Randwick Guineas Tips 2020 – Is there a Hero for the Guineas?

Gary Emmerson in Randwick Guineas 4 Mar 2020
  • Hobartville Stakes rivals clash again
Shadow Hero

The first leg of the Sydney Triple Crown for three-year-olds awaits on Saturday and we’ve got our Randwick Guineas Tips for the big Group 1.

Super Seth was holding favouritism for the feature after being narrowly denied in the Group 1 Futurity Stakes (1400m) at Caulfield last start, but Anthony Freedman’s son of Dundeel was scratched from the field on Wednesday afternoon.

That leaves the Group 2 Hobartville Stakes (1400m) as the main form focus with a number of runners coming out of that Rosehill race including $41 surprise winner Brandbenburg, Warning, Castlelvecchio and Shadow Hero.

Will the Hobartville form be repeated?

A number of the Randwick Guineas field clashed in Sydney two weeks ago in the Group 2 Hobartville Stakes (1400m), but will that form be replicated on Saturday.

Brandenburg caused a big surprise when winning at $41 as he took full advantage of a track favouring frontrunners to defeat Reloaded (2nd), Microphone (3rd), Pancho (4th), Shadow Hero (5th), Castelvecchio (6th), Warning (7th), Kubrick (8th), Fortress Command (9th), The Holy One (10th) and Prince Fawaz (11th).

All 11 will reoppose again with only roughie Sirmaze and Conqueror not coming out of the Hobartville.

It was an impressive first up win for Brandenbury, but the John Sargent-trained galloper had things go his way that day to maintain a record of never finishing outside of the first three. This time barrier 11 results in a query over whether to sit or go forward.

Chris Waller’s Reloaded, who could have more improvement to come third up – like stablemate Pancho who is second up at Randwick, will jump from wider still in barrier 13, while Microphone has the outside gate in what will be his fourth run this preparation.

Shadow Hero was a running on fifth that day at Rosehill on a track which favoured the frontrunners. Any rain would benefit the Mark Newnham-trained son of Pierro, who is now favourite in the absence of Super Seth.

Richard Litt’s Castelvecchio was sixth in the Hobartville just 0.1 lengths behind Shadow Hero and also has to enter calculations given that opening run of the autumn preparation although barrier 12 tempers things a little.

Who will win the Randwick Guineas?

Shadow Hero is chasing a second Group 1 having won the Spring Champion Stakes (2000m) from Castelvecchio, form that has to be respected given how the latter went on to finish second in Group 1 Cox Plate (2040m).

Richard Litt’s Castelvecchio, also a Group 1 winner having taken out the Champagne Stakes (1600m) over the mile as a two-year-old last autumn, was sixth in the Hobartville just 0.1 lengths behind Shadow Hero.

Both runners were first up that day and open to plenty of improvement in their second start of the campaign – none more so than Shadow Hero, who won second up in the spring in the Group 3 Gloaming Stakes (1800m).

Shadow Hero is the one to focus on, but don’t rule out another big run from Brandenburg at each-way odds.

Prediction
Shadow Hero $4.60 Bet now!