Makybe Diva Stakes Tips & Preview
MAKYBE DIVA STAKES TIPS 2022
Looking for Makybe Diva Stakes tips on Saturday, September 10? Our form analyst previews the Flemington Group 1 and gives his best bets and predictions.
Our 2022 Makybe Diva Stakes tips will be updated following the barrier draw on Wednesday.
Below is our previous assessment where Fierce Impact saluted at $5.50 as our top selection and our value bet So Si Bon finished 3rd at $31 & $6 each-way.
MAYKBE DIVA STAKES BETTING
Incentivise has been crunched in early markets, firming into $4.60 favouritism with ladbrokes after being posted at $6.50 after the barrier draw. Tofane is at $4.80. Mo’Unga ($5), Inspirational Girl ($6.50) and Aegon ($8.50) are others under double figures. Kelai Nautique ($12) and Colette ($16) head the rest.
MAYKBE DIVA STAKES PREVIEW
One of the key talking points heading in will be how Incentivise will perform first up after an 11 week break. The former Queenslander is now in the Peter Moody camp and impressed enough in a recent trial at Cranbourne with Brett Prebble declaring him Group 1 material.
Since battling into 8th position in a Toowoomba Maiden back in March, the current Caulfield Cup (2400m) and Melbourne Cup (3200m) favourite then went on to win six on the trot by a combined margin of 45 lengths.
Is he vulnerable first up? Time will tell but after seeing what Zaaki did in Sydney last week, it would be a brave man to risk him. He went 15 lengths faster than standard when claiming the Tattersalls Cup (2400m) at Eagle Farm by 12 lengths.
Over the 1600m at the Sunshine Coast in May he went four lengths faster than standard when beginning his streak but we can expect something better than that on the weekend.
The five-year-old is one of three horses in the race that are resuming and the others are the three-time derby winner, Explosive Jack, as well as the 2020 Cox Plate (2040m) winner, Sir Dragonet. Both probably need further.
Tofane was 3rd in the recent Memsie Stakes (1400m) behind Behemoth, going 10.7 lengths faster than standard. That race has been an excellent guide to the Makybe Diva Stakes in recent years. The three-time Group 1 winning mare finished ahead of the likes of Aegon (4th), Inspirational Girl (5th), Colette (6th) and Fifty Stars (10th).
That group of horses were all resuming in the Memsie. All should have improvement to come. Colette might need a Soft track to show her best but did produce the fastest last 200m and was a noted improver on figures when second up last time. She might be suited at Flemington.
The 2020 Railway Stakes (1600m) winner, Inspirational Girl, was off a longer break than the others, while Fifty Stars can’t be ruled out. The veteran improved 15 lengths on figures in the autumn when second up, going from a 7th in the Apollo Stakes (1400m) to a narrow defeat in the Blamey Stakes (1600m) at the track and trip in March. He likes it at Flemington.
Four horses come down from Sydney after running in the Winx Stakes (1400m). The exciting Mo’unga took that out, going 9.7 lengths faster than standard. The former Japanese galloper, Keiai Nautique, was the unlucky runner but managed to produce the second fastest late splits behind She’s Ideel, grabbing 4th in what was a blanket finish.
A number of the contenders like to settle back and it will be interesting to see just which horse settles in the first few. It might be Mount Popa and Sir Dragonet that go forward from their respective barriers, while Explosive Jack and Incentivise can tuck in just behind after drawing towards the inside.
MAYKBE DIVA STAKES RECENT HISTORY
Favourites have a moderate record in the Makybe Diva Stakes, saluting just four times since the turn of the century. Fierce Impact looked after punters as a $4 popular elect last year but it was Gatting in 2019 at $101. The average winning price of the winners since 2000 is $15. Five of the past seven winners come out of the Memsie Stakes. 16 of the 21 winners of this race since 2000 have drawn between barriers 1 to 8.
Gatting, Kings Will Dream, Fierce Impact, Dalasan and Harlem are standouts on personal best figures around this trip, and It’s one of these runners that really appeals.
WHO WILL WIN THE MAKYBE DIVA STAKES IN 2021?
I am going with the excitement machine, INCENTIVISE, to take out the Makybe Diva Stakes. The money trail after the barrier draw suggests that the 1600m shouldn’t be a problem and it is hard not to be seduced by his performances in Queensland. He has drawn to either lead or box seat and the speedmap suggests that those in the front half might be advantaged. Place prospects in the race at a bit of value are COLETTE and FIFTY STARS. Colette might settle outside the leader or in the three-wide line. Fifty Stars will get back but loves the track and trip and has been a noted second up improver in the past. Look for him to be running on late in the piece.