Carlton House resumed over 1400m and went 3.8 lengths slower than BM before stepping up to 1800m and recording an emphatic victory going 9.3 lengths quicker than BM.
Last start he dropped back to the mile and went 11.4 lengths quicker than BM which was also a PB.
However, he only had three runs in his first preparation but recorded his PB next prep at his fourth run from a spell when improving by five lengths on his third-up run.
Last preparation he again peaked fourth-up and improved by five lengths on his third run.
Based on his prior peak patterns, Too Close The Sun is set to improve considerably on Saturday, and he could return a figure that puts him at the upper-echelon of G1 figures.
He’s likely to come across from barrier 10 and take up a forward position, and it wouldn’t surprise to see his stablemate, Trap For Fools take up the running while Too Close The Sun gets some cover on his back.
If he hits his peak fourth-up as he previously has, he’s the one they all have to run down, and if the stablemates can control the tempo and go a bit slower than Railway was run, I can’t see anything catching Too Close The Sun this time.