Oakleigh Plate Tips & Preview
OAKLEIGH PLATE TIPS & PREVIEW
Looking for Oakleigh Plate tips? Our form analyst previews the 1100m sprint race at Caulfield and gives their top predictions.
Our 2022 Oakleigh Plate tips will be available following the barrier draw. See below for our 2021 preview:
There is about three lengths difference in the personal best (PB) and last start efforts of at least 10 horses, and luck in running is sure to play a big part in determining the outcome.
Six of those PBs have come over 1100m at Caulfield, while two more horses have recorded their PBs over 1100m at different tracks.
This race is really a lottery!
With that said, I’ve put in the hard yards analysing replays, peak patterns, benchmark (BM) figure data and sectional times to give punters a leg-up.
This could be really longwinded with so many runners rating highly, so I’m going to cut to the chase and give you the reasoning for my top selection.
The Matthew Ellerton and Simon Zahra-trained Zoutori has the strongest PB in the field going 15 lengths quicker than standard BM.
He did that first-up when finishing 2nd to the speedy Pippie in this race last year – and she has well and truly franked that form.
Not only did he fly first-up last year, but he also recorded a figure of 14.2 lengths quicker than BM when first-up in his previous campaign.
Ellerton and Zahra have been quite successful targeting this race with Booker finishing 4th in 2018 before claiming the win the following year.
The trainers then produced 2nd and 3rd with Zoutori and Crystal Dreamer last year, and on Saturday they are represented by Zoutori and Sword Of Mercy.
Zoutori gets the services of Jamie Kah, and the way she’s riding at the moment, that’s work at least a length in a short sprint like this.
He does go up 2kg this year and the race traditionally favours those down in the weights, but as a hulking five-year-old now, he can carry that weight to victory over 1100m here.
Gordon Richards’ pair, Bold Star and Garner, get a weight swing on last start winner Prophet’s Thumb who was also ridden by Jamie Kah but now gets Dean Yendall.
Bold Start in particular was only 1.5 lengths from Zoutori in the Bobby Lewis (1200m) at Flemington and meets him better at the weights from that run, but the shorter trip swings favour back to Zoutori.
Garner has gone backward on BM performances in his last two second-up runs and that’s a concern.
I’m not sure which Anders will turn up, but if it’s the one that destroyed Ole Kirk in the Rosebud (1100m) on a Heavy track, he could give this a shake.
All in all, Kah on from barrier 7 gives Zoutori every chance, and with the right sit on them, he can take over early in the straight and defy the weight challenge as top pick in my Oakleigh Plate Tips.