Memsie Stakes Tips & Preview

Memsie Stakes tips

MEMSIE STAKES TIPS & PREVIEW 2022

Looking for expert Memsie Stakes Tips on Saturday? Our form expert previews the G1 feature and gives their best bets. 

The Memsie Stakes is a Group 1 held at Caulfield and is worth $1 million.

Below is our assessment of the 2021 edition of the race:

MEMSIE STAKES BETTING

A field of 12 have accepted for the $1 million Group 1 over the seven furlongs and it is the 2020 Memsie Stakes winner, Behemoth, that has been installed as a $4.20 favourite with Palmerbet, while the three time Group 1 winning mare, Tofane, is at $4.60. The former West Aussie, Inspirational Girl is at $7, while Beau Rossa is at $8.50. Sierra Sue ($10), Colette ($11) and the Kiwi four-year-old, Aegon ($11), head the rest.

MEMSIE STAKES PREVIEW

Five of the field of 12 went around in the recent PB Lawrence Stakes (1400m) that was held at the track and trip, including the winner of that Group 2 race, Sierra Sue. The Busuttin & Young galloper went 11.1 lengths faster than standard that day, which are the best last start figures of any runner in the race.

Streets Of Avalon jumped as a $4 favourite and led before dropping out of it, pulling up lame. He can be an improver with any favours and has an excellent record at the track and trip. Archedemus and Sansom also battled, while Red Can Man was a solid 3rd after sitting three-deep for much of the trip.

But I suspect the winner will come from elsewhere and it could be Behemoth or Beau Rossa, who come over from Adelaide after going toe to toe in the Spring Stakes (1200m).

Behemoth won that on protest and should strip fitter. He went nearly 15 lengths faster than standard when winning this race last year and went 12 lengths faster than standard when 4th to Probabeel when second up in the Futurity Stakes (1400m) in the autumn. He has drawn awkwardly in barrier 9 but gets the services of Jamie Kah.

The remaining five runners are fresh and a number have winning credentials. Tofane has had nine weeks in between runs and will be going for a hat-trick of Group 1 wins after claiming the Stradbroke Handicap (1400m) and the Tatts Tiara (1400m) at the tail end of the Queensland carnival.

She was 7th in the Sapphire Stakes 1200m when first up last time but that was off a longer break and she has drawn in an ideal slot here.

Colette defeated Kolding and Verry Elleegant when fresh last time, sitting on speed to win by two lengths, going five lengths faster than standard before going 10 lengths faster when a narrow runner-up to Verry Elleegant in the Chipping Norton Stakes (1600m).

Inspirational Girl and Aegon are the X-factor runners and it might pay to monitor the betting in the lead up, The West Australian form has held up in recent times and Inspirational Girl can measure up, while Aegon was successful in Sydney last time. Fifty Stars might need the run.

MEMSIE STAKES HISTORY SAYS

Interestingly, the past two winners of the Memsie Stakes were second up after a Spring Stakes win at Morphettville. Scales Of Justice achieved the feat in 2019 and it was Behemoth last year. The past four winners were at least one run into their spring campaign. Favourites have fared well in recent times, winning five of the past eight editions of the race. The past seven winners have drawn barrier 7 or inside. Just one of the past 12 winners have come out of the Lawrence Stakes. Only two winners since 2000 have paid more than $8 and they were Dissident in 2014 and Humidor in 2018.

WHO WILL WIN THE MEMSIE STAKES IN 2021?

Behemoth ($4.20 with Palmerbet) is the one to beat here. The South Aussie profiles well for this race. He has drawn out in barrier 9 but the field should string out with the likes of Archademus and Streets Of Avalon to inject some speed in an attempt to cross over from out wide. J Kah should find a spot and her mount is two from three at the track and trip. His performance in the autumn at this stage was still ok as he went more than 12 lengths faster than standard and those that finished in front of him (Probabeel, Arcadia Queen & Mr Quickie) would do very well in this race when firing. Recent history also suggests the run under his belt is a positive, while favourites have a great record in this race.